Category: International Trade
Asia International Trade
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Economy of Turkiye 2024
... of industrial progress over several decades and its export profile is that of an advanced country. It has recently experienced a burst of high inflation due to political control of interest rates and the aftermath ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Maldives
... grow by a moderate 3.9% in 2025, after expanding by 7.3% this year. Our outlook accounts for the government's plan to reduce public sector investment, particularly in construction, in an effort to contain fiscal deficits. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Afghanistan
... still require humanitarian assistance, the UN has only received 30% of its current $3bn aid target. Limited contributions constrain the support charities provide to those facing chronic poverty and food insecurity, weighing heavily on the ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Macau, China
... to a 12.4% expansion and expect growth will moderate further next year. This partly reflects our view of an economic slowdown for mainland China. We forecast Macau's economy will expand by just 4.7% in 2025. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Azerbaijan
... trend. Government investment in the Nagorno-Karabakh region and other priority areas such as gas extraction and trade infrastructure will remain key growth drivers. Household consumption growth will moderate as higher headline inflation will weigh on ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Brunei
... 4.0% y/y in Q2, driven by new supply from the Salman offshore oil field. We anticipate that increases in oil production will support overall GDP growth. Additionally, the September Business Sentiment Index shows that firms ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - East Timor
... 3.3%. Assuming that the field runs out by year's end, GDP growth will likely reach 3.9% y/y in 2025 from an expansion of fiscal policy, as the budget for 2025 is USD2.5bn, up from USD2bn ... Read More
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Thailand In-depth PESTLE Insights
... analysis.Synopsis Understand the political system in Thailand through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Thailand through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer demographics ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Pakistan
... Pakistan We lifted our 2024 GDP growth forecast for Pakistan slightly this year, reflecting a stronger Q1 historical estimate. Agricultural-sector prospects are promising, and there is room for recovery in the industry and services subsectors. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Hong Kong SAR
... 3% y/y forecast, given external demand has been weaker than expected. Q3 GDP contracted on a sequential, seasonally adjusted basis in line with our expectations, but base effects meant that GDP grew by 1.8% y/y. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Malaysia
... a slowdown to 4.3% in 2025 as the low base from a year ago drops out of the comparison. Upside risks to inflation from Q2 suggests no change to monetary policy in 2025, despite the ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea
... contracted, and we think the contribution to growth from net exports has likely peaked. We expect the recovery in investment will support GDP in the next few quarters, while consumption growth will be patchy. We ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - China
... that broad policy coordination between monetary and fiscal policy is likely over the next few quarters, which will support growth. This is rare in a non-crisis period and not included in our previous baseline scenario. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Philippines
... Philippines We forecast the Philippines' economy will expand by 5.9% this year, below the government's target (6.0%-7.0%). This reflects a slow improvement in domestic demand and a limited boost to exports from the AI boom. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Indonesia
... president on October 20, the country entered a new phase. However, we do not expect a significant shock to our GDP growth forecasts. The baseline remains at 5.1% for this year and 4.9% for 2025. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Thailand
... forecast for Thailand at 2.5% for 2024 and expect a 2.9% expansion next year. Domestic demand momentum will likely remain lacklustre and due to the uncertain global environment, a boost from external demand is unlikely. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Russia
... is slowing down as the prohibitively high cost of unsubsidised loans and mortgages begins to bite. But we've raised our 2025 GDP forecast by 0.1ppt to 1.8% after the government relaxed fiscal policy late this ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Taiwan
... Q3 from 5.1% in Q2 as a high base effect kicked in and export growth slowed from previous highs. But buoyant capital investment from local manufacturers may lend support to growth in the near term. Read More
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Macroeconomic Outlook Report: Singapore
... (20.1%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are forecast to grow by 5.0%, 6.3%, and 3.7%, respectively, in 2024. Singapore’s central region serves as a hub for most financial and professional services firms. The western ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore
... is likely to drop back in Q4. But risks are tilted to the upside due to buoyant electronics demand. A higher base for comparison means we expect annual GDP to slow to 3.0% in 2025. Read More
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Research Report on China's Uranium Resource Import 2024-2033
... installed capacity of approximately 58.2 million kilowatts. By the end of 2023, there were 26 nuclear power units under construction, with a total installed capacity of 30.3 million kilowatts. China has maintained the world's largest ... Read More
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Navigating a New Global EV Tariff Landscape Amid Geopolitical Tensions
... to transition to EV production. However, as China solidifies its position as a global leader in the EV market and aggressively expands overseas, concerns about overcapacity, dumping, and unfair competition have grown worldwide. In response, ... Read More
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Armenia In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis.Synopsis Understand the political system in Armenia through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Armenia through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer demographics ... Read More
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Uzbekistan In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis.Synopsis Understand the political system in Uzbekistan through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Uzbekistan through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer demographics ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan
... in the following quarters as households' real income gains will drive the improvement in consumption. But exports will likely stay stagnant due to weak demand from the EU counteracting the benefits from chip cycle upticks. Read More
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