Banking Market Research Reports & Industry Analysis
Banking Industry Research & Market Reports
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Anguilla
... for the country's domain name '.ai' and the anticipated gradual improvement of global market conditions early next year as central banks cut interest rates. However, previously high interest rates are still having enduring effects, so ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Antigua and Barbuda
... for Antigua and Barbuda by 1.4ppts to 2.8% y/y. We think the momentum from the post-pandemic recovery in tourism numbers will subside and growth levels will be closer to the economy's long-run potential growth rate. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Israel
... the ceasefire announcement between Israel and Hezbollah, and markets expect the conflict will wind down early next year. We still forecast the war will likely end in H1 2025, but recognise this could come sooner. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic
... at a modest growth pace, failing to pick up momentum. But we expect growth will strengthen to 2.8% next year as monetary easing feeds through to a lower domestic savings rate and demand improves for ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates
... has delayed a planned supply increase until early next year in reaction to the weak oil demand outlook and production growth outside of OPEC+. Given the sluggish demand outlook means oil prices will likely remain ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Armenia
... domestic demand components have increased. In 2025, the key contributors to growth will be narrower, mainly driven by a 5.7% increase in private consumption and a 2.2% rise in government consumption. Meanwhile, fixed investment is ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Syrian Arab Republic
... 1.8% y/y contraction. The downward revision reflects inflation rates that continue to soar above expectations, persistent currency depreciation, spillovers from the wider regional conflict, and the regime's limited capacity to implement effective countermeasures to these. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Zimbabwe
... strained fiscal spending, adding to pressure on the currency. As a result, Zimbabwean authorities devalued the ZiG by nearly 43% in September, narrowing the gap between the official and black-market exchange rates. While this adjustment ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Grenada
... of Carriacou and Petit Martinique, will leave a lasting mark on the supply side of the economy. The impact on 2024 growth will be more severe. We've lowered our forecast for this year by 0.7ppts ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France
... projection by 0.1ppts to 0.8% as GDP figures for Q3 2024 were a bit less favourable than we expected, resulting in a weaker carryover. Plus, deteriorating business sentiment is clouding the outlook for next year. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Indonesia
... grew by 5.0% y/y in Q3, maintaining a similar pace to Q2. We expect private consumption – a key driver of growth – will remain resilient. Plus, year-end spending will provide final push in Q4. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan
... 2027 due to better export prospects. We believe the benefits generated by a stronger US economy under fiscal stimulus will outweigh the wedge from assumed 10% tariffs on Japan's autos and metals exports to the ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore
... momentum will drop back from Q4. But buoyant electronics demand suggests the pace of growth into next year is likely to remain healthy. So, we forecast economic growth will pick up to 4.1% in 2025. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
... expansionary 2025 budget suggests a stronger-than-expected fiscal impulse totalling 0.7ppts next year. This will make fiscal policy a key growth driver next year as monetary policy continues to constrain private sector investment and household spending. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Philippines
... demand. While some pickup in consumer durable goods imports over the last two months suggested consumer confidence is improving, concerns about the outlook for job markets and incomes will continue to constrain private consumption growth. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Luxembourg
... and data revisions show a 0.7% q/q uptick in Q1. Luxembourg's economy is set to outpace growth in the eurozone and post a marked recovery as easing monetary policy supports the outlook. The strength in ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland We've maintained our GDP growth forecast for Switzerland at 1.0% for this year and 1.5% for 2025 (adjusted for revenues from major sporting events). Read More
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Analysis by Region - Europe
... to 4.1% in 2025, an improvement from recent years. Stabilising natural gas prices and stronger-than-expected population growth will be the main growth drivers next year as the economy strengthens from several years of soft growth. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Thailand
... that Thailand's economy will grow by 3% in 2025, following an estimated 2.7% expansion in 2024. Q3 growth data was somewhat better than expected, but we don't think this reflects a permanent rebound in momentum. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Montenegro
... next year. We expect solid growth at the tail end of this year as inflation continues to ease and monetary policy loosens. The ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict represents a significant downside risk to the 2025 outlook. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Taiwan
... 4.2% growth in 2024. The above-3% growth rate forecast reflects our view that Taiwan's economic fundamentals remain solid, especially considering that local tech companies will remain well positioned to benefit from continued global AI demand. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Colombia
... mainly to less carry-over and slower private consumption. Conversely, we expect investment will rebound considerably as we see it gradually returning to levels reached before President Gustavo Petro's administration. Risks are tilted to the downside ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Hungary
... revision was triggered by a negative surprise in Q3 when GDP contracted for the second consecutive quarter. While we expect growth to pick up in 2026-2027, we consider risks as increasingly skewed to the downside. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Guadeloupe
... decline to 1.7% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026, we don't anticipate a strong recovery in consumption as cost-of-living pressures remain and earnings growth will slow. Our long-term outlook is subdued reflecting the current trend ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea
... provide a boost to exports next year. However, economic policy uncertainty will undermine South Korea's investment recovery. We trimmed our medium-term GDP forecasts due to our assumption about targeted tariffs being introduced in 2026. Blanket ... Read More
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