Category: Financial Services
Financial Services market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Algeria
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India The Reserve Bank of India's hawkish shift in April and the surge in March CPI to 7% have pushed up our 2022-end policy rate forecast to 5%. We expect the economy to weather the slightly faster pace of monetary policy normalisation and maintain our 2022 ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Nigeria
Analysis by Region - Africa - Nigeria While the war between Russia and Ukraine has increased international uncertainty, the Nigerian economy remains undeterred. The non-oil economy's strong performance persisted in the first quarter of the year, as the PMI moderated only slightly to 55.0 in Q1 2 ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Romania
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Romania Romania's GDP growth is expected to slow to 3.0% this year from 5.8% in 2021 due to fading base effects and fallout from the war. Meanwhile, economic sentiment remained buoyant in March, due to government support for households and SME energy bills wh ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar Qatar's GDP grew 1.5% in 2021, 0.7ppt below our forecast, after annual growth slowed in Q4 against our expectations of a pick-up. Although the latest industrial production reading displays notable weakness, we have kept our 2022 GDP growth forecast unch ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway Our 2022 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on household consumption represents the main downside risk to our outlook. Otherwise, growth prospects remain resolute. An incredib ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway Our 2022 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on household consumption represents the main downside risk to our outlook. Otherwise, growth prospects remain resolute. An incredib ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone Different forces are pulling the eurozone economy in opposite directions. The impact of the war in Ukraine continues to cause an energy-driven inflation surge and a massive hit to confidence, as well as an exacerbation of the pre-existing problems in supply chains ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets Emerging market (EM) import prices on average have risen 13% since the start of the year, due in part to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. As a result, we expect the median EM trade balance to improve slightly, by 0.7% in GDP (Chart 1). While commodity pro ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia We have maintained our 2022-2023 GDP growth forecasts for Indonesia at 5.7%, despite downside risks stemming from the Russia-Ukraine war and weaker growth prospects for China. We project a continued recovery in domestic demand, with the Covid pandemic&# ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden We have lowered Sweden's growth outlook for this year to 2.8% from 3.1% amid weak Q1 data. The main headwind continues to be high inflation, eroding real disposable incomes and private consumption. Input shortages had been easing until Russia's inv ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Germany Russia's invasion of Ukraine will materially undermine this year's recovery. We have further revised down our forecasts this month due to expected higher inflation this year and our more downbeat view on the industrial outlook, given a swift hit f ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Headline consumer prices rose at their fastest annual pace since December 1981 in April. We expect CPI inflation to peak in April, but more importantly look for only a gradual retreat, and expect prices to still be running 5% higher on an annual basis by year-end. That ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - North America - US
Analysis by Region - North America - US There are signs that the 8.5 percent inflation rate in March marks the peak of the inflation cycle. A lot depends on oil and food prices, which are held hostage by the war in Ukraine, as well as spreading Covid lockdowns in China, which may prolong supply-chai ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - South Africa
Analysis by Region - Africa - South Africa Stagflation risks in South Africa have risen with real GDP forecast to grow at a slower rate of 1.6%, while average inflation is expected to increase to 5.6% in 2022. That said, low growth and high inflation have been key features of the economy even before ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - North America - Canada
Analysis by Region - North America - Canada While the Canadian economy proved resilient in Q1 2022 amid Omicron and tighter restrictions, a more hawkish Bank of Canada, spill over effects from the Russia-Ukraine war, and a correction in house prices are expected to slow growth later in the year and ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets Covid restrictions will weigh on Chinese household consumption and industrial production at least through April and into May. This could have a significant impact on global supply chains. ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom February's GDP data showed contrasting impacts of the transition to living with Covid. Most of the benefits, in terms of a rebound in social consumption, have now been enjoyed. But some of the costs, in the form of less support to health output from Covi ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone Incumbent president Emmanuel Macron will face Marine Le Pen in the second round of French elections at the end of this month. The results of the first round show the unprecedented fragmentation of public opinion amid a clear rise of the extremes on the far right a ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Austria
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Austria Geopolitical tensions, in tandem with worsening inflation following sanctions on Russia, have clouded Austria's outlook. Supply chain disruptions were just beginning to recover prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, but headwinds are now intensifyi ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Eurozone The conflict in Ukraine is having an acute impact on the eurozone. Our projections see a combination of higher-for-longer inflation and lower growth, mainly via more subdued consumption and industrial activity. We project eurozone GDP will grow by 2.8% i ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Chile
Analysis by Region - Latin America - Chile We have lowered our 2022 GDP forecast to 1%, from 2%, to reflect a larger impact of policy tightening on short-run growth and weaker supply-side fundamentals (resulting in the lowering of our potential output estimate to 2.3% pa, from 2.5%). ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Mexico
Analysis by Region - Latin America - Mexico While data may point to a slightly stronger-than-expected expansion in Q1, soaring inflation, tighter financial conditions and slower global growth due to the war in Ukraine are weighing on Mexico's outlook. We have shaved our 2022 GDP growth forecast ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - North America
Analysis by Region - North America We expect GDP growth slowed sharply in Q1, though the underwhelming performance reflects a slower inventory build and weaker exports. While we believe the economy will prove resilient to rising headwinds from higher inflation and a more aggressive Fed tightening cy ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Ecuador
Analysis by Region - Latin America - Ecuador Despite a 4.2% expansion in GDP in 2021 backed by robust consumption, Ecuador's economy continues to struggle to recover to pre-pandemic levels. Persistent rifts between Congress and the executive branch have put President Lasso’s reform agenda at ris ... Read More
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