Category: Banking
South America Banking
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ecuador
... from a 1% contraction in 2024 to 1.8% growth in 2025. This rebound is mainly due to base effects, as market conditions for consumers and businesses will remain tough. Our GDP projections are above the ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Argentina
... better-than-expected Q3 performance in the external sector. Our forecast for next year is lower than consensus for 2025 but higher for 2026. The approved RIGI scheme presents an upside risk to growth, while the La ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets
... This reflects our view that private consumption is gaining momentum as inflation falls faster than we anticipated. With interest rates falling and inflation cooling, we anticipate a slight uptick in growth next year to 4%. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Chile
... monthly activity print was well below our expectation, and subsequent Q3 national accounts confirmed growth of 0.7% q/q, 0.2ppts below our forecast. We have also lowered our 2024 growth forecast by 0.1ppts to 2.4% y/y. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Guyana
... in 2026 to reflect a more bearish outlook for global oil prices. In the medium term, we forecast a sustained period of 4% growth given waning base effects and a maturing of the oil industry. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Colombia
... mainly to less carry-over and slower private consumption. Conversely, we expect investment will rebound considerably as we see it gradually returning to levels reached before President Gustavo Petro's administration. Risks are tilted to the downside ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Paraguay
... labor market and a recovery in real wages, along with more accommodative financial conditions, support our forecast. We expect these factors will drive domestic demand to expand by 5.7% this year and 4.0% next. This ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Peru
... financial conditions. However, we expect economic activity will slow in Q4 2024 due to intermittent strikes and protests, which pose downside risks to our view for next year if momentum slows further than we expect. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bolivia
... to 1.0% due to the protracted riots and higher inflation weighing on feeble domestic demand. The Supreme Court banned ex-president Evo Morales from running in the 2025 elections, triggering a political stalemate. Meanwhile, the Congress ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Venezuela
... with our forecast. The country will likely reach 1mn bpd output next year, as foreign oil licences continue. After July's elections, our baseline continues to be for President Nicolás Maduro to be re-elected with current economic ... Read More
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Economy of Bolivia 2024
... positive growth. However in the last decade revenue from natural gas exports is down significantly, which has left a hole in the public finances. The Government has resorted to the Central Bank to fund its ... Read More
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Economy of Paraguay 2024
... develop housing and healthcare. A major anomaly in its trade is that China is the single largest source of imports whereas it has minimal exports in the other direction. This situation will only be rectified ... Read More
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Economy of Uruguay 2024
... order to raise the growth rate it needs to integrate further in the industrial supply chains of Brazil and Argentina, invest in niche high value added sectors and continue to develope its exports to China. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Brazil
... earnings, although cooling, will still rise over 6% this year, while households hesitate to rebuild savings despite two-digit interest rates. Together, this will likely result in a domestic demand-based expansion for 2024. We expect an ... Read More
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Paraguay In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Paraguay through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Paraguay through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay
... was largely fueled by the external sector, reflecting historically high exports from a better-than-expected harvest season. We trimmed our 2025 GDP growth outlook by 0.2ppts to 2.6%, as a 5.7% import rebound, fueled by a ... Read More
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Economy of Chile 2024
... same time that period created the basis for a funcioning economy which was bequeated to its democratic successors. Chile consistently grows in the 5-6% pa range and is considered a model country in the region. Read More
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Economy of Peru 2024
... failed sate. In the 1990's the Government of Fujimori undertook reforms that restored order to the public finances. Since the Millennium Peru is a much better ruuuuuuuuuun country and regularly grows at 5% a year. Read More
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Brazil In-depth PESTLE Insights
... analysis.Synopsis Understand the political system in Brazil through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Brazil through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer demographics ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Argentina
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Argentina Industrial production (manufacturing, extraction and utilities) is forecast to lag economic growth in 2024, falling by 7.7%, picking up to 6.2% growth in 2025. Read More
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Economy of Colombia 2024
... the most successful countries in Latin America. It joined the OECD in 2020, has manageable debt and deficits and has achieved near universal health coverage. Numerous challenges are works in progress but the dramatic fall ... Read More
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Banking-as-a-service (baas) Market in Latin America 2024-2028
... of 19.5% during the forecast period. The report on the banking-as-a-service (BaaS) market in Latin America provides a holistic analysis, market size and forecast, trends, growth drivers, and challenges, as well as vendor analysis covering ... Read More
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Peru In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Peru through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Peru through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More
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Latin America Banking As A Service - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2024 - 2029)
... 2024, and is expected to reach USD 3.32 billion by 2029, growing at a CAGR of 7% during the forecast period (2024-2029). Banking-as-a-service (or white-label banking) is a system that allows non-bank businesses to embed ... Read More
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Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Colombia
... In nominal terms, the three segments are forecast to grow by 8.3%, 7.6%, and 7.9%, respectively, in 2024. Bogota, Cali and Medellin are among the best performing cities of Colombia. These areas contributed 33.8% of ... Read More
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