District Heating Market Forecasts to 2030 – Global Analysis By Heat Source (Renewables, Natural Gas, Coal, Oil & Petroleum Products and Other Heat Sources), Component (Insulated Pipeline, Boiler, Heat Exchanger, Pumps, Heat Meters and Other Components), Plant Type, Application and By GeographyAccording to Stratistics MRC, the Global District Heating Market is accounted for $181.58 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $315.25 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 8.2% during the forecast period. In district heating, heat is produced centrally and then distributed to nearby households, companies, and industrial facilities. District heating is a cost-effective and ecologically responsible approach. It is frequently used in single-family homes, multi-family buildings, high-rise structures, and mega townships, district heating. Comparing it to individual building equipment provides a number of benefits, such as increased safety and reliability, reduced emissions, and higher fuel flexibility, especially when using alternative fuels like biomass or waste. District heating lessens carbon emissions and dependency on non-renewable resources by substituting renewable energy for heating that is dependent on fossil fuels. This strategy reduces waste and makes the best use of available energy.
According to IEA, nearly 90% of global heat production in 2020 was from fossil fuels, primarily coal (45%), natural gas (40%), and oil (5%), down from 95% in 2000.
Market Dynamics:
Driver:
Emerging trend of urbanization
Increasing urbanization results in the creation of well-organized infrastructure that are ideal for district heating systems. District heating and power generation are two examples of utility services that are in high demand in expanding metropolitan areas. District heating systems obtain heat from a variety of sources, such as boilers, industrial surplus heat, renewable energy, CHP, and boilers. The enormous heat produced by businesses and data centers as a result of expanding industrialization may be used for district heating, which in turn contributes to economic efficiency. This element helps to propel the growth of district heating market.
Restraint:
Reduced effectiveness in small heating loads
Large-scale initiatives by powerful developers are appropriate for district heating. The main reason for this is because small-scale developers, although being aware of the advantages of district heating, do not implement it in tandem with nearby developers due to their divergent building timelines and investments. Small-scale developers consequently use traditional heating according to their timetable. Every new project that may plan room for a pipe network during building construction uses district heating solutions. However, an inadequate amount of room for a pipe network may be present in older structures, which restricts its penetration.
Opportunity:
Growing awareness to diminish the carbon emission
Since the population of the world has been increasing at an exponential rate in recent years, many regions have been seeing a surge in urbanization. Because of this, demand for energy across a range of end-use industries has directly grown. Unprecedented carbon emissions and global warming are posing hazards to the planet, which has spurred interest in renewable energy sources. District energy systems help the economy move to a greener one and lower the greenhouse gas emissions from cooling and heating. As a consequence, CO2 emissions are reduced by up to 70%. These factors hasten market expansion.
Threat:
Substantial upfront investment of capital
A significant initial financial outlay is needed to set up a district heating system since it is expensive to build a secure network of transmission and distribution connections. The cost of the insulated pipes and the underground placement of such pipes is a significant barrier for investors. Additionally, the absence of necessary infrastructure and the availability of other, more affordable solutions for space heating and water heating may restrain market expansion in the years to come.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 epidemic has had a big influence on the market expansion for district heating. District heating system demand has decreased overall as a result of the fatal corona virus's appearance, which has caused delays in major infrastructure projects and the temporary closure of a number of industrial and manufacturing businesses. Additionally, almost all building projects were put on hold during the epidemic, and governments all over the world established strict regulations and trade restrictions, which severely constrained the worldwide market.
The combined heat & power segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The combined heat & power segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, due to its high sustainability and cost-effectiveness. It is anticipated that increased energy supply efficiency, the utilization of waste heat, and low-carbon renewable energy sources will increase product demand. Positive regulatory standards for reduced carbon footprints and cost savings may promote growth. A paradigm change toward sustainable power, heat, and supply, as well as legislative objectives to increase energy efficiency, all help the sector embrace cogeneration systems. The segment's growth is being fuelled by all of these prospects.
The residential segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The residential segment is anticipated to witness the fastest CAGR growth during the forecast period. The demand for district heating systems in residential buildings has increased due to the widespread usage of compact heating systems and robust real estate investment. Rising urban population and increased use of decentralized generators may have a favorable effect on the business environment. Fast-paced urbanization and industrialization are predicted to have an impact on the demand for district heating systems in the commercial sector. Increased investments in the construction of new production facilities and units are also anticipated to fuel the business segment's expansion.
Region with largest share:
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. China is the leading consumer of district energy. The nation has been pursuing forceful public policy choices to boost cleaner, energy-efficient district energy. Artificial intelligence is being used by the major stakeholders to control how well the district heating systems are running. The manufacturers are also aiming to create cutting-edge automation that would function in tandem with artificial intelligence to boost productivity and conserve energy. The market's technical advancements are also anticipated to accelerate expansion.
Region with highest CAGR:
Europe is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. Additionally, the growth is linked to expanding urbanization, a rise in the demand for energy-efficient systems, and a rise in the number of restrictions by the government aimed at lowering greenhouse gas emissions. Furthermore, the expansion of the district heating sector in Europe is supported by rigorous emission limitations established by several environmental organisations. Additionally, the Environmental Protection Agency's (EPA) increased emphasis on emission reduction and its pursuit of net-zero carbon emissions are anticipated to fuel the market expansion for district heating.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the District Heating Market include NRG Energy, Fortum, LOGSTOR A/S, Goteborg Energi, Kelag Warme Gmbh, Vattenfall AB, Hafslund, STEAG GmbH, Korea District Heating Corporation, Statkraft AS, Keppel DHCS Pte Ltd, Shinryo Corporation, Orsted, RWE AG, Vital Energi, Danfoss, Engie, Enwave Energy, Ramboll Group and FVB Energy.
Key Developments:
In June 2023, Telenor and Hafslund, in partnership are establishing a company that will build secure and energy-efficient data centres in the Oslo area. The investment will contribute to establishing more Norwegian data centers and thus increase the possibility that digital services can be produced within the country's borders, which gives a greater degree of national control and better safeguarding of functions critical to society.
In March 2023, Danfoss adds a new and data-driven dimension to district energy with the launch of groundbreaking substation technology in Danfoss Titan™. Danfoss Titan™ enables reliable and fast cloud commissioning—using mathematical models and a digital twin for performance simulation to deliver best-in-class settings that also result in longer station lifetime.
Heat Sources Covered:
• Renewables
• Natural Gas
• Coal
• Oil & Petroleum Products
• Other Heat Sources
Components Covered:
• Insulated Pipeline
• Boiler
• Heat Exchanger
• Pumps
• Heat Meters
• Other Components
Plant Types Covered:
• Combined Heat & Power
• Boiler Plants
• Other Plant Types
Applications Covered:
• Residential
• Commercial
• Industrial
Regions Covered:
• North America
US
Canada
Mexico
• Europe
Germany
UK
Italy
France
Spain
Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
Japan
China
India
Australia
New Zealand
South Korea
Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
Saudi Arabia
UAE
Qatar
South Africa
Rest of Middle East & Africa
What our report offers:
- Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
- Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
- Covers Market data for the years 2021, 2022, 2023, 2026, and 2030
- Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
- Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
- Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
- Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
- Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements
Learn how to effectively navigate the market research process to help guide your organization on the journey to success.
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