Category: Business Services & Administration
Business Services & Administration market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ukraine
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ukraine We estimate Ukraine's economy has expanded by about 3.8% y/y in 2024 and forecast it will grow by 3.5% y/y in 2025. Strong domestic demand, both private and public, as well as continued functioning of the Black Sea trade corridor are the key driver ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Israel
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Israel We've downgraded our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Israel to 3.4%, primarily due to softer investment as high interest rates delay investment decisions. We still think next year will be key for Israel's economic recovery as we maintain our call that ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Malaysia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Malaysia We still expect GDP growth for Malaysia will cool to 4.3% in 2025, from 5.6% this year. Although this largely reflects the low base from a year ago dropping out of the comparison, the strong momentum through much of this year is unlikely to persist. Due ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore We've revised down our forecast for Singapore's economic growth to slow from 3.6% in 2024 to 3.3% in 2025. That largely reflects the low base from a year ago dropping out of the comparison. We assume economic momentum has dropped back in Q4 but ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Taiwan
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Taiwan Taiwan's 2025 GDP growth is closely linked to the global technology cycle. We forecast growth will moderate to 3.2% y/y next year, from 4.2% in 2024, partly due to the high base effect. Plus, trends are diverging within the local tech sector – AI-relate ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Hungary
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Hungary We've nudged up our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Hungary by 0.1ppts to 2.2%, following an estimated 0.6% expansion this year. After slipping into a technical recession over Q2-Q3, we think the economy has returned to growth in Q4. But we expect the ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay We trimmed our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Uruguay by 0.1ppts to 2.5%, following an estimated 3.1% expansion this year. The national accounts update for Q3 GDP matched our forecast of 0.7% q/q. But dynamics in demand-side components, along with revisi ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic We estimate the Czech economy expanded by 0.9% this year – hardly stellar growth, but a solid result given the numerous headwinds. Economic activity is picking up pace slowly, driven by recovering consumer spending. Macroeconomic policy will turn m ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Slovak Republic
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Slovak Republic We estimate the Slovak economy expanded by a solid 2.0% this year, above the eurozone average. But the latest data are less optimistic, with the growth structure becoming increasingly vulnerable. Consumer spending has lost momentum, fixed investme ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea We've kept our 2025 GDP growth forecast for South Korea at 1.9%. We see risks from the recent political turmoil and will adjust our outlook after the Constitutional Court decides on the impeachment motion. Domestic uncertainty and global trade poli ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway We've kept our 2025 GDP growth forecast for mainland Norway at 1.5%. Mainland GDP growth was upgraded for H1 2024 and rose by 0.5% q/q in Q3. But extraction investment mostly drove these revisions. Consumption and private investment data signal a less ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Russia
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Russia We've cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Russia by 0.2ppts to 1.6% due to signs that activity is losing momentum following significant monetary policy tightening in the last few months. Household demand, which propelled growth in H1, is slowing as ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Chile
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Chile We have cut our GDP growth forecasts for Chile by 0.2ppts to 2.2% y/y for 2024 and by 0.3ppts to 2.3% y/y for 2025. October's IMACEC activity print continued a string of disappointing results, as the mining component has failed to reflect the upturn ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Greece
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Greece We forecast GDP for Greece will grow by 2% next year. Domestic demand will likely do the heavy lifting, as we expect gross fixed investments will pick up and private consumption will likely maintain healthy growth. Net exports will support growth marginall ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The Federal Reserve delivered a hawkish 25bp rate cut this week as officials point to only two rate cuts in 2025, down from the four they projected in September. The central bank raised its inflation forecast by 0.4ppts to 2.5% in 2025. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates We downgraded our 2025 GDP growth forecast for the UAE to 4.2% from 4.5%, reflecting our revised assumption that the reversal of production cuts will be delayed, likely starting in Q3 2025. The adjustment comes amid an oil price dip, fuelled ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Slovenia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Slovenia We've lowered our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Slovenia by 0.3ppts to 2.4% due to a weaker finish to this year. We still expect domestic demand will be the main growth engine amid large real income gains by households, easing monetary policy, and EU ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - China
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - China We maintain our 2025 GDP growth forecast of 4.4% for China, taking into consideration potential downside risks in the economy and the impact of the near-term policy stimulus. We remain concerned about the deflationary risks in the economy and have downgraded ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Indonesia
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Indonesia We maintain our GDP growth forecasts for Indonesia at 5.0% y/y for both this year and next. Private consumption remains a key growth engine for the economy, and will likely stay resilient. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Philippines
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Philippines We expect the Philippines' GDP will grow by 6% in 2025, following an estimated 5.8% expansion in 2024. Due to concerns about the job market and income outlook, the growth of private consumption is expected to improve only gradually from this ye ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Lithuania
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Lithuania We forecast GDP growth for Lithuania will pick up to 3% next year, supported by a rebound in investment and expansions in the ICT sector. We think consumer spending growth will remain robust at 3% y/y despite heightened inflationary pressures. While GDP ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar We've cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Qatar by 0.6ppts to 2.1% because we think the recovery in the energy sector will be markedly slower. We remain confident the non-energy sectors will remain the main driver of growth next year and project 2.7% e ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sri Lanka
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sri Lanka We lifted our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Sri Lanka to 3.8% y/y, 0.1ppts above consensus. President Dissanayake's administration has signalled it will continue the stabilisation plan, and the mini budget includes restrained fiscal spending. Sri ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland We have slightly lowered our GDP growth forecast for Switzerland to 1.4% in 2025 (down from 1.5%) due to sluggish global demand and project a 1.5% GDP growth in 2026, adjusted for revenues from major sporting events. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia Non-oil GDP growth will remain the key driver of Saudi Arabia's economic expansion next year. Strong PMI readings, higher government spending, accommodative monetary policy, and contained inflation create favourable conditions for higher investme ... Read More
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