Category: International Trade
International Trade market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Hong Kong SAR
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Hong Kong SAR A strong export-led start to the year led us to revise up our 2024 forecast for Hong Kong's growth to 3.6%. In 2025, while we've pencilled in sequential moderation in growth, favourable base effects will push y/y growth to 4.1%. This is cons ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Luxembourg
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Luxembourg We maintain our forecast that Luxembourg's economy will grow by 1.1% in 2024, supported by consumption and net exports. The economy expanded by 0.5% q/q in Q1, outpacing growth in the eurozone. But growth was mainly driven by net exports, which con ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mauritius
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mauritius Real GDP growth (non-seasonally adjusted) declined to 6.4% y/y in Q1 2024 from 7.2% y/y in the final quarter of 2023. With growth remaining resilient across most economic sectors and with an upward revision in real GDP growth last year, we have lifte ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The lull in the economy during the first three months of the year proved to be temporary. The reacceleration in GDP growth in Q2 should help temper concerns about the durability of the expansion and quiet chatter that the Federal Reserve needs to cut inte ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Belarus
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Belarus We nudged up our 2024 growth forecast for Belarus to 2.2% from 1.9%. We've also cut our forecast to 1.5% for next year, from 1.8%. The changes to our forecast reflects the strength of recent GDP data and continued robustness of the Russian economy. Da ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - North Korea
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - North Korea We estimate that North Korea GDP in 2023 turned positive for the first time in three years, thanks to a sudden increase in ammunition sales to Russia and non-state armed actors. That said, we still expect North Korea's economic outlook to remain c ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Even though economic growth in Q2 is tracking below our expectations, we still think the core of the economy is healthy and we anticipate growth will remain close to 2% over the rest of this year. The labor market is resilient, and with inflation pressures easing again, ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Iran
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Iran Despite a significant increase in crude oil output in 2023, Iran’s GDP growth is expected to slow in 2024 due to reduced oil exports and fixed investment. Growth is projected to slow in FY2024 to 2.9%, hindered by tighter sanctions affecting oil productio ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Italy
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Italy As estimated last quarter, Italy’s industrial output in Q4 has gone from bad to worse. The country’s output fell by 0.4% in the final quarter of 2023, the third consecutive fall in output. While manufacturing did grow in 2023’s last quarter, industrial p ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Canada
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Canada Canada’s industrial production for Q4 of 2023 expanded by approximately 0.4%. However, overall industrial production contracted by approximately 0.6% in 2023. Our outlook for 2024 is slightly more positive, with output in the sector expected to expand b ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States US industrial production growth has been revised up to grow 2.1% in 2024, and gradually cool down in 2025 with 1.5% growth. We expect to see positive sequential quarter-on-quarter growth every quarter this year except for Q4. We continue to belie ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Japan
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Japan The industrial production outlook in 2024 for Japan remains poor, with output forecast to contract by 1.2% in 2024, a 1.4ppt downwards revision from our previous forecast. This reflects sluggish domestic demand, particularly in consumption, which was var ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Australia
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Australia Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 0.3%, picking up to 1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom We have revised down our forecast for 2024 industrial production growth to 0.3%. We expect the Monetary Policy Committee will begin to cut interest rates in August of this year as there is evidence of loosening in labour market conditions and we ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - France
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - France Our forecast for 2024 industrial production is largely unchanged since our previous update: we now expect growth of 0.5%. This is just under our forecast for GDP growth over the same time, which currently stands at 0.9%. However, the tepid outlook is be ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The Federal Open Market Committee's updated economic projections point to just one rate cut this year, but those forecasts are already outdated as they don't capture the good news on inflation reported this week. We continue to expect two rate cuts this year, wi ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kuwait
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kuwait Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 0.3%, picking up to 1.9% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Netherlands
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Netherlands Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, falling by 3.1%, picking up to 3.3% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Denmark
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Denmark Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 6.7%, before easing to 6.1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Cyprus
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Cyprus Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 1.7%, before easing to 1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Sweden
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Sweden Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to be broadly in line with economic growth in 2024, remaining level, picking up to 2.1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ecuador
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ecuador Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 2.3%, picking up to 2.6% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Malaysia
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Malaysia Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 3.5%, picking up to 4.6% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Slovenia
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Slovenia Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 2.2%, picking up to 3.7% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Turkey
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Turkey Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 1.8%, before easing to 1.6% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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