Category: Energy
Energy market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States US industry is still expanding briskly but now facing a growing list of shifting headwinds. On the macro scale, the Omicron wave has now been largely contained, but higher inflation has remained, greater uncertainty triggered by Russia's inva ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom Industrial production had been increasing slowly but steadily since last October thanks to easing supply chain pressures, but remains about 2% below pre-pandemic levels. ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Poland
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Poland We have cut our near-term GDP growth forecast for Poland as Russia's invasion of Ukraine has hit trade through sanctions and investment sentiment via elevated uncertainty. In addition, higher energy commodity prices will keep inflation elevated for lon ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway The fallout from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and a brief but sharp hit from the Omicron outbreak have prompted us to cut our 2022 mainland GDP growth forecast by 0.7ppts to 3.6%. While government subsidies for household electricity bills are containing ene ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast to 2.5% from 2.8% to reflect the upward revision to our energy price forecasts after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Headline CPI is now projected to average 1.6% in 2022, up from 1.3% previously. With few signs ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China After a better-than-expected start to the year, recent Omicron outbreaks will undermine China's economic recovery, in addition to the ongoing real estate downturn. While China's economy will be less impacted by the Russia-Ukraine war than Europe and ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Netherlands
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Netherlands We expect Russia's invasion of Ukraine to mean energy prices will stay higher for longer, pushing up Dutch inflation further and weakening growth. We have raised our inflation forecast to 5.7% for this year (from 5.1% last month) and 1.1% in 2023. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Europe
Analysis by Region - Europe Ukraine's economy has likely contracted by about 40%-45% in the one month since Russia's invasion compared to pre-crisis levels. Our forecast for the rest of the year depends crucially on how long the fighting will last. Judging by Russia’s stalled offensive, we b ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Rising and broadening inflation pressures are pushing Fed Chair Pro Tempore Powell and his fellow FOMC members into a more hawkish stance. With inflation set to run even hotter than current readings, policymakers have a difficult job before them as they try to bring dow ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany The Russian invasion of Ukraine will materially undermine this year's recovery. The headwinds will primarily come via higher energy prices that will heavily curtail consumers' real incomes and the rebound in spending. New supply disruptions are also set t ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone The Russian invasion of Ukraine has prompted significant revisions to our forecasts for the eurozone. We now expect higher-for-longer inflation, seen at around 5% this year, combined with lower growth of just 3%. Further revisions are likely, especially as latest ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - MENA
Analysis by Region - MENA We have cut our 2022 GDP growth projection by 0.4ppts to 2.1% following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. There is immense uncertainty about the scale of the conflict's impact, but external factors have already added to the challenges faced by the Turkish economy this year. Soa ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom The last week has delivered little let-up in the energy price-driven supply shock to the UK economy triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Inflation is set to rise above 8% later in the spring and we have downgraded our forecast for GDP growth this year ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone We are lowering our forecast for the eurozone economies in light of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The speed at which events are unfolding means that uncertainty remains extremely high, with risks skewed to the downside. Our new projections see a combinat ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia GAStat data for 2021 show the Saudi economy recovered faster than previously anticipated. GDP growth reached 3.3% last year, higher than our estimate of 2.4%, and we now forecast 3.9% growth in 2022. We expect 2.1% growth in the non-oil sector this y ... Read More
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