Category: Service Industries
Service Industries market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia We've significantly lowered our 2023 Indonesia growth forecast to 3.6% from 4.7%, reflecting another substantial revision to our US and world growth forecasts. We now project world GDP to grow just 1.2% in 2023, down from 1.7% last month. At the sam ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - MENA - Qatar
Analysis by Region - MENA - Qatar The ongoing preparations for the World Cup propelled growth in Qatar's non-oil sector to 9.7% y/y in Q2, the fastest rate of growth since mid-2015. This, alongside expectations of activity benefitting from an influx of visitors in the near term, has prompted us ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Denmark
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Denmark We have raised our 2022 GDP growth forecast for Denmark by 0.5ppts to 2.7% after national accounts showed a stronger H1 performance. However, we have cut our 2023 forecast by 0.4ppts to 0.1%, and we now believe the Danish economy is set to contract for th ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden We have lowered our 2023 GDP forecast for Sweden by 0.9ppts to a 0.1% contraction, amid more front-loaded monetary policy tightening and signs of a broad-based weakening in activity. Inflation continues to rise and underlying pressures are intensifying, th ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Thailand
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Thailand We've left our 2022 Thailand GDP growth forecast unchanged at 3.6% as reopening tailwinds, including an easing in regional international travel restrictions, will support domestic demand and a solid recovery in service-sector activity. Indeed, tourism ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sudan
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sudan The military junta's unwillingness to relinquish power to civilian leaders continues to obstruct Sudan's economic progress. The political impasse will continue to hinder the country's growth – we expect the economy to narrowly escape a contra ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States US industrial growth has slowed in the face of high inflation, slowing export growth, declining inventories, and shifting consumer preferences towards services. Q2 GDP fell by -0.6%%, dragged by declining residential investment, declining constru ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US It will come as no surprise when the Fed lifts rates by another 75bps rate hike next week, so the focus will be more on any signals from Fed Chair Powell's press briefing and the FOMC's updated projections as to what comes next. We look for another 75bps of rate ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets We expect a limited increase in policy rates across Asia, and most central banks are unlikely to match the Fed's likely aggressive tightening. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia We have further lowered our 2023 growth forecast to 5%, from 5.5% previously. The economy proved resilient to lockdowns in China and a palm oil export ban in Q2, with the 5.4% GDP expansion coming in stronger than our expectation. But that pace is unlik ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom Last week delivered some evidence that UK consumers are responding to burgeoning cost of living pressures by borrowing more. But with the prognosis for inflation deteriorating, taking on more debt, o ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The long-end of the curve led Treasury yields higher this week as curve flattening trades were unwound. Bond yields were more than 15bp higher as of early Friday afternoon, which was the largest rise since May 6. Stocks were lower, partially in response to the higher yi ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Kazakhstan
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Kazakhstan Kazakhstan's growth prospects for 2022-2023 have deteriorated further due to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine, with GDP growth slowing to 0.9% next year before rebounding strongly to 5.5% in 2024. The current slowdown has been exacerbated by sharply ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Angola
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Angola In line with the deterioration in our near-term global economic outlook and lower oil price forecast, we now expect Angola's economy to expand by 2.5% in 2022 versus our previous projection of 3.0%. Real GDP growth is still expected to be buoyed by ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Europe - France
Analysis by Region - Europe - France We have raised our 2022 GDP growth forecast for France by 0.4ppts to 2.7% after a 0.5% q/q GDP expansion in Q2 beat expectations. Services exports, investment, and inventories were the main drivers, more than offsetting a new contraction in consumption and export ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US July's core retail sales figures showed that consumers stepped up their buying activity as they entered Q3. Spending will receive a further boost in the coming months as consumer goods and energy price gains continue to slow. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Global EM
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Global EM Business sentiment in emerging economies is holding up, even as advanced economies' businesses are unified in their gloom over short- and medium-term prospects. ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom An upside surprise from inflation in July and the corrosive effect of rising prices on real incomes dominated economic developments over the past week. CPI inflation reached double figures for the first time since February 1982 and real average pay suffered ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Risk assets rallied and investors reassessed their Fed rate hike expectations after July CPI inflation came in below expectations. The inflation reprieve and lower inflation expectations in early August are welcome developments, but it's too early to declare victory ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Australia
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Australia Our outlook for GDP growth in 2022 is unchanged at 3.8%, but we have slightly lowered our 2023 forecast by 0.1ppt to 2.4%. Data released over the past month were mixed, with the first signs of the mounting headwinds facing households emerging. Retail sal ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Despite other signs of a slowing economy, the July employment report defied expectations and showed broad-based and accelerating job growth. Wage growth was also solid, which should continue to support consumer spending. On a more disappointing note, the labor force par ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The belly of the curve led Treasury yields lower this past week, and the curve was broadly steeper, as traders curtailed forward-looking rate hike expectations following Wednesday's FOMC meeting (Chart 1). That also spurred strong gains in equities and modest dollar ... Read More
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Industry - Monthly Industry Briefings - Construction
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The prospects for Congress to pass an even slimmed-down version of President Biden's Build Back Better agenda declined significantly last week, when Senator Joe Manchin (D-WV) withdrew his support. Democrats may be able to salvage provisions affecting health care. T ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Fiery price increases in June catapulted headline CPI inflation above 9%, the fastest annual gain since November 1981. We don't see inflation pressures easing substantially in the near term, meaning household and corporate budgets will continue to be squeezed. Navig ... Read More
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