Transformer Report Ed 10 2022 - Vol 1 & 2

Transformer Report Ed 10 2022 - Vol 1 & 2

With the start of the Covid pandemic, 2020 experienced the lowest sales of power and distribution trans-formers but 2021 saw an surge of 24% to $49.3 billion. The forecasting model indicates that MVA capacity sales increased 6% in volume and 17% in price. The volume increase was due to recovery from Covid, while the larger price increase was due to increased costs of materials - CRGO, copper, transformer oil and hard steel as well as soaring energy costs - together with higher demand for materials in China, supply chain and transport blockages. The model plots the trend up to 2027 for each country, in both capacity (MVA) and value ($).

These results are verified by reports from the market of transformer manufactures announcing price increase of 8%-10% in May 2021, w.e.f. June 2021, with a warning that further increases may follow. Lead times have doubled and more. The US PPI records a production cost increase in 2021 of 36% for power and distribution transformers and 20% yoy July 2022.

There have been wide variations country to country. For example, Chinese sales grew 28% in value in 2021, com-pared with 4% in India, while India suffered falls in domestic production of transformers of 19.2% in 2019 and of 22.7% in 2020 and the market remained static due to imports.

Vol 1 of the Transformer Report provides sales forecasts, market analysis of sales, production, imports, ex-ports, production shares, the installed base of transformers, global trade and factors determining prices.

Market analysis - production, import, exports, sales
Market analysis of value ($), by country - production, import, exports, sales
Market analysis of capacity MVA, by country - production, import, exports, sales
Market analysis of value ($), by country, by transformer technology and voltage - production, imports, exports, sales
Market analysis of capacity (MVA), by country, by transformer technology, voltage and capacity - production, import, exports, sales
Sales analysis
Sales in value ($) - by country, 2020, forecast 2021 to 2027
Sales in capacity (MVA) - by country, 2020, forecast 2021 to 2027
Sales in capacity (MVA) - by country and transformer segment, voltage and capacity, 2020, forecast 2021 to 2027
Production shares
Production % shares of manufactures’ sales of transformers ≥ $5 million
For Europe (79 cos), USA (47 cos), Canada (13 cos) , Mexico (21 cos) , Brazil 24 cos), India (20 cos)

Definitions
Transformer segment refers to function - Central GSU ≥36 kV, ≥10 MVA, Distributed GSU, <36 kV, <10 MVA, Net-work PT ≥36 kV, ≥10 MVA, Network DT <36 kV, <10 MVA, Dry-type MV & LV

Transformer technology refers to the type of transformer - Power oil-filled transformer ≥36 kV, ≥10 MVA, Distribu-tion oil-filled transformer <36 kV, <10 MVA, Dry-type >1kV, Dry-type <1kV

Installed base of transformers
Installed transformer capacity (MVA) - by country, by segment, voltage and capacity
Ratios of transformer capacity (MVA) to generating capacity (MW) - by country, by segment, voltage and capacity
Numbers of distribution transformers and capacity (kVA) - by country, kVA/unit

Development of distributed and central generation
World central and distributed GSU transformer capacity (MVA) plotted from 1990 to 2030
(Analysis by country is available, contact StatPlan)

A chapter outlines the recent trends in development of distributed generation and its impact on central generation, with surveys of renewables growth and the different technologies.

Trade of power and distribution transformers, 2020
Imports of oil-filled transformers by capacity <650 kVA, 650<10,000 kVA, ≥10 MVA
Exports of oil-filled transformers by capacity <650 kVA, 650<10,000 kVA, ≥10 MVA
Imports of dry-type transformers by capacity <1-16 kVA, 16<500 kVA, ≥500 kVA
Exports of dry-type transformers by capacity <1-16 kVA, 16<500 kVA, ≥500 kVA

Top 35 importers and exporters, analysed by capacity, 2020
Top 35 importers of oil-filled transformers total, by capacity <650 kVA, 650<10,000 kVA, ≥10 MVA
Top 35 exporters of oil-filled transformers total, by capacity <650 kVA, 650<10,000 kVA, ≥10 MVA
Top 35 importers of dry-type transformers total, by capacity <1-16 kVA, 16<500 kVA, ≥500 kVA
Top 35 exporters of dry-type transformers total, by capacity <1-16 kVA, 16<500 kVA, ≥500 kVA

Top 35 importers and exporters, analysed ty voltage, 2020
Top 35 importers of transformers total, by PT oil-filled HV, DT oil-filled MV, dry-type MV, dry-type LV
Top 35 exporters of transformers total, by PT oil-filled HV, DT oil-filled MV, dry-type MV, dry-type LV

Note: Trade data is not yet available for 2021 for all countries, including some which are in the Top 35.

Prices and factors determining transformer prices
The composition of production costs for transformers is shown, with their % contribution. The future price trends for the important materials and components in different regions is charted, together with PPI (Producer Price Indices) for transformers or electrical equipment. These are essential inputs to the new forecasting model.

Production capacity and utilisation
Production capacity for manufactures in each important market, together with utilisation factors. In the last decade the transformer market has been affected by excess production capacity, sometimes and in some countries a high level but this is being reduced and utilisation levels are increasing.

Long term demand trend
StatPlan maintains a historical database of generating and transformer capacity for every country, recorded from 1900 to 2022 and forecast to 2050. Demand consists of current sales for new capacity plus replacements of old plant. The chart plots the new installations, replacements and the total. Replacements have been calculated as the amount installed at the date of installation, not as a % of the current installed capacity, which over-estimates the amount of replacement in a growing market. The model distinguishes very clearly between growing markets and mature markets which have little new growth but high replacement volume.

Competitive analysis
Production share data is provided as outlined above. The report also contains detailed profiles of the major global and regional manufacturers, mostly based in Europe, North and South America and Asia Pacific. These include some companies which are seeking to expand from a strong national base but in a limited market to regional sales and further. As well as these profiles, the report lists several hundred companies with their main products.

Vol 2
Vol 2 contains a wide range of descriptive material about the transformer markets, products and the indus-try. These are the accumulation of years of researching these markets and industries. This volume may be of less interest to professionals in the transformer industry but offer valuable insights to experts from other fields who are less familiar with transformers.

A full list of contents is contained in the Table of Contents. Topics include outlines of the many transformer types, background information about low voltage transformers, descriptions of the different distribution network systems of Europe and North America and their impact on global practice, the use and impact of solar inverters on the distribu-tion transformer market, with a survey of hosting capacity practices and developments, redundancy at N-1 and other levels, smart transformers, a survey of MEPS and high efficiency transformers, the supply chain and logistics.

New Methodologies for the StatPlan Transformer Report, Ed 10 2022

Three new models - sizing and forecasting the transformer market - sizing the installed transformer base - sizing and plotting the development of distributed and central generation.

1. Forecasting the transformer market (USD and MVA) - The demand forecast model has two stag-es. Sales in the base year are disaggregated into cost components; materials, labour and overhead and others), and 1) sales of each component are forecast at constant values based on the power consumption trend; 2) constant values of individual cost components are projected to nominal mar-ket values based on material price forecasts, inflation and productivity.

2. Sizing the installed transformer base (MVA) - capacity is calculated in four segments with sepa-rate models; central and distributed generation, power network and distribution network. DT network capacity (< 10 MVA, <36 kV) at the end user level in the distribution network is derived from GWh consumption and average load in each end user segment, calibrated by the network structure of primary and secondary substations and the number of transformations incurred. PT network capaci-ty {≥ 10 MVA, ≥ 36 kV) is derived from transmission utility data factored by the % of EHV and HV industrial and commercial users connected directly with the HV transmission system. Central and distributed generating capacity are calculated separately with the model below.

3. Sizing and plotting the development of transformer capacity for distributed (< 10 MVA, <36 kV) and central (≥ 10 MVA, ≥36 kV) generation - MVA generator transformer capacity is calculat-ed in four sub-groups; 1) renewables central generation, 2) renewables distributed generation, 3) non-renewables central generation, 4) non-renewables distributed generation. A spreadsheet of in-stalled generating capacity (MW) was first created for every country (184 countries) with annual da-ta from 1990 to 2022, forecast to 2030 for 18 categories (coal, oil, gas, multi fuel, pumped storage, conventional hydro, nuclear, wind onshore, wind offshore, concentrated solar, solar PV, biomass, MSW & other waste, liquid biofuels, biogas, geothermal, ocean/tidal, other). These were sorted into 23 groups and each of these was modelled separately for central and distributed generating capaci-ty. Factors were applied to the installed generating capacity in each group to calculate transformer capacity.

Market size
The markets in each country were sized in several ways, dependent on the data available. Wherever possible they were calculated as the sum of production plus imports minus exports. In some cases countries publish precise production data, and in other we have summed the output of the manufactur-ers, either with published data or best estimates. Import and export data was averaged over five years. In other cases it was impossible to obtain production data and in these cases we estimated demand as the sum of new installations of capacity plus replacements, based on installations in the year of instal-lation, using our historical database of transformer capacity.

Please Note: This product is delivered as a zip file (PDF & Excel).


Volume 1
1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
1.1. Transformer Report Volume 1
1.1.1. The power and distribution transformer market
1.1.2. The installed base of power and distribution transformers
1.1.3. The impact of Covid
1.1.4. Low voltage transformers
1.1.5. United States
1.1.6. Europe
1.1.7. CIS
1.1.8. Middle East
1.1.9. Asia Pacific
1.1.10. China
1.1.11. Asia Pacific not including China
1.1.12. Japan
1.1.13. India
1.1.14. Korea
1.1.15. LAC
1.1.16. Africa
1.1.17. Price trend
1.1.18. Recent trends in Central and Distributed Generation
1.1.19. Long term demand cycle
1.1.20. Transformer: generator capacity ratios - MVA - MW
1.1.21. Manufacturing capacity, global and by region
1.2. Transformer Report Vol 2
1.2.1. Solar PV and Transformerless inverters
1.2.2. Renewables and hosting capacity
1.2.3. Channels to market
1.2.4. Transformer types
1.2.5. Efficiency transformers
1.2.6. Smart transformers
1.2.7. Redundancy
1.2.8. Logistics
1.2.9. Electrification
2. THE WORLD MARKET FOR POWER AND DISTRIBUTION TRANSFORMERS
2.1. The global market for power and distribution transformers
2.2. Installed base of transformers, capacity ratios & numbers of distribution transformers
2.3. Capacity ratios
2.4. Numbers of distribution transformers
3. NORTH AMERICAN TRANSFORMER MARKETS
3.1. The North American Markets
3.2. Installed base of transformers in North America
3.2.1. USMCA
3.2.2. Purchase considerations and delivery channels
3.3. United States
3.4. The US transformer stock
3.4.1. Demand for power transformers
3.4.2. Composition of demand
3.4.3. The utility market in the United States
3.4.4. Market drivers
3.4.5. Utility investment
3.4.6. National Electrical Manufacturers Association (NEMA)
3.4.7. CEE- Consortium for Energy Efficiency
3.4.8. MEPS standards
3.4.9. Amorphous core transformer manufacturers
3.4.10. Manufacturing industry review - facilities
3.4.11. Power transformers
3.4.12. USA plants
3.4.13. NAFTA suppliers in Canada and Mexico
3.4.14. Large power transformers (LPT)
3.4.15. Medium power transformers
3.4.16. Distribution transformers
3.4.17. MV distribution transformer - oil-filled
3.4.18. Dry type MV
3.4.19. Dry type LV
3.5. CANADA
3.5.1. Canadian standards
3.5.2. Canadian transformer manufacturers
3.6. MEXICO
3.6.1. MEPS Standards
3.6.2. Mexican transformer manufacturers
4. LAC TRANSFORMER MARKETS
4.1. The transformer markets in LAC
4.2. Installed base of transformers in LAC
4.3. BRAZIL
4.3.1. Market drivers
5. EUROPEAN TRANSFORMER MARKETS
5.1. The European markets
5.2. Installed base of transformers
5.2.1. Transformer voltages in the utility network and industry
5.2.2. Voltage differences in the European distribution networks
5.2.3. Losses and high efficiency transformers
5.2.4. A changing network landscape - distributed power - smart transformers
5.2.5. Market drivers
5.2.6. MEPS Standards
5.2.7. European transformer manufacturing industry review
5.2.8. Austria
5.2.9. Belgium
5.2.10. Bulgaria
5.2.11. Croatia
5.2.12. Cyprus
5.2.13. Czech Republic
5.2.14. Denmark
5.2.15. Estonia
5.2.16. Finland
5.2.17. Greece
5.2.18. Hungary
5.2.19. Ireland
5.2.20. Netherlands
5.2.21. Norway
5.2.22. Poland
5.2.23. Portugal
5.2.24. Romania
5.2.25. Serbia
5.2.26. Slovakia
5.2.27. Slovenia
5.3. FRANCE
5.3.1. Market drivers
5.3.2. French transformer manufacturers
5.4. GERMANY
5.4.1. Market drivers
5.4.2. Market leader – Siemens Energy
5.4.3. SGB-SMIT
5.4.4. German energy transition and utility reorganisation
5.4.5. German transformer manufacturers
5.5. ITALY
5.5.1. Market drivers
5.5.2. Italian transformer manufacturers
5.6. SPAIN
5.6.1. Market drivers
5.6.2. Spanish transformer manufacturers
5.7. SWITZERLAND
5.7.1. ABB – Hitachi Energy
5.7.2. Swiss transformer manufacturers
5.8. UNITED KINGDOM
5.8.1. Standard transformer ratings used in the UK are:
5.8.2. Market drivers
5.8.3. UK transformer manufacturers
6. CIS TRANSFORMER MARKET
6.1. The transformer markets of the CISS
6.2. Installed base of transformers
6.3. RUSSIA
6.3.1. Russian transformer manufacturers
6.4. UKRAINE
6.4.1. Ukrainian transformer manufacturer
6.4.2. ZTR Zaporozhtransformator
7. AFRICAN TRANSFORMER MARKETS
7.1. The Africa markets
7.2. Installed base of transformers
7.2.1. North African transformer manufacturers
7.2.2. Egypt
7.2.3. Morocco
7.2.4. Sub-Saharan Africa
7.2.5. South Africa
7.2.6. Nigeria
8. MIDDLE EASTERN TRANSFORMER MARKETS
8.1. The Middle Eastern transformer markets
8.2. Installed base of transformers
8.3. IRAN
8.3.1. Iranian transformer manufacturers
8.4. SAUDI ARABIA
8.4.1. Saudi transformer manufacturers
8.5. TURKEY
8.5.1. Turkish transformer manufacturers
8.6. UAE
8.6.1. UAE transformer manufacturers
9. CHINESE TRANSFORMER MARKET
9.1. Market
9.2. Installed base of transformers
9.2.1. UHV AC and HVDC transformer markets in China
9.2.2. UHV equipment manufacture
9.2.3. Chinese suppliers and foreign suppliers
9.2.4. UHV market participants
9.2.5. International companies in China’s UHV Market
9.2.6. Power and distribution transformers ≥ 220 kV ≤ UHV
9.2.7. Power and distribution transformers ≤ 220 kV
9.2.8. Distribution transformers for MV and LV distribution
9.2.9. Market drivers
9.2.10. MEPS Standards
9.2.11. Chinese manufacturing industry review
10. ASIA PACIFIC TRANSFORMER MARKETS
10.1. Markets
10.2. Installed base of transformers
10.3. JAPAN
10.3.1. Transformer stock
10.3.2. Market drivers
10.3.3. MEPS Standards
10.3.4. Japanese transformer manufacturers
10.3.5. Overseas production
10.4. INDIA
10.4.1. Transformer stock
10.4.2. Electrification
10.4.3. Captive generation
10.4.4. Market drivers
10.4.5. MEPS Standards
10.4.6. The transmission and distribution networks
10.4.7. Example Grids in Delhi and Bhopal
10.4.8. BRPL, BSES Rajdhani Power Ltd Distribution company in Delhi
10.4.9. Medium voltage (11 kV)
10.4.10. Low voltage (400 V)
10.4.11. Rural feeder Delhi
10.4.12. Madhya Kshetra Vidyut Vitran Co Ltd, Bhopal.
10.4.13. Urban feeder Bhopal
10.4.14. Indian manufacturing industry review
10.4.15. Capacity and utilisation
10.4.16. Out-sourcing engineering skills
10.5. INDONESIA
10.5.1. Electrical utility
10.5.2. Market drivers
10.5.3. Transformer manufacturers
10.6. KOREA
10.6.1. Market drivers
10.6.2. Korean transformer manufacturers
10.6.3. Hyundai Heavy Industries Co Ltd (HHI)
10.6.4. Hyosung Corporation (HICO)
10.7. MALAYSIA
10.7.1. Electrical utilities
10.7.2. Malaysian transformer manufacturers
10.8. PHILIPPINES
10.8.1. Electrical utilities
10.8.2. Philippine transformer manufacturers
10.8.3. First Philec
10.8.4. Wescor
10.8.5. McGraw Transformer
10.8.6. Delta Star Power Mfg Corp
10.9. TAIWAN
10.9.1. Electrical utilities
10.9.2. Market drivers
10.9.3. Taiwanese transformer manufacturers
10.10. THAILAND
10.10.1. Electrical utilities
10.10.2. Industrialisaton
10.10.3. Market drivers
10.10.4. Thai transformer manufacturers
10.11. VIETNAM
10.11.1. Electrical utilities
10.11.2. Industrialisaton
10.11.3. Vietnamese transformer manufacturers
11. PRICE TRENDS AND FACTORS DRIVING TRANSFORMER PRICES
11.1.1. Prices of raw material
11.1.2. PPI - Producer Price Index
11.1.3. USA
11.1.4. EU
11.1.5. China
11.1.6. Japan
11.1.7. The core - electrical steel
11.1.8. Amorphous steel
11.1.9. The coil - windings - copper and aluminium
11.1.10. Advantages of copper windings
11.1.11. Disadvantages of copper windings
11.1.12. Advantages of aluminium windings
11.1.13. Disadvantages of aluminium windings
11.1.14. Transformer oil
11.1.15. Demand for transformers, market and industry trends
11.1.16. Production capacity for transformers and utilisation
12. THE LONG-TERM DEMAND CYCLE 1900-2050
12.1.1. Installed capacity versus demand
13. TRANSFORMER PRODUCTION CAPACITY
13.1. Manufacturing capacity, global and by region
13.1.1. Capacity utilisation
13.1.2. North America (United States, Canada)
13.1.3. Japan
13.1.4. Europe
13.1.5. CIS
13.1.6. Mexico
13.1.7. Latin America (excluding Mexico)
13.1.8. China
13.1.9. India
13.1.10. Korea
13.1.11. Africa
13.1.12. South Africa
14. RECENT TRENDS IN CENTRAL AND DISTRIBUTED TRANSFORMER CAPACITY
14.1. Central and distributed generation
14.1.1. In terms of size
14.1.2. StatPlan definition of distributed generation
14.1.3. DG in the USA
14.1.4. DG in Europe
14.1.5. DG in Germany
14.1.6. Wind power onshore
14.1.7. Wind power offshore
14.1.8. Solar PV
14.1.9. DG in Italy
14.1.10. DG in Spain
14.1.11. DG in the UK
14.1.12. DG in Japan
14.1.13. DG in Brazil
14.1.14. DG in China
15. TOP 35 IMPORTERS AND EXPORTERS OF TRANSFORMERS
16. METHODOLOGY
16.1. Volume 1 - Primary objectives
16.2. Volume 2 - Secondary objectives
16.3. Methodology of Volumes 1-9, 2010 to 2021
16.3.1. Analysis of the installed base of transformers.
16.3.2. Long-term demand trends.
16.3.3. Market analysis. This is derived from the combination of production, imports and exports.
16.4. Methodology of Volume 10, 2022
16.4.1. Definition of power and distribution transformers for Volume 10, 2022.
 Estimation of CGSU and DGSU transformer capacity
16.4.2. Generating capacity database.
16.4.3. Model for the estimation of central and distributed generating GSU transformers based on generating capacity (MW).
16.4.4. Calibration of final MVA capacity by number of primary and secondary substations
16.4.5. Composition of MVA capacity
 Estimation of central transformer installed capacity in MVA
 The current market size for transformers
16.4.6. Company sales
16.4.7. Estimation from capacity increase
16.4.8. Personal interviews
 Forecasting the transformer market (USD and MVA) F
16.4.9. Transformer type - oil-filled and dry-type transformers
Figures
Figure 1: USA Electric power system with substation types
Figure 2: Imports of power transformers (Oil filled ≥ 10 MVA), into the US, 2005-2021 $ value.
Figure 3: Share of distribution lines by voltage category in Europe, 2020
Figure 4: Voltage levels and ranges used for power distribution in Europe, 2020
Figure 5: RWE and E.ON reorganize the German power sector, splitting up Innogy.
Figure 6: Market shares for UHV AC and HVDC transformers in China
Figure 7: Market shares of leading transformer manufacturers for SGCC’s HV, MV and LV tenders
Figure 8: Structure of the Chinese electric power industry
Figure 9: Investment as a % of GDP, selected countries and economic groupings, 1980-2020
Figure 10: Share of costs in transformer production
Figure 11: Prices of transformer materals 2011 to Q1 2022
Figure 12: Prices of aluminium and copper in the European market, 2019 to 2022
Figure 13: Prices of natural gas in Europe 1970 to 2022
Figure 14: Producer Price Indices for power and distribution transformers in the US 1967 to 2022
Figure 15: EU Producer Price Index for industrial manufactures 2010 to 2022
Figure 16: China Producer Price Index for industrial goods 2010 to 2022
Figure 17: Japan Producer Price Index for electrical machinery and equipment 1996 to 2022
Figure 18: The manufacturing processes for CRGO and CNRGO
Figure 19: Installed capacity of power and distribution transformers, GVA, 1900 - 2050
Figure 20: Global installed transformation capacity and demand, GVA, 1900 - 2050
Figure 21: The development of central and distributed step-up transformer capacity as percentages of generating capacity from 1990 to 2030
Figure 22: Regional growth of distributed generation 1990 to 2030
Figure 23: Distributed energy, gas and electricity
Figure 24: Overview of distributed generation and of typical uses
Figure 25: Commercial distributed solar PV capacity, 2015 to 2050
Figure 26: The smart grid and distributed generation
Figure 27: Annual development of onshore wind energy capacity in Germany
Figure 28: Annual development of offshore wind energy capacity in Germany
Figure 29: The development of central and distributed step-up transformer capacity as percentages of generating capacity from 1990 to 2030
Figure 30: The growth in distributed generation transformer capacity DGSU, 1990 to 2030 by region
Tables
Table 1: World, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 2: World, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 3: World, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 4: World, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 5: World, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 6: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 7: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, MVA
Table 8: World, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 9: World, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 10 : Installed transformer capacity of the world by regions
Table 11: Installed transformer capacity of North America by countries
Table 12: Installed transformer capacity of South and Central America by countries
Table 13: Installed transformer capacity of Europe by countries
Table 14: Installed transformer capacity of the CIS by countries
Table 15: Installed transformer capacity of the Middle East by countries
Table 16: Installed transformer capacity of North Africa by countries
Table 17: Installed transformer capacity of Sub-Saharan Africa by countries
Table 18: Installed transformer capacity of China by countries
Table 19: Installed transformer capacity of Asia Pacific by countries
Table 20: North American ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 21: South and Central American ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 22: European ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 23: CIS ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 24: Middle Eastern ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 25: North African ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 26: Sub-Saharan African ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 27: Chinese ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 28: Asia Pacific ratios of transformer capacity to generating capacity MVA:MW
Table 29: World numbers of distribution transformers
Table 30: North American numbers of distribution transformers
Table 31: South and Central American numbers of distribution transformers
Table 32: European numbers of distribution transformers
Table 33: CIS numbers of distribution transformers
Table 34: Middle Eastern numbers of distribution transformers
Table 35: North African numbers of distribution transformers
Table 36: Sub-Saharan African numbers of distribution transformers
Table 37: Chinese numbers of distribution transformers
Table 38: Asia Pacific numbers of distribution transformers
Table 39: North America, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 40: North America, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 41: North America, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 42: North America, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 43: North America, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 44: Central generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 45: Central generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, MVA
Table 46: North America, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 47: North America, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 48: North America, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 49: North America, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 50: USA production shares
Table 51: Canadian production shares
Table 52: Mexican production shares
Table 53: South & Central America, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 54: South & Central America, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 55: South America, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 56: Central America, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 57: South & Central America, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 58: South & Central America, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 59: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 60: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, MVA
Table 61: South & Central America, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 62: South & Central America, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 63: South & Central America, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 64: South & Central America, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 65: Brazil production shares
Table 66: Europe, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 67: Europe, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 68: Europe, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 69: Europe, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 70: Europe, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 71: Central generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 72: Central generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, MVA
Table 73: Europe, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 74: Europe, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 75: Europe, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 76: Europe, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 77: European production shares
Table 78: CIS, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 79: CIS, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 80: CIS, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 81: CIS, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 82: CIS, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 83: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 84: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, MVA
Table 85: CIS, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 86: CIS, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 87: CIS, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 88: CIS, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 89: Africa, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 90: Africa, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 91: Africa, sales value by transformer type and voltage, 2020, $ nominal
Table 92: Africa, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, 2020, MVA
Table 93: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, 2020, $ nominal
Table 94: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, 2020, MVA
Table 95: Africa, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 96: Africa, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 97: Africa, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 98: Africa, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 99: Middle East, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 100: Middle East, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 101: Middle East, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 102: Middle East, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 103: Middle East, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 104: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 105: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, MVA
Table 106: Middle East, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 107: Middle East, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 108: Middle East, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 109: Middle East, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 110: China, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 111: China, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 112: China, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 113: China, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 114: China, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 115: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 116: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, 2020, MVA
Table 117: China, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 118: China, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 119: China, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 120: China, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 121: The operational UHV circuits in China in 2021
Table 122: UHV circuits under construction in China in 2021
Table 123: Key Technologies for UHV AC systems
Table 124: Key technologies for UVH DC systems
Table 125: Voltage sequence of distribution networks in China
Table 126: Asia Pacific excluding China, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, $ nominal
Table 127: Asia Pacific excluding China, total transformer sales forecast, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 128: Asia Pacific, total transformer sales forecast by transformer type, 2020-2027, MVA
Table 129: Asia Pacific excluding China, sales value by transformer type and voltage, $ nominal
Table 130: Asia Pacific excluding China, capacity sales by transformer type and voltage, MVA
Table 131: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, $ nominal
Table 132: Generator, network PT, distributed generator, network DT, market, MVA
Table 133: Asia Pacific excluding China, production, imports, exports, market, $ nominal
Table 134: Asia Pacific excluding China, production, imports, exports, market, MVA
Table 135: Asia Pacific excluding China, installed base generating capacity MW and transformer capacity MVA by category
Table 136: Asia Pacific excluding China, ratios of MVA transformer capacity to MW generating capacity
Table 137: Transformer manufacturers in Japan
Table 138: Transformers and their control modes in the BRPL distribution grid.
Table 139: Classification of distribution transformer loads on the rural 11 kV feeders in Delhi.
Table 140: Transformers and their control modes in the BRPL distribution grid.
Table 141: Comparison of relevant 11 kV grids in Delhi and Bhopal.
Table 142: Indian transformer production capacity MVA
Table 143: Indian production shares
Table 144: World production capacity for transformers, GVA
Table 145: Global leaders’ production capacity power and distribution transformers, GVA
Table 146: CIS, production capacity power and distribution transformers, GVA
Table 147: China, domestic production capacity power and distribution transformers, GVA
Table 148: India, production capacity power and distribution transformers, GVA, 2007 - 2020
Table 149: Top 35 importers of oil-filled transformers by KVA, 2020
Table 150: Top 35 exporters of oil-filled transformers by kVA, 2020
Table 151: Top 35 importers of dry-type transformers by kVA, 2020
Table 152: Top 35 exporters of dry-type transformers by kVA, 2020
Table 153: Top 35 importers of power and distribution oil-filled transformers, 2020
Table 154:Top 35 exporters of power and distribution oil-filled transformers, 2020
Table 155: Top 35 importers of dry-type transformers by voltage, 2020
Table 156: Top 35 exporters of dry-type transformers by voltage, 2020
Table 157: The generating capacity data base for 184 countries
Table 158: Renewables MW capacity to DGSU MVA capacity, 1990 to 2030, 184 countries
Table 159: Renewables MW capacity to CGSU MVA capacity, 1990 to 2030, 184 countries
Table 160: Non-Renewables MW capacity to CGSU MVA and DGSU capacity, 1990 to 2030, 184 countries
Table 161: Consumption by end-user groups in India, GWh
Table 162Average power in MW providing electricity for each user group in India
Table 163: Installed DT (liquid and dry) capacity in MVA in India
Table 164: Installed capacity of utility and industrial power and distribution transformers in India
Volume 2
1. VOLUME 2 - INTRODUCTION
2. TRANSFORMER TYPES - GSU, POWER AND DISTRIBUTION, INDUSTRIAL TRANSFORMERS
2.1. Power transformers
2.2. Large Power Transformers (LPT)
2.3. Medium Power Transformers (MPT)
2.4. Small Power Transformers (SPT)
2.5. Classification according to application
2.6. Generator step-up transformers (GSU)
2.7. System intertie (interconnecting) transformers.
2.8. Special power transformers.
2.9. Distribution Transformers
2.10. Single Phase Transformers
2.11. 3 Phase transformer
2.12. Dry-type transformers
2.13. Pad mounted distribution transformers
2.14. Pole-mounted distribution transformers
2.15. Industrial transformers
3. LOW VOLTAGE TRANSFORMERS BACKGROUND INFORMATION
3.1. Voltage definitions for this report
3.2. HV sub-divisions:
3.3. Low voltage terminology
3.4. Low voltage differences in Europe and the United States
3.5. North American system
3.6. European system
3.8. European LV for industrial users
3.9. Substation and industrial and commercial transformer types commonly used in the USA
3.10. Examples of LV projects in the United States
3.11. Industry
3.12. USA industrial motor market
3.13. Residential buildings
3.14. Multi-storey buildings and the usage of LV transformers
3.15. Power distribution in small buildings
3.16. Power distribution in large residential or commercial buildings
3.17. Large buildings, the vertical supply system (rising mains).
3.18. Burj Khalifa Dubai,
3.19. Conclusion
4. SOLAR PV SOLAR PV AND TRANSFORMERLESS INVERTERS
4.1. Transformerless inverters
4.2 High Frequency Inverters (HF)
4.3. Low Frequency Inverters (LF)
4.4. TL in Europe
4.5. TL in China
4.6. TL in the USA
4.7. TL in Australia
4.8. Impact of TL inverters on the distribution transformer market
5. NETWORK TRANSFORMER LAYOUT
5.1. The layout stages of a network
5.1.1. Stage 1
5.1.2. Stage 2
5.1.3. Stage 3
5.1.4. Stage 4
5.1.5. Stage 5
5.2. European grid systems
5.3. Network configurations for distribution - Radial, Loop and Network systems
5.4. Industry
5.5. North America
5.6. Japan
5.7. Europe
5.8. Types of transformer
5.9. Liquid dielectric transformers
5.10. Dry-type transformers
5.11. Gas filled transformers
5.12. Evolution of power transformers by size and capacity
5.13. Offshore systems
5.14. Gas to Wire GTW
5.15. The development of high voltage transmission
5.16. Ownership of power and distribution transformers
5.17. Ownership of GSU transformers
6. HOSTING CAPACITY OF DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS AND DG PENETRATION
6.1. Problems which can occur with excess load
6.1.1. Overvoltage
6.1.2. Overloading and power loss problems
6.1.3. Power quality problem
6.1.4. Protection problems
6.1.5. Solutions
6.1.6. Network reconfiguration and reinforcement
6.1.7. Reactive power control
6.1.8. Voltage control using On Load Tap Changer (OLTC)
6.1.9. Active power curtailment
6.1.10. Battery energy storage technologies (BESS)
6.2. Costs 54
6.3. Conclusion
7. SMART TRANSFORMERS
7.1. Smart transformers and the smart grid
7.2. Basic characteristics of smart transformers
7.3. The basic technical requirements of smart transformers
7.4. Smart transformer in current infrastructure
7.5. Dissolved gas analysis (DGA)
8. N+1 STANDARD, N+2 AND 2N, REDUNDANCY AND REPLACEMENT
8.1. Network failure
8.2. Transformer failure
8.3. Industrial reliability
8.4 Redundancy criteria
8.5. N+1 Redundancy
8.7. 2N Redundancy
8.8. 2N+1 Redundancy 61
8.9. Fault tolerance
8.10. Network reliability
8.11. N+1 and the networks
8.12. Reliability standards SAIFI and SAIDI
8.12.4. System Average Interruption Frequency Index (SAIFI)
8.12.5. System Average Interruption Duration Index (SAIDI)
8.13. Electricity transmission
8.14. Large power transformers (LPTs)
8.15. Transformer/generator ratios and redundancy
8.15.4. Generation
8.15.5. Transmission
8.15.6. Distribution
9. MEPS - MINIMUM ENERGY PERFORMANCE STANDARDS
9.1. MEPS (Minimum Energy Performance Standards)
9.2. United States
9.3. Efficiency regulations
9.4. Canada
9.4.1. Dry-type transformers
9.4.2. Liquid-filled transformers
9.5. Brazil
9.5.1. Liquid-filled transformers
9.6. Mexico
9.6.1. Liquid-filled transformers
9.7. European Union
9.7.1. Dry-type transformers
9.7.2. Liquid-filled transformers
9.8. Israel
9.8.1. Dry-type transformers
9.8.2. Liquid-filled transformers
9.9. Australia and New Zealand
9.9.1. Dry-type transformers
9.9.2. Liquid-filled transformers
9.10. Japan
9.10.1. Dry-type transformers
9.10.2. Liquid-filled transformers
9.11. China
9.11.1. Dry-type transformers
9.11.2. Liquid-filled transformers
9.12. Korea
9.12.1. Dry-type transformers
9.12.2. Liquid-filled transformers
9.13. India
9.13.1. Liquid-filled transformers
9.14. Vietnam
9.14.1. Liquid-filled transformers
9.15. Summary of efficiency standards
10. HIGH EFFICIENCY TRANSFORMERS
10.1. Development of a new technology - amorphous core transformers
10.2. The market for AMTs
10.3. AMT manufacturers
10.4. Amorphous metal ribbon manufacturers
10.5. Amorphous metal transformers - AMTs
10.6. United States
10.7. Japan
10.8. China
10.9. India
10.10. Taiwan
10.11. Other
10.12. HTS –high temperature superconductor transformers
11. THE SUPPLY CHAIN
11.1. The political dimension of the global supply chains
11.2. US Federal Executive Order - Telecoms
11.3. Supply of transformers
11.4. Electrical system equipment
11.5. US LPT Seizure
11.6. Japanese programme to diversify Chinese supplies
11.7. Australia
11.8. Market impacts
11.9. Global supply chains
11.10. Supply chains for transformer components
11.11. Key global supply chains for transformers
11.12. Tap Changers - OLTC suppliers
11.13. EHV bushings
11.13.1.China
12. LOGISTICS
12.1. An LPT logistical operation from China to the USA
12.2. Guidance for the safe transport of transformers
12.3. Faults or damages to transformers
12.4. Voyage Assessment
12.5. Transport execution
12.6. Carriers’ responsibilities
12.7. Handling
12.8. Securing
12.9. Impact Recorders
12.10. Rail transport
12.10.1 North America
12.10.2 Europe
12.10.3.Africa
12.10.4.Asia Pacific
12.11. Road transport
12.12. Clearance
12.13. Alternative solutions
13. ELECTRIFICATION
13.1. There are three key observations to make on the global picture:
13.2. Sub-Saharan Africa
13.3. Asia
13.4. MENA
13.5. Latin America
13.6. Europe
13.7. CIS
13.8. North America
13.9. The impact of electrification on the electrical supply industry
Figures
Figure 1: LPT, 265 MVA, 525 kV
Figure 2: MPT 60 MVA, 275 kV.
Figure 3: SPT with 12.5 MVA with OLTC ( On-Load Tap Changer)
Figure 4: An 800 kV UHVDC converter transformer by ABB
Figure 5: 1 phase
Figure 6: 3 phase oil-filled distribution transformer,
Figure 7: Dry-type distribution transformer
Figure 8: Pad-mounted distribution transformer
Figure 9: Single pole mounted transformer
Figure 10: A bank of 3 single phase pole top distribution transformers for 3 phase supply
Figure 11: The German Electricity Grid
Figure 12: American distribution system
Figure 13: European distribution system
Figure 14: Electrical distribution system for a small building
Figure 15: Single rising main
Figure 16: Grouped supply
Figure 17: Individual floor supply
Figure 18: A large building using distributed transformers - splitting the system into two supply sections with 2 transformer modules with 3 × 630 kVA each.
Figure 19: Top 20 markets for solar PV additions, 2018 to 2022.
Figure 20: An example of an electricity network with Central and Distributed Generation
Figure 21: Basic scheme of an electric power system
Figure 22: The UK electrical power transmission and distribution system
Figure 23: The traditional centralised electricity system compared with distributed power
Figure 24: North American versus European distribution layouts.
Figure 25: GTW development Options
Figure 26: The overall concept of GTW
Figure 27: Evolution of transformers in voltage kV and capacity MVA
Figure 28: Proportion of capacity (MVA) generator, utility and private industry ownership of power and distribution transformers by region, 2018
Figure 29: International DSOs’ experience and rules of thumb for DG integration
Figure 30: HC enhancement techniques
Figure 31: Conventional grid with unidirectional power flow
Figure 32: Active distribution grid with intelligent transformer substations
Figure 33: The vast majority of countries have yet to take such action.
Figure 34: The world’s largest HVDC transformer at Xiangjiaba, China
Figure 35: Schnabel car with load
Figure 36: The largest load ever transported by road in the United Kingdom
Figure 37: Goldhofer heavy duty load
Figure 38: Goldhofer rear wheel drive vehicle
Figure 39: The trailer approaches a narrow turning
Figure 40: The trailer’s rear wheels begin the turn
Figure 41: The trailer has turned the corner
Figure 42: Overhead obstructions
Figure 43: Transformer off the road
Figure 44: Share of people without electricity access for developing countries, 2016
Figure 45: World electrification - % of households with electricity, 1900 - 2050
Figure 46: World electrification – number and % of households with electricity, 1900 - 2050
Figure 47: Selected major countries - % of households with electricity, 1900 - 2050
Figure 48: Selected major countries – Number of households with electricity, 1900 - 2050
Figure 49: Regional totals of electrified households 2010 to 2050
Figure 50: Additions of electrified households in each decade by region, 2010 to 2050
Tables
Table 1: Typical applications for distribution transformer technologies
Table 2: Substation and industrial and commercial transformer types used behind the meter
Table 3: Installed base of LV dry type transformers in commercial buildings in the USA
Table 4: Installed base of LV dry type transformers in commercial buildings in USA by kVA capacity
Table 5: Population of electric motors in US industry, 2021
Table 6: Population and residential housing stock in the United States and Europe
Table 7: Highest voltage levels of distribution in Europe
Table 8: Average consumers per LV distribution transformer in selected countries, 2018
Table 9: Network losses by region
Table 10: A summary of liquid filled distribution transformer efficiency programmes
Table 11:Summary of dry-type distribution transformer efficiency programmes
Table 12: Manufacturers of energy efficient transformers in China, 2013
Table 13: Population and electrical parameters of South Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa

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