Quantum Warfare Market Forecasts to 2030 – Global Analysis By Product Type (Hardware, Software, and Services), Component, Quantum PNT, Quantum Computing & Simulations, Application, End User and By Geography

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Quantum Warfare Market is accounted for $1.72 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $4.67 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 18.1% during the forecast period. The term ""quantum warfare"" describes the application of quantum technologies—such as advances in quantum computing, cryptography, sensors, and communication systems—in military and defense activities. This includes the creation of quantum sensors for sophisticated surveillance, quantum radar for spotting stealth aircraft, and extremely secure encryption techniques. By utilizing the concepts of quantum mechanics for increased security and operational efficacy, quantum warfare seeks to improve military systems, cybersecurity, and intelligence collection capabilities, giving countries a competitive advantage in contemporary conflict.

According to IBM's latest research, the average total cost of a data breach reached USD 4.45 million in 2023, highlighting the critical need for advanced security solutions. According to recent data, the distribution of detected cyber threats worldwide in 2022 revealed ransomware as the dominant threat vector at 68.42%, followed by network breaches at 18.42% and data exfiltration at 3.95%.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Increased focus on national security

The necessity of strong defences against possible threats is being emphasized by governments. The rise in cyber warfare, espionage, and geopolitical tensions has accelerated investments in quantum warfare technologies. Advanced quantum sensors and communication systems are being developed to enhance military capabilities. National security strategies are increasingly incorporating quantum technologies to maintain a competitive edge.

Restraint:

High development and operational costs

The development and implementation of quantum warfare technologies require substantial financial investments. The complexity of these technologies necessitates extensive research and development efforts. High operational costs are also associated with maintaining and upgrading quantum systems. These costs can be a barrier to entry for smaller defense contractors. Governments and organizations must allocate significant budgets to support the adoption of quantum warfare technologies.

Opportunity:

Growing importance of Space-based assets

Space-based assets, such as satellites, play a crucial role in communication, navigation, and surveillance, making them prime targets for advanced quantum encryption and defense systems. Quantum technologies offer the potential to secure satellite communications through ultra-secure quantum key distribution, preventing interception or hacking. Additionally, quantum sensors and radar systems deployed in space can enhance global surveillance, detection, and intelligence-gathering capabilities. As space becomes a more contested domain, nations are prioritizing the integration of quantum technologies to protect their space-based assets and maintain a strategic edge in defense and national security.

Threat:

Limited skilled workforce

Quantum technologies require highly specialized knowledge in fields like quantum computing, cryptography, and quantum physics, which are still emerging and evolving. A shortage of trained professionals hampers the ability of defense contractors, governments, and tech firms to effectively design, develop, and implement quantum-based solutions. This skills gap can lead to delays in research, testing, and deployment of critical quantum systems, slowing the adoption of advanced quantum technologies in defense applications. Additionally, the lack of a robust talent pool could prevent nations from staying competitive in the increasingly important field of quantum warfare.

Covid-19 Impact

The Covid-19 pandemic has disrupted supply chains and delayed the development of quantum warfare technologies. Lockdowns and restrictions have affected research and testing activities. However, the pandemic has also highlighted the need for advanced defense mechanisms. Governments are likely to increase investments in quantum technologies as part of their post-pandemic recovery plans. The overall impact of Covid-19 on the quantum warfare market is a mix of challenges and opportunities.

The sensor segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The sensor segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to the increasing demand for advanced detection and monitoring systems. Quantum sensors offer unparalleled precision and sensitivity, making them ideal for military applications. These sensors can detect minute changes in physical properties, enhancing situational awareness and threat detection capabilities. The growing focus on enhancing defense mechanisms is driving the adoption of quantum sensors.

The airborne segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the airborne segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to the rising adoption of quantum technologies in aerial platforms. Quantum communication systems and sensors are being integrated into aircraft to enhance their capabilities. The ability to conduct secures communications and advanced surveillance is driving this growth. Investments in modernizing aerial defense systems are further supporting the segment's expansion.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, due to significant investments in defense and quantum technologies by countries like China and India. The region's focus on modernizing its military capabilities is driving the adoption of quantum warfare technologies. Government initiatives and collaborations with research institutions are further supporting market growth. The presence of major defense contractors in the region also contributes to the largest share.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to the presence of leading tech companies and defense organizations in the United States is driving innovation in quantum warfare. Government funding and support for advanced defense projects are further boosting market growth. Collaborations between the military and private sector are accelerating the development of cutting-edge technologies. North America's commitment to maintaining technological superiority is fueling the region's rapid growth.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players profiled in the Quantum Warfare Market include IBM, Microsoft, Google, Intel, Honeywell, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon Technologies, Northrop Grumman, Boeing, Alibaba Group, CRON Systems, Zyvex Labs, QuTech, SAAB AB, Terra Quantum, AT&T, and Airbus.

Key Developments:

In February 2025, Lockheed Martin announced the delivery of the first F-16 Block 70 jet to Bulgaria, marking a major step forward in the country's efforts to modernize its air force. F-16s are built by the Lockheed Martin team in Greenville. Bulgaria has ordered 16 total aircraft.

In January 2025, Telefónica Tech and IBM announced a collaboration agreement to develop and deliver security solutions that address security challenges posed by future cryptographically relevant quantum computers.

Product Types Covered:
• Hardware
• Software
• Services

Components Covered:
• Sensor
• Antenna
• Radar
• Clock
• Magnometer
• Other Components

Quantum PNT Covered:
• Navigation
• Positioning
• Precision Timing
• Geolocation

Quantum Computing & Simulations Covered:
• Quantum Simulator
• Digital Quantum Computer
• Analog Quantum Computer
• Quantum Communication

Applications Covered:
• Land
• Naval
• Airborne
• Space-Based
• Other Applications

End Users Covered:
• Aerospace & Defense Contractors
• Government & Defense
• R&D Organizations
• Other End Users

Regions Covered:
• North America
US
Canada
Mexico
• Europe
Germany
UK
Italy
France
Spain
Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
Japan
China
India
Australia
New Zealand
South Korea
Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
Saudi Arabia
UAE
Qatar
South Africa
Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:
- Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
- Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
- Covers Market data for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, 2026, and 2030
- Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
- Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
- Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
- Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
- Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements