Category: International Trade
North America International Trade
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... Democrats may be able to salvage provisions affecting health care. The prospects for legislation supporting domestic manufacturing – particularly the production of semi-conductors –have improved, a plus for firms that have planned investments assuming the ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... meaning household and corporate budgets will continue to be squeezed. Navigating through inflation’s squalls to a soft landing is becoming harder but upbeat spending backed by a strong labor market and as consumers dip into ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... healthy moderation from Q1's 539K average and we look for more tepid labor market momentum in H2 2022. Past experience suggests achieving a labor-market rebalancing will require an increase in unemployment as job openings are ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... significantly lower as traders pared Fed rate hike bets (details in Rates Outlook section below). Bond yields were little changed amid the steepening flows and as US equity index futures rebounded following the recent descent ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... the upcoming July and September meetings due to our expectation of persistently high inflation through year-end and the Fed's strong determination to restore price stability. With inflation expected to start decelerating by October and the ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... especially volatile week, led by 8bp increases in 2- and 3-year yields. Equities were hit hard again this week though, with the S&P 500 Index off 5.5% as of mid-Friday afternoon, and the Nasdaq down ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... The revised FOMC projections point to more than 200bps in additional rate hikes by the end of 2023 placing the mid-point of the fed funds target range at 3.8%. This would be more than 100bps ... Read More
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International Trade Financing - 2022 U.S. Market Research Report with Updated COVID-19 Forecasts
... United States with over 100+ data sets covering 2013-2026. This Kentley Insights report includes historical and forecasted market size, product lines, profitability, financial ratios, BCG matrix, statistics by state, operating expense details, organizational breakdown, consolidation ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... but strong consumer spending and labor market fundamentals will keep the economy in expansion mode, with GDP set to grow 3% this quarter and 2.6% for the full year. We see growth downshifting to 1.8% ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... early Friday afternoon, with the 2-year yield rising by the most since June 2009. The two-week rise in the 2-year yield has been the largest since April 2008. The 2-year/10-year spread was 14bp tighter this ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... the largest weekly increase in 3-year and 5-year yields in 10 weeks. The S&P Index was up 1.2% on the week as of early Friday afternoon even after a large selloff ahead of the weekend, ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... the report to deter the Fed from aggressively continuing to raise rates. Some FOMC officials all but confirmed this week that the Fed will raise rates by 50bps at both the June and July meetings. Read More
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Global apparel trade and trade policy: the US clothing import market, June 2022
... imports into the USA from ten key supplying countries, namely Bangladesh, Cambodia, China, Honduras, India, Indonesia, Jordan, Mexico, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. US clothing imports rose in value and volume terms in 2021. However, the ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... hike bets. Stocks bounced back after finding support last week at the 38% retracement of the March 2020 through January 2021 rally in the S&P. As of late Friday morning, the S&P 500 Index was ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... increasing. A more aggressive pace of Fed rate hikes, a tightening in financial conditions, the ongoing war in Ukraine and China's strict Covid lockdown policies increase the risk that growth falls short of our forecast. Read More
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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Bermuda
... the coronavirus pandemic. However, this positive outlook is dependent on Bermuda's year-end tourism statistics rebounding from 2021 levels, when the number of leisure air visitors was down 71.2% and cruise arrivals were 97.3% below 2019 ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... quickly. With inflation set to ease only gradually in H2 2022, we look for another 50bps Fed rate hike in June and see upside risk to our call for 200bps of rate tightening this year. Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... 2011. Inflation worries and uncertainty over Fed policy continue to stoke investor angst, even as external forces – the war in Ukraine, Covid lockdowns in China and, lately, extreme weather conditions – contribute to market ... Read More
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Analysis by Region - Latin America - Mexico
... this year, in line with consensus, but we cut growth in 2023 by 0.1ppt to 2.5% growth. Direct effects from the war in Ukraine remain limited, but the economy remains vulnerable to global supply disruptions. Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United States
... supply constraints, and high inflation. Intensifying headwinds from more aggressive Fed tightening and tighter financial conditions should slow the economy this year without stalling it, but we see increased odds of a hard landing in ... Read More
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Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Canada
... from the war in Ukraine, and a correction in house prices are all expected to contribute to a sharp slowdown in economic growth next year. We forecast GDP will rise 4.1% in 2022 before growth ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... to expect more of the same at upcoming meetings and we look for 50bps rate hikes at both the June and July meetings. The Fed also confirmed that it will begin reducing its Treasury and ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... were little changed on the week as of late Friday morning despite an exceptional bout of volatility following the FOMC decision. And the dollar was also little changed after struggling to sustain any gains through ... Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... spending in March outpaced the 40-year high in inflation, which provides a solid handoff to consumer spending growth in Q2 which we see running close to 3% as the consumer rotates more towards services spending. Read More
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Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
... the front end of the curve. Two-year yields were 3bps higher on the week and the 10-year yield was 1bp lower, flattening the 2s/10s curve by about 4bps to 20bps. The Treasury market looked past ... Read More
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