Category: Business Services & Administration
Business Services & Administration market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Japan
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Japan The forecast for Japan’s GDP growth of 2.8% in 2022 has been lowered recently, due to higher-than-expected energy costs and inflation, and their impact early in the year on consumption and exports. However, we expect consumption will regain momentum in Q ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Hungary
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Hungary We have cut our near-term GDP growth forecast for Hungary, given the economic fallout from the Russian invasion of Ukraine that will hamper the post-pandemic recovery. Notably, inflation will stay higher for longer, weighing on consumption, a major growth ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Germany
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Germany German industry was on a strongly expansionary path through January amid a rebound in automotive production as supply bottlenecks were steadily easing. But it will be among the hardest hit European economies with respect to the rise in energy prices an ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Jordan
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Jordan The UAE's non-oil PMI rose to 54.8 in February from 54.1 in January on the back of a strong recovery in travel and tourism and market demand as fears of the Omicron variant faded. In February, Dubai alone welcomed 1.2m visitors, in comparison to just o ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway The fallout from the Russia-Ukraine conflict and a brief but sharp hit from the Omicron outbreak have prompted us to cut our 2022 mainland GDP growth forecast by 0.7ppts to 3.6%. While government subsidies for household electricity bills are containing ene ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore We have further lowered our 2023 GDP growth forecast for Singapore by 0.2ppts to 2.3% from our previous baseline to reflect the weaker global growth outlook given the greater-than-anticipated scale of formal and informal international sanctions on Russi ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast to 2.5% from 2.8% to reflect the upward revision to our energy price forecasts after Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Headline CPI is now projected to average 1.6% in 2022, up from 1.3% previously. With few signs ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Czech Republic We have cut our 2022 growth forecast sharply by 1.2pp to 1.9% following Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Higher inflation due to soaring commodity prices is the main cuplrit, but supply chains, the exchange rate and trade will all be negatively af ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Brazil
Analysis by Region - Latin America - Brazil Brazil's economy recovered at a faster pace than we had expected in Q4 2021, putting it in a strong position to benefit from the added boost to terms of trade coming from the surge in commodity prices since the war in Ukraine started. As a result, we h ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China After a better-than-expected start to the year, recent Omicron outbreaks will undermine China's economic recovery, in addition to the ongoing real estate downturn. While China's economy will be less impacted by the Russia-Ukraine war than Europe and ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Philippines
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Philippines We have raised our Q1 GDP growth forecast for the Philippines as restrictions imposed during the Omicron wave in January proved to be of shorter duration than expected and mobility has picked up sharply. That said, headwinds are mounting as a result o ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ireland
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Ireland A 5.4% q/q fall in Irish GDP in Q4 2021 was surprisingly weak. But the drop was driven by a surge in intellectual property imports by multinationals, exaggerating the underlying weakness. A spike in Q4 imports is likely to reverse, causing GDP growth to r ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Netherlands
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Netherlands We expect Russia's invasion of Ukraine to mean energy prices will stay higher for longer, pushing up Dutch inflation further and weakening growth. We have raised our inflation forecast to 5.7% for this year (from 5.1% last month) and 1.1% in 2023. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Croatia
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Croatia Croatia's economy bounced back briskly from the pandemic in 2021 despite ending the year with a slight GDP contraction. Looking ahead to this year, though, we expect growth to slow considerably from 10% in 2021 to 2.6% in 2022, down from our previo ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Europe
Analysis by Region - Europe Ukraine's economy has likely contracted by about 40%-45% in the one month since Russia's invasion compared to pre-crisis levels. Our forecast for the rest of the year depends crucially on how long the fighting will last. Judging by Russia’s stalled offensive, we b ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - South Africa
Analysis by Region - Africa - South Africa South Africa's real GDP growth of 1.2% q-o-q in Q4 was lower than the consensus forecast of 1.3% q-o-q, and higher than our expectation of a 1.1% q-o-q expansion. The latest increase means that annual real GDP rose by 4.9% in 2021 following a contractio ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ghana
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ghana Ghana's post-pandemic economic activity steadily gathered impetus last year with annual real GDP growth accelerating as the year progressed. Consequently, we estimate that real economic growth reached 4.6% in 2021. The country's prospects for 202 ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Bulgaria
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Bulgaria The outlook has changed significantly for the worse, so we have revised our growth and inflation forecasts sharply. We now see Bulgarian GDP advancing 2.9% in 2022, 0.7pp down from a month ago, and 3.9% in 2023. As for inflation, we have raised our call ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mozambique
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mozambique We expect the commodity price shock caused by the Russia-Ukraine war will bolster exports and government revenues, which will offset the impact of higher import prices on inflation and consumer spending. The benefit to GDP will be limited though, as ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa
Analysis by Region - Africa While economic activity was bolstered by the non-oil sectors in 2021, and real GDP expanded by 3.6%, improvements in the oil sector are expected to sustain a strong economic performance in 2022. Elevated oil prices should bolster the hydrocarbons sector, and these benefit ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone This week, we finally received business and consumer surveys for March, the first to be released since Russia invaded Ukraine. Unsurprisingly, the drop was widespread. The PMIs surprised with their relative resilience, recording only a small fall, but other survey ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Tunisia
Analysis by Region - Africa - Tunisia Russia's invasion of Ukraine could impact the Tunisian economy through three channels: food, fuel, and tourism. This presents tangible risks to the North African country's economic growth and led us to lower our growth forecast for 2022 from 3.4% to 2.0%. Tunisi ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets Following an uncertain start to 2022 due to the Omicron wave of the pandemic, emerging markets (EMs) face new headwinds stemming from the Russia-Ukraine conflict. The impact on growth will be dramatic in Russia and Ukraine, significant in emerging Europe, ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Switzerland
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Rising and broadening inflation pressures are pushing Fed Chair Pro Tempore Powell and his fellow FOMC members into a more hawkish stance. With inflation set to run even hotter than current readings, policymakers have a difficult job before them as they try to bring dow ... Read More