Category: International Trade
International Trade market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mali
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mali Mali's real GDP growth stood at 4.7% in 2023, lower than our previous estimate of 5.2%. We expect growth to remain broadly stable at 4.6% this year. According to the landlocked nation's mining ministry, industrial gold production is projected to s ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Economic policy uncertainty is rising earlier than normal for a presidential election year, and this has implications for the Q4 growth profile. Because of heightened uncertainty, we will adjust our forecast for Q4 business investment in nonresidential structures and eq ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The July Federal Open Market Committee minutes and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole provided another clear signal that the Fed will cut rates in September. We think it would take a large, negative surprise in the labor market data between ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sudan
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sudan The ceaseless war in Sudan is forecast to trigger the country's seventh consecutive annual economic contraction this year. After about 16 months of war, global governments released condemnation statements and sanctioned individuals and companies related ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Since the release of the July employment report, financial markets have been focused on the labor market and the implications for Federal Reserve policy, but the other side of the central bank's dual mandate will come back into view during the week ahead. Some of th ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ukraine
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ukraine The severe energy shortages and the intensifying war, accompanied by a new wave of mobilisation, have dampened Ukraine's economic recovery to only 1.1% y/y of GDP growth in June, from 3.7% y/y in May. But due to stronger growth in Q1, GDP reached a de ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Hong Kong SAR
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Hong Kong SAR A strong export-led start to the year led us to revise up our 2024 forecast for Hong Kong's growth to 3.6%. In 2025, while we've pencilled in sequential moderation in growth, favourable base effects will push y/y growth to 4.1%. This is cons ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The lull in the economy during the first three months of the year proved to be temporary. The reacceleration in GDP growth in Q2 should help temper concerns about the durability of the expansion and quiet chatter that the Federal Reserve needs to cut inte ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Even though economic growth in Q2 is tracking below our expectations, we still think the core of the economy is healthy and we anticipate growth will remain close to 2% over the rest of this year. The labor market is resilient, and with inflation pressures easing again, ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Iran
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Iran Despite a significant increase in crude oil output in 2023, Iran’s GDP growth is expected to slow in 2024 due to reduced oil exports and fixed investment. Growth is projected to slow in FY2024 to 2.9%, hindered by tighter sanctions affecting oil productio ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Canada
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Canada Canada’s industrial production for Q4 of 2023 expanded by approximately 0.4%. However, overall industrial production contracted by approximately 0.6% in 2023. Our outlook for 2024 is slightly more positive, with output in the sector expected to expand b ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States US industrial production growth has been revised up to grow 2.1% in 2024, and gradually cool down in 2025 with 1.5% growth. We expect to see positive sequential quarter-on-quarter growth every quarter this year except for Q4. We continue to belie ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Australia
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Australia Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 0.3%, picking up to 1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom We have revised down our forecast for 2024 industrial production growth to 0.3%. We expect the Monetary Policy Committee will begin to cut interest rates in August of this year as there is evidence of loosening in labour market conditions and we ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - France
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - France Our forecast for 2024 industrial production is largely unchanged since our previous update: we now expect growth of 0.5%. This is just under our forecast for GDP growth over the same time, which currently stands at 0.9%. However, the tepid outlook is be ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The Federal Open Market Committee's updated economic projections point to just one rate cut this year, but those forecasts are already outdated as they don't capture the good news on inflation reported this week. We continue to expect two rate cuts this year, wi ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kuwait
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kuwait Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 0.3%, picking up to 1.9% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Netherlands
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Netherlands Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, falling by 3.1%, picking up to 3.3% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Denmark
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Denmark Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 6.7%, before easing to 6.1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Cyprus
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Cyprus Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 1.7%, before easing to 1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Sweden
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Sweden Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to be broadly in line with economic growth in 2024, remaining level, picking up to 2.1% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ecuador
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ecuador Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 2.3%, picking up to 2.6% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Malaysia
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Malaysia Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 3.5%, picking up to 4.6% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Slovenia
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Slovenia Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 2.2%, picking up to 3.7% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Turkey
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Turkey Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, increasing by 1.8%, before easing to 1.6% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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