Category: International Trade
Europe International Trade
-
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Malta
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Malta Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2022, increasing by 1.8%, picking up to 2.3% growth in 2023. Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany
... the rebound in spending. New supply disruptions are also set to constrain the budding recovery in industrial production, at least in the near-term. We now expect GDP growth of 2.4% in 2022, down from 3.5% ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Portugal
... will likely be among the eurozone countries least affected economically by the conflict. The structure and composition of the Portuguese electricity market are expected to continue to mitigate the rise in prices, while Portugal also ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
... shock to the UK economy triggered by Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Inflation is set to rise above 8% later in the spring and we have downgraded our forecast for GDP growth this year and next. Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Austria
... but headwinds are now intensifying. We expect a large hit to trade, a direct hit from trade with Russia and Ukraine, amplified by closely integrated European value-chains and the impact of sanctions. And we also ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain
... incomes. We now expect GDP to grow 5.1% this year (from a previous 5.6% forecast) and 3.9% in 2023. If the conflict escalates and continues for an extended period, it will lead to further downward ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Kingdom
... will delay some of the pain for consumers and mean the bigger hit to activity comes next year, leading us to cut our 2023 GDP growth forecast by 0.5ppts to 2.1%. The weaker growth outlook ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Latvia
... Russian invasion of Ukraine probably dampening trade and investment. Finance, exports and energy supplies are more resilient than in past times of Russian isolation, with more scope for fiscal action to counter lower private-sector and ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Hungary
... strong carry-over effects into early 2022, caution is warranted. Record-high inflation will continue to drag on consumer spending. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine will hit trade and sentiment, and will further boost inflation through ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Poland
... trade and commodity prices. It’s too early to incorporate the impact in our forecast, as the final scope of economic sanctions is not yet known, so we have kept our GDP forecast for 2022 at ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic
... our assumptions. However, we are likely to cut our forecast in light of the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which has pushed up energy prices further on top of the large upside inflation surprise in January. Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
... Q4 despite a 0.4% m/m contraction in December due to the reimposition of Covid containment measures. While growth is expected to slow in Q1, we see monthly momentum picking up now that all restrictions on ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Netherlands
... result of this and the lifting of nearly all containment measures by end-February, we have raised our GDP growth forecast for this year substantially to 4.1% from 3.5% previously, but we still see growth of ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Ireland
... to around 2% in 2023. And while cost pressures facing firms stayed very elevated, there were signs of some easing. That said, the recent upward pressure on energy prices from geopolitical tensions threatens to worsen ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Belgium
... the years ahead, we expect growth to normalise and hover around 1.5% in 2023-25 after the strong recovery from the shock of the pandemic. We have raised our 2022 inflation forecast sharply to 5.2% due ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland
... 3.1%. The key driver of the upward revision is the surprisingly fast and far-reaching opening up from February. As a result, catch-up effects will have a greater impact this year than previously assumed. But this ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden
... peaked and has been mild overall, with restrictions largely abolished. However, we expect inflation to stay higher for longer, denting real incomes and presenting a downside risk for our consumption outlook. Input and labour shortages ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - France
... passed, restrictions will soon start to be eased. Although we continue to expect consumption to recover markedly in Q2 and Q3, we now see a milder rebound as persistent high inflation has clouded the consumption ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Greece
... EU funds and related projects. The economy experienced a steady recovery during 2021, with GDP growth seen at 8.8% after a sharp and symmetric drop in 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic. Activity outperformed in ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Denmark
... to 3.4%. All domestic restrictions were eased at the end of January, in line with our view that despite incredibly high Covid cases, the economic hit from Omicron will be mild and short-lived. Downside risks ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Serbia
... with other data revisions took full-year growth to 7.5% from 6.7% that we saw previously. We expect the robust recovery to continue in 2022 with expansion of 6.2%, supported by private consumption, exports and construction. Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Finland
... we expected, and the Omicron wave is likely to have peaked in several regions with the remaining mild restrictions set to be relaxed soon. After a relatively slow start to Q1, we expect the economy ... Read More
-
Global Trade Finance Market, By Finance Type (Structured Trade Finance, Supply Chain Finance, Traditional Trade Finance), By Offering (Letters of Credit, Bill of Lading, Export Factoring, Insurance, Others), By Service Provider (Banks, Trade Finance Houses), By End-User (Small and Medium Enterprises, Large Enterprises), By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific (APAC), Latin America (LATAM), Middle-East & Africa (MEA)Trend Analysis, Competitive Market Share & Forecast, 2018-2028
... By End-User (Small and Medium Enterprises, Large Enterprises), By Region (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific (APAC), Latin America (LATAM), Middle-East & Africa (MEA)Trend Analysis, Competitive Market Share & Forecast, 2018-2028 Trade Finance Market Poised to Witness ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - Italy
... q/q, resulting in overall growth of 6.5% in 2021. We expect another quarter of weak GDP growth in Q1 this year due to higher energy prices before activity strengthens during the spring and summer. But ... Read More
-
Country Economic Forecasts - United Kingdom
... month. A 54% rise in the energy price cap means we now expect CPI inflation to hit 7.5% in April, and the MPC’s hawkish rhetoric suggests that Bank Rate will rise to 1.0% by May ... Read More
Research Assistance
