Category: Banking
Europe Banking
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Belgium
... manufacturing recovers. A data revision suggests momentum was not as strong as believed. We expect inflation to average 1.5% in 2025, after 3.1% in 2024, thanks to lower international energy prices and easing inflationary pressures. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Portugal
... overall outlook remains solid. Improving real disposable incomes and the EU's Recovery and Resilience Facility will support growth. The economy will also benefit from its continued strong tourism activity. But as tourism growth normalises, we ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Albania
... sector – evidenced by rising confidence and strong annual output growth – and a booming tourism sector, with record-high arrivals nearly 20% above last year's cumulative figures through August. July's rate cut will provide an ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
... Bank Rate by 25bps to 4.75% at its meeting this week. Most MPC members concluded that although last week's Budget was likely to boost growth and inflation, a gradual approach to loosening policy remained appropriate. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania
... unable to keep pace, resulting in a large drag from net trade. With these dynamics unlikely to unwind in the near-term, we expect annual GDP growth to slow this year. The carryover effects from recent ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ukraine
... last through most of 2025. As conflict intensifies and attacks on energy infrastructure have destroyed about half of generation capacity, the economic recovery has slowed down and we think it will cool further into winter. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Serbia
... our forecast for this year. In 2025, a more favourable carryover effect will offset the slightly softer quarterly economic momentum due to the economic rebound being weaker than previously anticipated in the rest of Europe. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Iceland
... by 2.8% in 2025, accelerating from 0.9% this year. Prospects have improved due to a better demographic outlook. We expect more stubborn inflation, averaging 3.9% next year and 6.0% in 2024, due to its stickiness. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Croatia
... large hike in energy prices early next year that will cause real income growth to slow down considerably. Still, the economy will likely continue to outperform the eurozone average next year and over the long ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland We maintained our GDP growth forecasts for Switzerland at 1% for this year and 1.5% for 2025, adjusted for revenues from major sporting events. Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
... public sector net financial liabilities over the course of the parliament looks likely. But we expect Reeves to keep a decent amount of room against her new debt rule to mitigate market concerns about higher ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Hungary
... as external environment remains challenging and domestic demand recovery has proven underwhelming. While we keep expecting GDP growth to pick up to 3.3% next year, we see growing downside risks to our near-term growth expectations. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
... extended tight policy stance will weigh on the pace of the rebound, but recovering consumption and supportive fiscal policy mean quarterly growth should be among the highest in advanced economies by the end of 2025. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France
... by 0.1ppt. We think industry will likely take slightly longer to rebound, which will weigh on inventories this year. The negative fiscal impulse from the 2025 Budget will inevitably drag growth next year, as government ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Greece
... 2023 is now 2.3% higher than the previous estimate. We'll incorporate the new data into our forecast as soon as the quarterly release is available, but will likely lead to an increase in our forecast. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Austria
... for Q3. But risks are skewed to the downside as industrial production continues to suffer from weak external and domestic demand. We think GDP will contract by 0.5% this year before expanding by 1.1% in ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic
... remains patchy, with manufacturing and construction still constrained by high rates and low demand. But the economy is gaining momentum, the drag from fiscal policy will fade next year, and monetary policy both home and ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Poland
... pick-up in GDP over Q2, we estimate the recovery continued in Q3, but at a slower pace. We expect resilient domestic demand will keep supporting activity. The currently weak external environment will improve next year ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Italy
... kept our 2025 GDP growth forecast at 1.0%, we recognise some downside risks to our outlook as surveys have been softer than at the start of this year. We project inflation will average 1.0% this ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden
... pace in the next few quarters due to household real income gains, easing financial conditions, and improved domestic and external demand. Both fiscal and monetary policy will support growth next year, making Sweden the fastest ... Read More
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Open Banking Market: Global Market Size, Forecast, Insights, Segmentation, and Competitive Landscape with Impact of COVID-19 & Russia-Ukraine War
... 2025-2034. This report on global open banking market report provides holistic understanding of the market along with market sizing, forecast, drivers, challenges, and competitive landscape. The report presents a clear picture of the global open ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Finland
... down historical GDP and components, resulting in weaker growth this year. We've also scaled back our projection for momentum in the coming quarters to reflect less consumption and investment, resulting in lower growth next year. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Kingdom
... The downgrade to this year is due to growth in Q2 being revised lower. We expect growth to be softer in 2025 because large downward revisions to the household saving ratio over the past couple ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
... cooled from the well above-trend rates seen in H1 2024, the economy continues to enjoy decent momentum. We're unlikely to change our forecast that GDP will grow by 1% this year and 1.5% in 2025. Read More
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Factoring in the UK - Industry Market Research Report
... government's heavy backing of conventional lending hit demand for factoring companies; that's not to say the government doesn't support factoring, since the British Business Banks provide guarantees to cover a portion of credit losses for ... Read More
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