Agricultural Commodity Market Forecasts to 2030 – Global Analysis By Product Type (Cereals & Grains, Oilseeds, Soybeans, Cocoa, Coffee, Pulses, Meat, Diary and Other Product Types), Nature, Distribution Channel, End User and by Geography

Agricultural Commodity Market Forecasts to 2030 – Global Analysis By Product Type (Cereals & Grains, Oilseeds, Soybeans, Cocoa, Coffee, Pulses, Meat, Diary and Other Product Types), Nature, Distribution Channel, End User and by Geography

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Agricultural Commodity Market is accounted for $1770.73 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $2400.19 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 5.2% during the forecast period. Raw materials or main agricultural goods that are bought and sold are referred to as agricultural commodities. These items are often utilized as inputs for the production of food, bio fuels, or other businesses. Crops like wheat, corn, rice, soybeans, coffee, and cotton are among these commodities, as are animals like pigs, chickens, and cattle. Food security and economic support, especially in areas where agriculture plays a significant role, depend on the international trade of agricultural goods.

According to the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), global cereal production in 2023 was forecast to reach 2,819 million tonnes, driven primarily by increased output of wheat and rice, highlighting the growing demand for staple agricultural commodities.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Urbanization and changing tastes in food

Urbanization has caused a change in dietary habits from traditional grain-and-vegetable-based meals to more diverse diets with increasing proportions of meat, dairy, and processed foods, particularly in developing nations. The need for feed grains like corn and soybeans is being driven by the burgeoning middle class and rising income levels in nations like China and India, which are driving up the demand for animal-based proteins. Additionally, the rising demand for processed and packaged foods raises the price of commodities like oils, sugar, and wheat.

Restraint:

Market uncertainty and price volatility

Due to their vulnerability to variations in weather, geopolitical events, and supply and demand, agricultural commodities markets are by nature unstable. Due to unforeseen circumstances like bad harvests, trade interruptions, or policy changes, the price of commodities like wheat, soybeans, and corn can vary significantly. Furthermore, planning long-term financial or production strategy is difficult due to the uncertainty this volatility brings to traders, farmers, and investors. Since smallholder farmers frequently lack the financial means to sustain losses during times of low prices, price changes can also have a substantial influence on their way of life.

Opportunity:

Growing consumer interest in non-GMO and organic products

Growing consumer knowledge of health issues and worries about food safety has resulted in a growing demand for organic and non-GMO agricultural products. Agribusinesses and farmers who can capitalize on the organic farming industry have a lot of growth prospects as a result. Organic agricultural methods, which eschew synthetic pesticides and fertilizers, provide farmers with larger profit margins because organic goods usually fetch higher prices. Moreover, people who desire natural and unmodified ingredients in their food are increasingly favoring non-GMO products.

Threat:

Depletion of resources and environmental degradation

The market for agricultural commodities is seriously threatened by the unsustainable use of natural resources, such as land and water. In many areas, intensive farming practices—which include overusing chemical pesticides and fertilizers—have resulted in soil erosion, biodiversity loss, and water contamination. These methods eventually lower the productivity of agricultural land, which makes it harder to sustain high yields. Furthermore, in many agricultural regions, especially those experiencing water scarcity, the over-extraction of freshwater for irrigation is becoming a serious problem, leading to the depletion of these resources.

Covid-19 Impact:

The COVID-19 pandemic caused significant disruptions to global supply chains, workforce availability, and logistics, hence impacting the agricultural commodity market. Transportation bottlenecks brought forth by lockdowns and movement restrictions resulted in delays and perishable products spoiling. In many areas, labor shortages—especially in the harvesting and processing sectors—further impeded productivity. The demand for packaged goods and staple foods surged as a result of the closure of restaurants and foodservice businesses, whereas the demand for some agricultural commodities used in hospitality and food services fell.

The Cereals & Grains segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The cereals and grains segment of the agricultural commodities market is expected to hold the largest share, having a major impact on both the stability of the global food supply and the economy. Supplies that are necessary for human consumption and animal feed are included in this sector, including wheat, corn, rice, and barley. Population growth, shifting eating habits, and rising animal production are the main factors driving the world's need for grains, which are used as a key feed source. Moreover, advances in agricultural technology and methods have increased output, enabling farmers to more effectively satisfy growing demand.

The B2C (Business-to-Consumer) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

The business-to-consumer (B2C) segment of the agricultural commodities market is growing at the highest CAGR. Consumer preferences are shifting in favor of fresh, organic, and locally produced goods, and there is a growing need for food supply transparency, which is contributing to this increase. There has been a discernible movement in consumer behaviour toward buying directly from producers or via e-commerce platforms that provide comprehensive product information and traceability, as consumers grow more environmentally conscious and health conscious. Additionally, this development has been made possible by the growth of digital technology and online marketplaces, which provide consumers easier access to a larger range of agricultural products.

Region with largest share:

The market for agricultural commodities is dominated by the Asia-Pacific region. The main cause of this dominance is the substantial agricultural activities carried out in developing nations like China, India, and Indonesia. China is a major contributor in the world's food production, for example, as it has around 7% of the world's arable land and feeds roughly 22% of its population. India is regarded as a major agricultural producer, leading the world in the production of milk, pulses, and spices, among other goods. Furthermore, rapid urbanization, population expansion, and shifting food habits in favor of higher-value goods are all contributing factors to the region's rise.

Region with highest CAGR:

In the agricultural commodities industry, North America is expected to grow at the highest CAGR due to its strong agricultural production capacity and technological advancements. Among the major producers and exporters of numerous agricultural commodities, such as corn, soybeans, and wheat, the United States is especially significant in this market. Advantages such as a good climate, a wide-ranging infrastructure, and large R&D expenditures all contribute to increased output and effectiveness in the area. Moreover, to further enhance the region's competitive edge, there is a growing emphasis on environmentally friendly farming methods and cutting-edge techniques like precision agriculture.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Agricultural Commodity market include Cargill, Incorporated, Golden Agri-Resources Ltd, Marubeni Corporation, Archer Daniels Midland Company, Wilmar International Limited, Olam Group Limited, Louis Dreyfus Company B.V., Bunge Limited, Ag Processing Inc, Cofco International, Glencore Agriculture and JBS USA Food Company Holdings.

Key Developments:

In September 2024, Japanese conglomerate Marubeni Corporation has signed a partnership agreement with Norwegian shipping company Solvang to start the joint operation of an ammonia carrier as it steps up efforts to contribute to the global low-carbon ammonia value chain. Under the partnership agreement, Marubeni and Solvang will jointly operate the 60,200 cubic meter (cbm) Clipper Neptun built by Hyundai Heavy Industries.

In December 2023, ADM, a global leader in human and animal nutrition, announced that it has reached an agreement to acquire UK-based FDL, a leading developer and producer of premium flavor and functional ingredient systems. FDL, with projected 2023 sales of approximately $120 million, operates three production facilities and two customer innovation centers, all in the United Kingdom.

In June 2023, Singapore-based Cargill Metals has entered into a multiyear agreement with Sweden-based industrial startup H2 Green Steel for the supply of green steel. The companies say the agreement aims to accelerate global ferrous supply chain decarbonization. According to Cargill, the agreement marks another major step for the company toward its vision to shape a responsible and sustainable ferrous supply chain that helps the world thrive.

Product Types Covered:
• Cereals & Grains
• Oilseeds
• Soybeans
• Cocoa
• Coffee
• Pulses
• Meat
• Diary
• Other Product Types

Natures Covered:
• Organic
• Conventional

Distribution Channels Covered:
• Hypermarkets/Supermarkets
• Convenience Stores
• E-commerce
• Other Distribution Channels

End Users Covered:
• B2B (Business-to-Business)
• B2C (Business-to-Consumer)

Regions Covered:
• North America
US
Canada
Mexico
• Europe
Germany
UK
Italy
France
Spain
Rest of Europe
• Asia Pacific
Japan
China
India
Australia
New Zealand
South Korea
Rest of Asia Pacific
• South America
Argentina
Brazil
Chile
Rest of South America
• Middle East & Africa
Saudi Arabia
UAE
Qatar
South Africa
Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:
- Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
- Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
- Covers Market data for the years 2022, 2023, 2024, 2026, and 2030
- Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
- Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
- Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
- Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
- Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements