Category: International Trade
Asia International Trade
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - North Korea
... sanctions and soft consumer demand from the country's main trading partner, China. The surge in ammunition and equipment sales to Russia since the start of the Russia-Ukraine war doesn't seem to have completely abated just ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Japan
... coming quarters, following a slight GDP contraction in 2024, as a recovery in households' real income will support consumption. Amid gradual economic growth, we believe the Bank of Japan will continue to cautiously hike rates. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Hong Kong SAR
We continue to think Hong Kong's economy will grow by 2% y/y this year, softening from an expected 2.5% expansion last year. Risks to this outlook are evenly balanced. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Singapore
... The downgrade largely reflects a higher base for comparison after Q1-Q3 2024 figures were revised upwards. Growing external headwinds point to slowing momentum, which could encourage further policy loosening by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Philippines
... by 5.6% in 2024, falling short of the government’s target of 6%-6.5%. However, we expect growth to pick up in 2025 as it will likely be supported by more accommodative monetary policy and well-contained inflation. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - China
... annual growth forecast for this year mechanically to 4.7%, from 4.4%. Under the hood of this 'upgrade', however, the economy is expected to grind along at an (even slower) average sequential pace of just 1%. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - South Korea
... sa, and consumption is set to recover more gradually than we had anticipated. Loan growth slowed down to a nine-month low in December, too. That said, last month's unemployment spike will likely normalise in January. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Vietnam
We expect Vietnam's GDP will grow by 6.9% this year, following a 7.1% expansion in 2024. Manufacturing exports will continue to be the main engine of growth this year, particularly electronics exports. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Taiwan
... in 2025, from 4.3% in 2024. Fundamentally, Taiwan's technology sector will remain the primary driver of growth, which won't only support exports and investment, but will also sustain consumption due to the tight labour market. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Thailand
... external goods demand, and relatively robust domestic consumption, economic growth momentum in Thailand accelerated during 2024. In 2025, we forecast the economy to grow by 3% in 2025, following an estimated 2.7% expansion last year. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Indonesia
... in 2025, maintaining its steady growth trajectory. The impact of Donald Trump’s return as US President is likely to be limited, as changes to US fiscal, trade, and immigration policies will take time to materialize. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Malaysia
... 2024. The downgrade to this year's projection largely reflects shifting base effects. We expect underlying momentum will remain relatively healthy. Growing inflationary risks and currency pressures suggest monetary policy is unlikely to change this year. Read More
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China Directory of Trade & Business Associations 2025
... as a general information / reference material for establishing direct contacts with; & for generating business opportunities for these associations. It is a vital source of Business Information one needs to compete effectively in China. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Russia
... over into early this year. High budgetary spending in December will also support growth in Q1. But recent US sanctions will likely cause a drop in oil export volumes over a two- to three-month horizon ... Read More
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Economy of Russia 2025
... can sustain the war effort. This Report works from the underlying data prior to Feb 2022 and what is available since then. One of the surprising conclusions is how well Russia was run in the ... Read More
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U.S.-China Trade Relations Shaping Future eCommerce Fulfillment: Policy Changes, Potential Impacts Explained
... the analyst's rationale for this change to the model in detail. The new forecast postulates that the OMS market is poised for a CAGR of 14.8% over five years, driven by regulatory changes, U.S.-China trade ... Read More
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Vietnam In-depth PESTLE Insights
... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Vietnam through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Vietnam through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sri Lanka
... plan, and the mini budget includes restrained fiscal spending. Sri Lanka's GDP grew by 5.5% y/y in Q3, driven by a 10.8% y/y expansion in industrial activities, particularly construction. We raised our 2024 GDP growth ... Read More
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Japan Fresh Fruits Market Size & Share Analysis - Growth Trends & Forecasts (2024 - 2029)
... USD 19.52 billion by 2029, at a CAGR of 4.70% during the forecast period (2024-2029). Fresh fruit in Japan is often treated as a luxury item rather than just a food staple. Renowned for its ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - Japan
... the average quarterly growth will be modest at 0.2%. Domestic demand will remain soft as weak yen will limit the households’ real income gains, while higher US policy uncertainty is likely to dampen investment appetites. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - China
... allowing for total growth to come in at 5.3% for the year, just under our previous forecast. We still expect a notably slowdown heading in 2025 though: annual growth in our latest projection is 3.6%. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific
... accelerated the pace of its cutting cycle with 50 basis point cuts in October and November. We expect 125 basis points of rate cuts over 2025. That should drive a lift in growth over the ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Uzbekistan
... key trading partners like Russia and China and high global inflationary pressures will continue to weigh on growth. But we also forecast renewed strength in foreign direct investment this year and next which, along with ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Bangladesh
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Bangladesh We still expect real GDP growth in Bangladesh will cool to 5.5% during FY2024/25 (ending in June 2025), after the economy expanded by 5.8% in FY2023/24. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Cambodia
... We maintain an optimistic outlook for the Cambodian economy. We expect GDP growth of 6.4% y/y in 2025, up from an estimated 6.3% expansion in 2024. Despite downside risks, the overall growth outlook remains positive. Read More
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