Category: Business Services & Administration
Business Services & Administration market research reports by Oxford Economics
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Analysis by Region - Africa
Analysis by Region - Africa Phase II of the Lesotho Highlands Water Project (LHWP-II) will be the heartbeat of economic growth over 2023-2029, provided that construction targets are met in accordance with the project schedule. We expect that fixed investment will gain traction in the coming months t ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ghana
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ghana The first quarter has come and gone, and the Ghanaian government failed to present its case to the Executive Board of the IMF. Accra aimed to wrap up bilateral debt restructuring before the end of Q1 to provide the multilateral organisation with the nece ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Madagascar
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Madagascar Real GDP growth in Madagascar averaged 4.3% p.a. over the 2021-2022 period as the economy rebounded from a 7.1% Covid-19-induced contraction in 2020. That said, the country remains in a fragile state due to the lingering effects of adverse external ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The March jobs report suggests the US labor market is moving into a healthier balance as softer employment growth and cooler wage inflation suggest we're nearing the end of the Fed's rate hiking cycle. But we expect another 25bps rate hike by the Fed in May sinc ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - North America - US
Analysis by Region - North America - US Treasury yields were less than 10bps lower this past week, led by the belly of the curve. Most of the week's strong early gains were unwound ahead of the weekend though, as yields jumped Friday in response to the solid March nonfarm payrolls report. The do ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Gabon
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Gabon The Gabonese economy struggled over the 2016-2021 period as the oil sector suffered a string of external shocks. Real GDP growth averaged 1.2% p.a. over this period. This trend reversed in 2022 after Russia invaded Ukraine, resulting in a squeeze on glob ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Saudi Arabia We expect Saudi Arabia's economy will grow 1.6% in 2023 given a weaker global environment and oil output cuts. Revised official figures show the economy expanded 8.7% in 2022, with 15.4% in oil activity, 5.4% in non-oil growth, and 2.6% in govern ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Latvia
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Latvia We have boosted our 2023 GDP growth forecast by 0.6ppts to 0.5% as unexpectedly low winter energy import costs, allowing more resilient domestic demand, has averted the risk of further GDP declines. But industrial output is still set to fall sharply due to ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Seychelles
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Seychelles Real GDP is estimated to have grown by a strong 10.1% in 2022, with the size of the economy reaching pre-coronavirus pandemic levels. The island nation's tourist arrivals have started to pick up, but are yet to reach pre-pandemic levels. Thankfu ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US Financial markets continued to stabilize this week amid easing concerns about the banking sector. The Fed's balance sheet data also offered signs of stability as loans to banks declined overall. ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - North America - US
Analysis by Region - North America - US The front-end of the curve led a large rise in Treasury yields this past week as the banking sector finally found its footing. That led to an unwinding of a portion of this month's large bull steepening flows as traders pared Fed rate cut expectations. Equ ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Argentina
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Argentina Argentina's economy grew 0.3% m/m in January, according to the monthly GDP indicator (EMAE). This modest expansion breaks a streak of four consecutive monthly declines in activity since September last year. However, we still expect the economy to ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Iraq
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Iraq Despite a decrease in oil output in Q1 2023, we've maintained our 2023 GDP growth forecast at 4.3%. This is because Iraq is seeking to expand its oil opportunities through offering production and exploration licenses in H2 2023. So far, it's kept its ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bolivia
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bolivia We've cut our 2023 GDP forecast by 0.5ppts to 2.1% for Bolivia. Last year's sources of growth are fading as it was backed by new public investment projects and a surge in hydrocarbon's exports to Argentina. Additionally, private consumption ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Jordan
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Jordan We have slightly downgraded our forecast for GDP growth from 2.5% to 2.3% for 2023. The country has made solid progress in implementing the structural reforms suggested by the IMF. Activity has increased via higher tourism and exports revenues carried over ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay We've cut our Uruguay 2023 GDP forecast to 0.7% from 1.8%, mainly due to carryover from the sharp contraction at the end of last year. Hurt by the ongoing drought, primary activity plunged to -21.5% y/y in Q4 2022, tipping the economy into a techni ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Vietnam
Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Vietnam We have upgraded Vietnam's 2023 GDP growth forecast by 0.2ppts to 4.2% from three months ago. Our revision mainly reflects an anticipated rebound in Vietnam's tourism sector following China ... Read More
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Country Economic Forecast - Nigeria
Country Economic Forecast - Nigeria Nigeria has regained the title of 'Africa's largest oil producer' thanks to recovering oil production towards the end of last year. Output rose by 7.0% m/m to an average of 1.23 million barrels per day (bpd) in December due to successful efforts to rep ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Africa
Analysis by Region - Africa Fixed investment related to phase II of the Lesotho Highlands Water Project is forecast to counterweigh weak household expenditure and substantial external trade pressures this year. Nevertheless, our baseline scenario foresees the expansion in national output softening t ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The December employment report didn't paint a picture of Goldilocks labor market, but the modest slowdown in job growth and easing of wage pressures was surely welcomed by the Fed. The report won't keep the Fed from raising rates by 25bps at its upcoming meeting ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - North America - US
Analysis by Region - North America - US It has been a strong start to the new year for Treasuries, with 7 and 10-year yields down more than 30bps on the week as of early Friday afternoon, leading the gains. Declining inflation expectations offered support to the long-end, flattening the curve for mu ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US The "bomb cyclone" that swept across the US this week will only shave at most a few basis points off Q4-22 GDP growth and doesn't necessitate any major changes to our baseline forecast. Some industries will be disrupted, but the shock's short, temporar ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Macro - Weekly Briefings - US We now see Slovenia's GDP growing 1% in 2023, down 0.3ppts from previously, as headwinds to growth mount. Q3 GDP fell 1.4% q/q, due to negative change in inventories, while all other components held up. That said, we see the weakness becoming more broad-based, with ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United States US industrial growth has slowed in the face of high inflation, slowing export growth, declining inventories, and shifting consumer preferences towards services. Q2 GDP fell by -0.6%%, dragged by declining residential investment, declining constru ... Read More
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Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom
Industry - Country Industry Forecasts - United Kingdom Industrial production had been broadly flat since late-2020, and it remains 4.5% below its pre-pandemic peak in March 2019. Overall, industrial production is expected to expand 2% in 2022 before slowing to 0.6% in 2023. ... Read More
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