Category: International Trade
Asia International Trade
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kazakhstan
... Tengiz oil field is set to boost growth towards end-2025. But the main reason for our forecast upgrade is the unexpectedly strong performance of the non-oil economy. While mining is stagnating, other sectors – construction, ... Read More
-
World textile and apparel trade and production trends: Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey, December 2024
... Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey. The report presents a wealth of information and is essential for anyone who is considering sourcing from, selling to or investing in these countries or their export markets. In particular, ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Armenia
... domestic demand components have increased. In 2025, the key contributors to growth will be narrower, mainly driven by a 5.7% increase in private consumption and a 2.2% rise in government consumption. Meanwhile, fixed investment is ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Georgia
... index down 10 points for Q4 2024, suggesting growth may be losing some steam. In 2025 we expect growth to moderate to 3.7%, closer to trend levels, with the manufacturing sector being the main drag. Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Mongolia
... forecast for 2025 to 6% y/y. For 2024, we expect Mongolia’s GDP to grow by a slightly muted 5.5% after a severe winter with extreme cold and heavy snow across 90% of the country. Estimates put ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Vietnam
... and 6.5% next. Strong industrial production in July and August offset the weakness in September this year despite the impact from Typhoon Yagi. Manufacturing will continue to be the primary engine of growth in 2025. Read More
-
Macroeconomic Growth Opportunities, China, 2024‒2029
... 5.2% rise in 2023. This growth is supported by robust public investment, a resurgence in private consumption, and increased net exports. However, challenges such as an aging labor force, escalating debt levels, and geopolitical tensions ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Kyrgyzstan
... several years of strong growth. The Russia-Ukraine war has bolstered GDP growth in recent years. But although the conflict will continue to provide some support, the economy will normalise towards pre-war growth levels next year. Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Papua New Guinea
... a healthy 4.8% this year. Economic activity in the export-dominated economy will be driven mainly by its extraction sector, with high gold prices and increased mining production combining to fuel growth next year and beyond. Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Laos
... emigration to neighbouring countries, which has exacerbated existing challenges for human capital. We anticipate a recovery will begin in 2026 when we expect the GDP growth rate to reach 4.0%, rising to 4.3% in 2027. Read More
-
Economy of Turkiye 2024
... of industrial progress over several decades and its export profile is that of an advanced country. It has recently experienced a burst of high inflation due to political control of interest rates and the aftermath ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Myanmar
... GDP forecast for Myanmar to 2.0% on the back of the deteriorating security situation, which is affecting every corner of the economy. Confidence is falling and inflation remains high, severely impacting already low real incomes. Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Maldives
... grow by a moderate 3.9% in 2025, after expanding by 7.3% this year. Our outlook accounts for the government's plan to reduce public sector investment, particularly in construction, in an effort to contain fiscal deficits. Read More
-
China In-depth PESTLE Insights
... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in China through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in China through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Afghanistan
... still require humanitarian assistance, the UN has only received 30% of its current $3bn aid target. Limited contributions constrain the support charities provide to those facing chronic poverty and food insecurity, weighing heavily on the ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Macau, China
... to a 12.4% expansion and expect growth will moderate further next year. This partly reflects our view of an economic slowdown for mainland China. We forecast Macau's economy will expand by just 4.7% in 2025. Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Azerbaijan
... trend. Government investment in the Nagorno-Karabakh region and other priority areas such as gas extraction and trade infrastructure will remain key growth drivers. Household consumption growth will moderate as higher headline inflation will weigh on ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Brunei
... 4.0% y/y in Q2, driven by new supply from the Salman offshore oil field. We anticipate that increases in oil production will support overall GDP growth. Additionally, the September Business Sentiment Index shows that firms ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - East Timor
... 3.3%. Assuming that the field runs out by year's end, GDP growth will likely reach 3.9% y/y in 2025 from an expansion of fiscal policy, as the budget for 2025 is USD2.5bn, up from USD2bn ... Read More
-
Thailand In-depth PESTLE Insights
... analysis.Synopsis Understand the political system in Thailand through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Thailand through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer demographics ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Pakistan
... Pakistan We lifted our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Pakistan slightly this year, reflecting a stronger Q1 historical estimate. Agricultural-sector prospects are promising, and there is room for recovery in the industry and services subsectors. Read More
-
Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Singapore
... (20.1%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are forecast to grow by 5.0%, 6.3%, and 3.7%, respectively, in 2024. Singapore’s central region serves as a hub for most financial and professional services firms. The western ... Read More
-
Research Report on China's Uranium Resource Import 2024-2033
... installed capacity of approximately 58.2 million kilowatts. By the end of 2023, there were 26 nuclear power units under construction, with a total installed capacity of 30.3 million kilowatts. China has maintained the world's largest ... Read More
-
Navigating a New Global EV Tariff Landscape Amid Geopolitical Tensions
... to transition to EV production. However, as China solidifies its position as a global leader in the EV market and aggressively expands overseas, concerns about overcapacity, dumping, and unfair competition have grown worldwide. In response, ... Read More
-
Armenia In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis.Synopsis Understand the political system in Armenia through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Armenia through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer demographics ... Read More
Research Assistance
