Small Arms Market Forecasts to 2028 – Global Analysis By Action (Automatic, Semi-automatic), Type (Machine Gun, Pistol, Revolver, Rifles, Shotgun), Caliber (12.7mm, 14.5mm, 5.56mm, 7.62mm, 9mm), Technology and By Geography
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Small Arms Market is accounted for $8.53 billion in 2021 and is expected to reach $10.49 billion by 2028 growing at a CAGR of 3.0% during the forecast period. Small arms are specialized weapons used by any individual for self-defense as well as for recreational purposes. Moreover, military and law enforcement personnel also make use of small arms for carrying out their respective operations. Small arms consist of various firearms such as revolver, pistol, shotgun, rifle, and other related systems. They are generally provided with ancillaries and accessories, such as slings, cleaning kits, oil bottles, under-barrel grenade launchers, sound suppressors, optical sights, fore-grips and flashlights, to increase the overall effectiveness and usefulness of weapons.
Market Dynamics:
Driver:
Rise in number of territorial conflicts
The world has witnessed an upward trend in wars and conflicts across numerous nations in the recent years. Recent political upheaval that happened in Afghanistan in August 2021 has brought the country in a permanent state of chaos. The increase in terrorist attacks and violent conflicts in the country are anticipated to lead to more unfavorable instances across neighboring nations in the future. Currently, there are numerous ongoing wars and minor conflicts in several countries globally, most of which are in the North West Asia, Middle East, and Sub-Saharan Africa, and a major ongoing drug-war in Mexico. Nations across the world are buying arms and ammunitions to counter the terrorism, block the entry of enemy soldiers, and curb anti-national activities. Moreover, misfortunate events that happened last year in countries such as France and the U.S have resulted in a large number of citizens carrying guns for self-defense purposes. These factors are anticipated to drive the growth of the global small arms market.
Restraint:
Stringent government regulations
Most of the countries across the world have made stringent rules on buying and use of guns. The licensing procedure was quite lengthy in some countries that hampers the growth of the market. Governments make stringent arms control legislation due to illegal gun sales, rising terrorist activities, the stockpile of guns, and others. Increasing mass shooting incidences in countries such as the U.S., Australia, and other European countries leads to imposing strict government rules and regulations on gun buying and usage.
Opportunity:
Growing demand from competitive sporting events
The sport weapons are regarded as non-lethal weapons that include shotgun, rifle, and pistol. These are intended for competitive shooting and recreational purposes. Rise in participation in various shooting sports acts as a key factor for the small arms market growth. These guns differ from one lethal counterpart according to their technology, projectile, caliber, and others. Sports guns are lighter and more comfortable to use as compared to lethal guns such as Rheinmetall, MG 3, AK 47, M4, Uzi and Carbine. Shooting sports include popinjay, sporting clays, skeet shooting, target shooting, high power rifle, and cowboy action shooting. In addition, people are increasingly participating in shooting sports globally, owing to various benefits such as they enhance physical health, focus, and sharpen eyesight. Furthermore, growth in participation of school and college kids/students in national level shooting sports is expected to promote growth of the market. Therefore, the rise in participation for shooting competitions across the world is anticipated to fuel growth of the global market.
Threat:
Disruptions in supply chain
In 2020 due to the COVID-19 effect, the key players in the market are facing major issues in the supply chain, and this result in declining gun sales across the globe except for the U.S. Although the manufacturing of small arms for military applications is of prime importance, disruptions in the supply chain have set back their manufacturing for the time being. As lockdown in most of the countries, there were delays in supplying guns, thus hampers the market growth. Uncertainties in the supply of firearms were observed during COVID-19 in the different regions. Several distributors and suppliers did not have the small arms to a sufficient extent to meet the ongoing demand.
The rifles segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The rifles segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth owing to the increasing procurement of advanced rifles for military and homeland security personals. Rifles are of various types such as assault rifles, snipers, recoilless rifles, modern sporting rifles, and anti-material/bolt-action rifles are being considered under this category. The modern sporting rifle has also witnessed high adoption in the past few years due to an increase in sporting and hunting activities. For Instance, in January 2020, FN America, a US subsidiary of Herstal, expanded caliber options for the SCAR 20S series rifle that features 7.62 NATO ammunition. The rifle is now being chambered for 6.5mm Creedmoor ammunition.
The defense segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The defense segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period due to the increasing procurement of these arms for combat operations and rising defense expenditure. An increase in terrorism, growing war incidences, and cross border disputes results in strengthening defense forces by procuring advanced weapons. According to industry experts, defense departments are focusing more on sectors that are of high importance to national security. Countries in North America, Europe, and Asia Pacific have maintained the current growth in defense spending during this time, contrary to countries in other regions.
Region with highest share:
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. The rising terrorist and increasing cross border conflicts, across the Asia Pacific drive the growth of the market. Moreover, the increasing defense expenditure, and growing military modernization programs from countries such as Australia, China, India, and South Korea drive the growth of the market. As per the data by small arms survey, India and China have 71 million and 49 million civilian firearms, respectively.
Region with highest CAGR:
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period owing to the increased defense spending countries in the region, along with the rise in incidences of gun violence, which are driving both, law enforcement as well as civilian segments to procure small arms for counter-terrorism as well as self-defense applications, respectively. The increasing popularity of sporting and hunting activities among civilians has also led to a significantly higher demand for small arms in the North American region. In addition, the North American countries are awarding a number of contracts to major players of the small arms market for the delivery of small arms, thus driving the growth of the small arms market in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Small Arms Market include Colt’s Manufacturing LLC, CZG - Ceská zbrojovka Group SE, Fabbrica d'Armi Pietro Beretta S.P.A., FN Herstal, LOCK Ges.m.b.H, Heckler & Koch Gmbh, Israel Weapons Industry, Kalashnikov Group, Ruger & Co., Inc, Smith & Wesson, Sturm, Taurus International Manufacturing, Inc, Webley & Scott, and Weihrauch & Weihrauch Sport GmbH & Co. KG.
Key Developments:
In May 2020, Colt’s Manufacturing Company LLC was awarded a Joint Foreign Military Sales contract for M16A4 Rifles from the US Army. It is a five-year, IDIQ, firm-fixed-price Foreign Military Sales (FMS) contract valued at USD 383 million.
In March 2020, Hecker & Koch was awarded a USD 33 million contract by the US Army Contracting Command for the supply of Compact Semi-Automatic Sniper Systems and Squad Designated Marksman Rifles.
Actions Covered:
• Automatic
• Semi-automatic
Types Covered:
• Machine Gun
• Pistol
• Revolver
• Rifles
• Shotgun
Calibers Covered:
• 12.7mm
• 14.5mm
• 5.56mm
• 7.62mm
• 9mm
Technologies Covered:
• Guided
• Unguided
Cutting Types Covered:
• Smooth bore
• Threaded/Rifled
Firing Systems Covered:
• Gas-operated
• Recoil-operated
• Manual
End Users Covered:
• Civil & Commercial
• Defense
Regions Covered:
• North America
US
Canada
Mexico
• Europe
Germany
UK
Italy
France
Spain
Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
Japan
China
India
Australia
New Zealand
South Korea
Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
Saudi Arabia
UAE
Qatar
South Africa
Rest of Middle East & Africa
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