Category: Business Services & Administration
Business Services & Administration market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Argentina
Analysis by Region - Latin America - Argentina We have upgraded our 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.2ppts to 2.4% due to a better-than-expected 1.2% q/q estimated expansion in Q1, led by an output rebound in February and booming exports. Yet, as the central bank (BCRA) is currently on a tightening cyc ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - France The invasion of Ukraine by Russia continues to dominate France's outlook. While the direct impact on the French economy will likely be limited given the modest weight of Russia and Ukraine on France’s exports and imports, the real pain will be felt in ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Malaysia
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Malaysia We have lowered our 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.2ppts to 5.9% to reflect slower export growth due to the fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and Covid lockdowns in China. We still expect the end of coronavirus pandemic-related restrictions, the re ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Nigeria
Analysis by Region - Africa - Nigeria While the war between Russia and Ukraine has increased international uncertainty, the Nigerian economy remains undeterred. The non-oil economy's strong performance persisted in the first quarter of the year, as the PMI moderated only slightly to 55.0 in Q1 2 ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore We have maintained our 2022 and 2023 GDP growth forecasts for Singapore at 3.3% and 2.3%, respectively, as Q1 2022 GDP numbers landed within our expectations. Domestically, a significant easing of Covid-related restrictions will boost private consumptio ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China The prolonged lockdown in Shanghai plus highway controls in a number of provinces are severely disrupting domestic and port logistics. While land transport and industrial production have improved somewhat after a sharp slowdown in early April, we think the ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore We have maintained our 2022 and 2023 GDP growth forecasts for Singapore at 3.3% and 2.3%, respectively, as Q1 2022 GDP numbers landed within our expectations. Domestically, a significant easing of Covid-related restrictions will boost private consumptio ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - China The prolonged lockdown in Shanghai plus highway controls in a number of provinces are severely disrupting domestic and port logistics. While land transport and industrial production have improved somewhat after a sharp slowdown in early April, we think the ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Algeria
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - India The Reserve Bank of India's hawkish shift in April and the surge in March CPI to 7% have pushed up our 2022-end policy rate forecast to 5%. We expect the economy to weather the slightly faster pace of monetary policy normalisation and maintain our 2022 ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa - Nigeria
Analysis by Region - Africa - Nigeria While the war between Russia and Ukraine has increased international uncertainty, the Nigerian economy remains undeterred. The non-oil economy's strong performance persisted in the first quarter of the year, as the PMI moderated only slightly to 55.0 in Q1 2 ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Romania
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Romania Romania's GDP growth is expected to slow to 3.0% this year from 5.8% in 2021 due to fading base effects and fallout from the war. Meanwhile, economic sentiment remained buoyant in March, due to government support for households and SME energy bills wh ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Qatar Qatar's GDP grew 1.5% in 2021, 0.7ppt below our forecast, after annual growth slowed in Q4 against our expectations of a pick-up. Although the latest industrial production reading displays notable weakness, we have kept our 2022 GDP growth forecast unch ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Pakistan
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Pakistan Rising inflation, a widening external deficit and political uncertainty are adding to macroeconomic imbalances. Overall, we forecast GDP growth will slow to 4.2% in 2022, after a rise of 6.0% in 2021. Political uncertainty has increased drastically as th ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway Our 2022 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on household consumption represents the main downside risk to our outlook. Otherwise, growth prospects remain resolute. An incredib ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Norway Our 2022 mainland GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 3.6%, but a stronger-than-expected impact from the war in Ukraine on household consumption represents the main downside risk to our outlook. Otherwise, growth prospects remain resolute. An incredib ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom
Macro - Weekly Briefings - United Kingdom Sharp falls in consumer confidence and retail sales added to the evidence that cost of living pressures are adversely impacting the economy. April's flash PMIs also fell, with the composite index at a three-month low, albeit comfortably still in growth t ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Chair Powell is in the 50bps rate hike camp for May, a strong indication the Fed is set to raise interest rates by the most at a single policy meeting since 2000. Inflation is approaching its peak but won't fall quickly, and as such we see another 50bps increase in ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Eurozone Different forces are pulling the eurozone economy in opposite directions. The impact of the war in Ukraine continues to cause an energy-driven inflation surge and a massive hit to confidence, as well as an exacerbation of the pre-existing problems in supply chains ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets
Macro - Weekly Briefings - Emerging Markets Emerging market (EM) import prices on average have risen 13% since the start of the year, due in part to Russia's invasion of Ukraine. As a result, we expect the median EM trade balance to improve slightly, by 0.7% in GDP (Chart 1). While commodity pro ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Indonesia We have maintained our 2022-2023 GDP growth forecasts for Indonesia at 5.7%, despite downside risks stemming from the Russia-Ukraine war and weaker growth prospects for China. We project a continued recovery in domestic demand, with the Covid pandemic&# ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The Treasury curve staged a strong bear-flattening shift this week. Front-end yields surged on rising rate hike expectations and an unwinding of curve steepening trades. That included the largest weekly rise in the 1-year bill yield since March 25, and before that since ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sri Lanka
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sri Lanka We have further downgraded our GDP growth forecasts for Sri Lanka by 2.5ppts to 2% in 2022 and by 1.9ppts to 2.4% in 2023 as the external debt crisis spills over to the domestic economy. The lack of foreign exchange (FX) reserves has led to a shortage o ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Spain Spain's 2022 outlook continues to be impacted by the war in Ukraine. Soaring energy prices are pushing inflation higher, eroding real income, while confidence is dramatically down. Thus, we expect Spanish GDP to grow 4.8% this year (down from our previo ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Sweden We have lowered Sweden's growth outlook for this year to 2.8% from 3.1% amid weak Q1 data. The main headwind continues to be high inflation, eroding real disposable incomes and private consumption. Input shortages had been easing until Russia's inv ... Read More
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