Category: Heavy Industry
Heavy Industry market research reports by Oxford Economics
-
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Germany
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Germany Value-added industrial output shrunk again in Q3, this time falling by 1.4% q/q. There is little reason for cheer in most of the recent data: October, the first month of Q4, showed another drop in the industrial production index, bringing levels to jus ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Africa - Libya
Analysis by Region - Africa - Libya Oil production recovered markedly over the past two months, following disruptions to production in August and September due to political turmoil. A struggle for influence over the Central Bank of Libya (CBL) led to a political crisis in mid-August and a sharp drop ... Read More
-
Industry - Global Industry Forecasts - Aerospace
Industry - Global Industry Forecasts - Aerospace Global aerospace growth remains positive. We forecast a 2.6% expansion in 2025, off the back of strong growth in 2024. The medium-term forecast will continue to be strong with 3.2% growth in 2026. For 2025 we expect growth to be stable in advanced eco ... Read More
-
Industry - Global Industry Forecasts - Basic Metals
Industry - Global Industry Forecasts - Basic Metals We have revised our basic metals production forecast for 2025 to 1.1% due to weaker demand prospects as the US dollar appreciates, trade frictions increase, and China’s economy structurally slows. Most metal markets have been oversupplied this year ... Read More
-
Industry - Global Industry Forecasts - Chemicals
Industry - Global Industry Forecasts - Chemicals Our global outlook for the sector remains positive as we expect production to expand 2.9% in 2025 and 3.3% in 2026. Gas prices are stabilising and destocking has run its course which is easing pressure off producers. However, we expect trade frictions ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ecuador
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ecuador We revised our growth forecast up by 0.6ppts to 1.8% for 2025 and 2.8% for 2026 after a null growth in 2024. Private demand is expected to recover from a 1% contraction in 2024 to 1.8% growth in 2025. This rebound is mainly due to base effects, as market ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Guyana
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Guyana We have cut our GDP growth forecasts for Guyana by 2.7ppts to 22.5% in 2025 and by 2.9ppts to 14.2% in 2026 to reflect a more bearish outlook for global oil prices. In the medium term, we forecast a sustained period of 4% growth given waning base effects a ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Europe
Analysis by Region - Europe We forecast Turkmenistan's GDP growth will pick up to 4.1% in 2025, an improvement from recent years. Stabilising natural gas prices and stronger-than-expected population growth will be the main growth drivers next year as the economy strengthens from several years of ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Virgin Islands (US)
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Virgin Islands (US) We upgraded our 2025 GDP forecast for the US Virgin Islands by 1.3ppts to 2.7% y/y. This is to reflect the significant investment and funding of infrastructure that the territory is set to receive in the upcoming year. ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Solomon Islands
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Solomon Islands We have revised up our 2024 GDP growth forecast for the Solomon Islands by 0.1ppts to 2.3%, still below the Asia Pacific average of 3.9%. We expect similar levels of growth through 2025, as large infrastructure projects outlined in the Solomon' ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Kiribati
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Kiribati We expect Kiribati's GDP will grow by a modest 0.9% next year, following strong growth of 3% in 2024. The positive growth effects of a 38% rise in public sector wages in 2024 is expected to taper off next year. Kiribati's economic performance con ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Niger
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Niger The 2,000-km Niger-Benin Oil Export Pipeline is anticipated to transform Niger into a significant regional oil producer. Boasting a capacity of 110,000 barrels per day (bpd), the pipeline continues to make headlines – for all the wrong reasons. The pipel ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sierra Leone
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sierra Leone Weak economic institutions, persistent cost-of-living crises, and high susceptibility to external shocks hinder sustained economic growth in Sierra Leone. Nevertheless, easing inflation should bolster government spending and private sector activit ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone Data releases this week show that eurozone momentum remains weak. The October composite PMI is still in contractionary territory, though marginally. France's composite PMI deteriorated over the month, whereas Germany posted a gain for the first time since May. ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Congo Republic
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Congo Republic Congo's average oil production declined to 259,000 bpd in the first nine months of the year from 275,300 bpd in the same period in 2023. We now project a sharper 4.0% reduction in Congo's average oil output for 2024 (-3.1% estimated prev ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone Despite a small respite from positive German industrial production numbers in August, most economic indicators in Europe continue to point to a persistent lack of momentum. Near-term prospects remain muted, as Europe's largest economy remains mired in a slump. ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone The eurozone's disinflation process reached an important milestone this week as inflation dipped below 2% for the first time in over three years. The details reinforced indications of a soft inflation print, and significantly, a quick cooling in services infla ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Iraq
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Iraq We've raised our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Iraq by 0.6ppts to 2.5%. We mainly attribute our upward revision to the overproduction of oil since January, supported by expansionary fiscal policy. But we've lowered our forecast for 2025 to 2.8% from 3 ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone In a week of few major data releases, the fall in the Sentix index for a third consecutive month in September sounded another downbeat note for the near-term outlook in the eurozone. The fall is particularly large in Germany, where sentiment has fallen to levels n ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone We think this week's data releases cement the case for the ECB to cut rates in September. Key among them is today's flash inflation for August, which came in at 2.2%, adding to the large drop in negotiated wages from last week. Together with recent communi ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Costa Rica
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Costa Rica We've nudged up our forecast for Costa Rica's GDP growth this year by 0.2ppts to 3.7% as investment figures surprised to the upside in Q2 2024. However, consumption has slowed down amid lower growth in real incomes and higher unemployment. M ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone Flash PMIs improved over the month in August, stopping the series of subdued surveys published recently. But this was primarily due to the impact of the Paris Olympics on the French services PMI, which reached its highest level in more than two years. ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone Survey data continue to paint the disappointing picture that eurozone sentiment and activity growth are deteriorating. A second consecutive monthly fall left the Sentix measure at a seven-month low in August. The final PMIs for July still suggest eurozone growth n ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ukraine
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ukraine The severe energy shortages and the intensifying war, accompanied by a new wave of mobilisation, have dampened Ukraine's economic recovery to only 1.1% y/y of GDP growth in June, from 3.7% y/y in May. But due to stronger growth in Q1, GDP reached a de ... Read More
-
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone This week's flash PMIs provided more evidence that the eurozone recovery ran out of steam before it began. The eurozone composite PMI sunk in July to a level consistent with stagnation and a contraction in Germany and France. This was reinforced by national se ... Read More
Research Assistance
