Category: International Trade
Africa International Trade
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Cameroon
... the year. The budget also plans to reduce subsidies. While this is socially unpopular, it would pave the way for the state to invest more in new roads and railways and to support projects in ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Malawi
... expected reopening of a uranium mine in September. However, the economy continues to be plagued by high inflation, rising public debt (which constrains fiscal spending), and forex and fuel shortages. As a result, we have ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Africa
... Business sentiment remains positive, with most businesses in the private sector being optimistic about customer sales and output levels over the next 12 months. Ongoing investments in the oil and gas sectors will provide a ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Namibia
... diamond production and drought-induced losses in agricultural output. The external outlook has weakened somewhat since our previous forecast due to subdued expectations of global monetary policy easing and uncertainty over a looming global trade war. Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Lesotho
... electricity subsectors. We expect economic growth to accelerate to 2.8% in 2025 (from 2.1% in 2024), the highest figure in almost a decade and boosted by phase two of the Lesotho Highlands Water Project (LHWP-II). Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Africa - Algeria
... be even longer if the group again misses its demand forecast for the year. If Algeria's oil output returns to normal levels beyond Q1, even if only gradually, this would be positive. Nevertheless, our projection ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Rwanda
... Below-average rainfall is predicted over H1 2025, which could diminish crop harvests with a concomitant increase in Rwanda's food import requirements. As a result, we expect agricultural output and exports to decline this year. There ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - South Africa
... Economic conditions are mixed and modest positive momentum remains the order of the day. We have left South Africa's 2025 real GDP growth forecast unchanged at 1.5%, more than double the 2024 estimate of 0.7%. Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Kenya
... climate shocks, and delays in investment plans, notably from the US and UAE. Last year, the US and UAE unveiled plans to invest in the country's technology, manufacturing, and green energy industries, among other key ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Africa - Egypt
... The press release from the IMF showed that the emphasis is shifting a bit and Egypt will have to prioritise privatisation if it successfully wants to navigate IMF programme reviews in 2025. The government aims ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Ghana
... and financial sectors ensured robust growth in the services sector. The agricultural industry recorded modest growth due to volatility in the sector. Overall, we estimate that real GDP turned in growth of 6.2% last year, ... Read More
-
Kenya In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Kenya through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Kenya through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Eswatini
... attributed to improved Southern African Customs Union (Sacu) receipts and reduced capital spending. However, in the following fiscal year, recurrent spending is expected to rise considerably, at a time when Sacu revenues will decline, leading ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mozambique
... blow to investor and business confidence. The turn of events has raised the risk of lower economic growth next year as some fixed investments will likely be deferred. Before the election, the economy was already ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Senegal
... Concurrently, the secondary sector – which has been flagged as a key source of growth due to oil and gas projects in the country – expanded by just 1.0% in H1. The start of oil ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Africa - Tunisia
... with the IMF, the Parliament passed a law that will force the central bank to finance the country's fiscal deficit in 2025, to the tune of $2.2bn. This follows an injection of about $3.0bn from ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Angola
... sector, widespread drought in the southeast, and intermittent foreign exchange shortages. Elevated inflation and fiscal consolidation are also thwarting the potential for higher overall economic growth. We forecast real GDP growth to moderate from 3.4% ... Read More
-
World textile and apparel trade and production trends: Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey, December 2024
... Egypt, Morocco, Tunisia and Turkey. The report presents a wealth of information and is essential for anyone who is considering sourcing from, selling to or investing in these countries or their export markets. In particular, ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Zimbabwe
... strained fiscal spending, adding to pressure on the currency. As a result, Zimbabwean authorities devalued the ZiG by nearly 43% in September, narrowing the gap between the official and black-market exchange rates. While this adjustment ... Read More
-
Botswana In-depth PEST Insights
... analysis. Synopsis Understand the political system in Botswana through analysis of key figures in the country and governance indicators. Understand the economic situation in Botswana through a balanced assessment of core macroeconomic issues. Understand customer ... Read More
-
Macroeconomic Outlook Report: South Africa
... and hotels (14.0%). In nominal terms, the three sectors are forecast to grow by 5.7%, 5.7%, and 6.0%, respectively, in 2024. Johannesburg and Cape Town generated 19.6% of the country’s GDP and were home to ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Africa - Morocco
... of 2.7% this year, thanks to solid performances in the secondary sector (particularly mining) and the services sector. Growth in gross fixed capital formation indicates that major infrastructure and industrial projects – the 'grand structuring ... Read More
-
Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mauritius
... the vote, toppling Prime Minister Pravin Jugnauth and the Alliance Lepep coalition, who garnered only 27.2% support. Mr Jugnauth conceded defeat a day before the final results were confirmed and resigned on November 12. The ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Côte d'Ivoire
... will improve the country’s fiscal position, while strong export growth will result in a stronger external position. While inflation is projected to average 3.8% this year, price pressures are stabilising, and inflation should be notably ... Read More
-
Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - Reunion
... industry. France's new Prime Minister, Michel Barnier, has proposed major budget cuts to reduce the country's deficit, including less funding for overseas territories. This would reduce construction spending and renovation of social housing, weighing on ... Read More
Research Assistance
