Category: Business Services & Administration
Business Services & Administration market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kenya
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kenya As 2024 draws to a close, Kenya can reflect on a year filled with many trials and tribulations. The year began apprehensively as the government faced the June 2024 Eurobond repayment. Fortunately, the government partially addressed this challenge by secu ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Tunisia
Analysis by Region - Africa - Tunisia The longer Tunisia is cut off from international capital markets, the more desperate authorities are becoming to finance the fiscal deficit. In a move that will raise concerns with the IMF, the Parliament passed a law that will force the central bank to finance ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Congo
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Congo According to the IMF's most recent World Economic Outlook, the Fund expects the Congolese economy to expand by 4.7% this year. Our forecast of 5.8% is more optimistic – we believe the continued strong performance of the country's mining industry ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - South Africa
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - South Africa Economic realities continue to bite, and the latest national accounts data shows that South Africa’s growth prospects remain flimsy. Following an unexpected economic contraction in Q3, we have lowered our growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain Our forecast for GDP growth in Spain in 2025 remained unchanged at 2.4% this month. Although this marks a slowdown compared to the 3.1% expansion expected this year, Spain will remain one of the fastest-growing economies in the eurozone. Strong growth in se ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Cambodia
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Cambodia We maintain an optimistic outlook for the Cambodian economy. We expect GDP growth of 6.4% y/y in 2025, up from an estimated 6.3% expansion in 2024. Despite downside risks, the overall growth outlook remains positive. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Australia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Australia We've marginally lowered our 2024 GDP growth estimate for Australia by 0.1ppt to 1% and continue to forecast growth of 2% in 2025. The Q3 national accounts were in line with our modest expectations, with GDP increasing by just 0.3% q/q in the quarte ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ecuador
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ecuador We revised our growth forecast up by 0.6ppts to 1.8% for 2025 and 2.8% for 2026 after a null growth in 2024. Private demand is expected to recover from a 1% contraction in 2024 to 1.8% growth in 2025. This rebound is mainly due to base effects, as market ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Kingdom
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Kingdom We continue to forecast UK GDP growth of 1.4% in 2025 and 1.7% in 2026. Though we expect the Bank of England to steadily cut the policy rate next year, tightening fiscal policy and the lagged impact of past interest rate hikes on households will be ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States We continue to forecast GDP in the US will grow by 2.6% in 2025, following an estimated 2.8% expansion this year. The adjustments we made to our US outlook this month were concentrated in trade and the US dollar because of expectations that imports ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone We've kept our eurozone GDP growth forecast for 2025 at 1.2%. We continue to expect growth will gradually gain pace to 1.5% in 2026, but we acknowledge that the risks are to the downside. Over the coming quarters, we think the eurozone economy will g ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bahrain
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bahrain Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to be broadly in line with economic growth in 2024, increasing by 2.9%, before easing to 1.4% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ukraine
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ukraine Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to outpace economic growth in 2024, increasing by 10.2%, picking up to 13.5% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa
Analysis by Region - Africa Zambia's short-term prospects are shrouded in uncertainty. Contradicting meteorological forecasts muddy the outlook for hydropower generation and agricultural output. We prefer to err on the side of caution and place a higher stake on those meteorological forecasts th ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Egypt
Analysis by Region - Africa - Egypt Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, falling by 1.4%, picking up to 2.9% growth in 2025. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kazakhstan
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kazakhstan We've bumped up our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Kazakhstan to 4.1% from 3.9% and expect growth will exceed 6% in 2026. The planned expansion of the Tengiz oil field is set to boost growth towards end-2025. But the main reason for our forecast u ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico Our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Mexico remains at 1.7%, well above the consensus of 1.2%. This is slightly above our 1.5% growth estimate for 2024. Our forecast incorporates a stronger contribution from the net external sector to offset slowing domesti ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US There is a lot of noise in the recent monthly employment because of the hurricanes and strikes, but separating the signal from the noise reveals that the job market has softened but remains in good shape. The November employment report increases our conviction in the fo ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ghana
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ghana We expect broad-based improvements in Ghana’s economy over the medium term. Real GDP growth is projected to average 4.8% p.a. over 2024-2026. Meanwhile, inflation is forecast to ease steadily throughout 2025, dipping below 10.0% y/y by Q1 2026. The count ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Argentina
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Argentina We cut our GDP growth forecast by 0.3ppts to 3.5% for 2025 and by 0.1ppt to 3.9% for 2026. The revision is due to base effects from a better-than-expected Q3 performance in the external sector. Our forecast for next year is lower than consensus for 2025 ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Aruba
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Aruba We have upgraded our 2024 GDP growth estimate for Aruba to 5.6% and have lowered our forecast for 2025 by 0.2 ppts to 4.1%. A stronger US economy than in our previous forecast and continued infrastructure investment contributed to our 2024 revisions. Mea ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar We've kept our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Qatar at 2.7%. This is significantly below our regional growth projection of 4.0%, but higher than our 1.9% growth estimate for this year. Industrial output is still weaker than a year ago, but woes are slowly ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia We forecast GDP growth for Saudi Arabia will increase to 4.4% in 2025. The government will continue to pursue its growth agenda, sustaining strong non-energy sector momentum, and oil production cuts will be gradually unwound. Moody’s recent upgrade o ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Hong Kong SAR
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Hong Kong SAR We forecast Hong Kong's GDP will grow by 2% y/y in 2025, weaker than the estimated 2.5% expansion this year. While our expectations for growth next year are weak, possible front-loading of exports before US tariffs kick in add a material upside r ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - MENA
Analysis by Region - MENA We've raised our GDP growth forecasts for Jordan to 2.4% in 2024 and 2.9% in 2025. Although the ongoing regional conflict has caused tourism income to decline by 4.3% y/y over the first nine months of this year, stronger performances in the manufacturing sector and net ... Read More
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