Pet Food in the US, 18th Edition

Pet Food in the US, 18th Edition


This report covers the retail market for pet food in the United States, focusing on products for dogs and cats. The full retail spectrum is quantified, including online sales, mass-market outlets, pet specialty stores (chains and independents), and other channels. Sales through the veterinary channel are excluded. This report also examines meal toppers and other pet food add-ins to provide market perspective and track overall trends in pet food. Packaged Facts projects that sales of dog and cat food will grow from nearly $52 billion in 2023 to over $64 billion in 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 4.4% for the period, a return to the kind of growth seen prior to the COVID era.

Featuring in-depth analysis of these and other factors contributing to the changes this market is experiencing, this completely revised 18th edition of Packaged Facts’ Pet Food in the US provides historical and projected overall sales (2018-2028), as well as separate sales tracking and projections for dog and cat food. The report also examines trends by form (dry, wet, semi-moist, frozen/refrigerated, and freeze-/air-dried), ingredients, and product claims across the full retail spectrum including online retailers, mass-market outlets, the pet specialty channel, and other channels. Relying on survey data from Packaged Facts’ proprietary January 2024 and July-August 2024 Surveys of Pet Owners, as well as MRI-Simmons Summer 2024 consumer study, Pet Food in the US provides a detailed look at pet owner sentiment and pet food usage by type, marketer, and brand.


CHAPTER 1: EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
SCOPE & METHODOLOGY
Scope of Report: Dogs and Cats
Methodology
Two Consumer Survey Sources
Illustration 1-1. US Census Regional Divisions and Sub-Divisions
MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH
MARKET OUTLOOK
PET FOOD TRENDS BY TYPE AND FORMULATION
OPPORTUNITIES
Figure 1-1. Level of Concern About Rising Prices in Consumer Categories, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
CHAPTER 2: MARKET TRENDS
CHAPTER HIGHLIGHTS
MARKET OVERVIEW
Scope of Report: Dogs and Cats
Exclusions
Other Marketing Classifications
MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH
Pet Food Sales to Top $50 Billion
Table 2-1. US Retail Sales of Dog and Cat Food, 2018 – 2024P (in billions of dollars and percent
change)
Dog Food Dominates Pet Food Sales
Figure 2-1. Share of US Retail Dollar Sales of Pet Food by Animal Type: Dog vs. Cat, 2024P (percent and billions of dollars)
Table 2-2. US Retail Sales of Dog Food vs. Cat Food, 2018 – 2024P (in billions of dollars and percent)
Dry Pet Food Tops in Sales
Figure 2-2. Share of US Retail Dollar Sales of Pet Food by Form: Dry, Wet, Frozen/Refrigerated, Semi-
Moist, 2024P (percent and billions of dollars) Fresh Pet Food Sales
Figure 2-3. US Retail Sales of Fresh/Refrigerated/Frozen Pet Food, 2021-2024P and 2028P (billions of dollars and percent growth)
Freeze-Dried and Air-Dried Pet Food Sales
Figure 2-4. US Retail Sales of Freeze-Dried and Air-Dried Pet Food, 2021-2024P and 2028P (billions of
dollars)
Dry Dog Food Nearly 50% of the Market
Table 2-3. Share of US Retail Sales of Pet Food by Form and Animal Type, 2024P (billions of dollars and
percent)
Households Spend the Most on Dry Food
Table 2-4. Annual US Household Expenditures on Pet Food by Product Form, 2024P (in billions of
aggregate dollars and per-household dollars)
Households Spend More on Dog Food
Table 2-5. Annual US Household Expenditures on Pet Food by Animal Type, 2024P (in billions of
aggregate dollars and per-household dollars)
Annual Household Expenditures on Dog Food
Table 2-6. Annual Household Expenditures on Dog Food by Product Type, 2024P (in billions of
aggregate dollars and per-household dollars)
Annual Household Expenditures on Cat Food
Table 2-7. Annual Household Expenditures on Cat Food by Product Type, 2024P (in billions of
aggregate dollars and per-household dollars)
Sales by Channel: E-commerce in the Lead
Figure 2-5. Share of Dollar Sales of Pet Food by Channel, 2024P (percent and billions of dollars)
Projected Channel Share Shifts
Table 2-8. Modeling of Projected Shifts in Retail Channel Shares of US Pet Food Sales, 2024P vs. 2028P(percent)
MARKET DRIVERS
Long-Term Elevated Prices Challenging Pet Ownership
Pet Owners Feeling the Economic Pressure
Figure 2-6. Level of Concern About Rising Prices in Consumer Categories, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Impact on Pet Food Spending
Figure 2-7. Reduction in Spending on “Extras”, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Table 2-9. Changes in Levels of Pet Food Spending in Last 12 Months, February 2021, January 2022,
February 2023, September-October 2023, and July-August 2024 (percent of pet food purchasers)
Figure 2-8. Response to the Statement, “Due to high prices/inflation, I have switched…” 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Pet Food’s No. 1 Pet Health Role
Figure 2-9. Most Important Pet Health and Wellness Products: Dog vs. Cat Owners, 2024 (percent)
Figure 2-10. Level of Agreement with Selected Statements Related to Pet Food and Pet Health, 2024(percent of dog and cat owners)
Figure 2-11. Level of Agreement with the Statement, “I’m willing to spend more on pet foods with extra health and wellness benefits, 2023 vs. 2024 (percent of dog and cat owners)
Pets’ Impact on Human Health
Table 2-10. Level of Agreement with Statement: “My pets are important to my mental/physical health”, 2024 (percent of dog and cat owners)
Pet Obesity and Aging Pets Contribute to Health Concerns
Figure 2-12. Share of Dog/Cat-Owning Households With Senior Pets Age 7+, 2015 – 2024 (percent)
Pet Population Outlook: Declining Dog Population Is Cause for Caution
Table 2-11. Household Ownership Rates for Dogs vs. Cats, 1990 – 2024 (percent)
Table 2-12. Number of Dog or Cat Households, 2019 – 2024 (thousands and percent change)
Pet Shelter Data as Indicator
Trend Away From Smallest Dogs
Figure 2-13. Distribution of Dog Ownership by Size/Weight of Dogs, 2023 (percent of dog owners)
Table 2-13. Distribution of Dog-Owning Households by Size of Dogs, 2015/16 – 2023/24 (percent of dog owners)
Higher-Income Households Represent Over Two-Thirds of Pet Spending
Table 2-14. $70K+ Household Share of Pet Market Expenditures: By Classification, 2012 – 2023(percent)
Pets Central to Home Life
Figure 2-14. Agreement with Pets as Family Sentiments, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Pets and Owners Physically Close
Figure 2-15. Where Pets Are Typically Kept, 2023 (percent of dog and cat owners)
Figure 2-16. Where Pets Are Typically Fed, 2023 (percent of dog and cat owners)
Sustainability Initiatives Cross Several Trend Lines
Opportunities in Cat Market Remain
Figure 2-17. Agreement with the Statement, “Compared with what’s available for dogs, cats are
sometimes treated as second-class citizens by…”, 2019, 2022, and 2024 (percent of cat owners)
Grain-Free Pet Food and DCM: Not Guilty
LOOKING AHEAD
Sales Growth Equalizes to Pre-Pandemic Gains
Table 2-15. Projected US Retail Sales of Pet Food: Dog vs. Cat, 2023 – 2028 (in billions of dollars and
percent)
CHAPTER 3: COMPETITIVE TRENDS
CHAPTER HIGHLIGHTS
MARKETER TRENDS
A Highly Consolidated Market
Dry and Wet Dog and Cat Food Usage Rates
Table 3-1. Top Dry Dog Food Brands by Customer Base, 2023/2024 (percent and number of dog- owning households)
Table 3-2. Top Dry Cat Food Brands by Customer Base, 2023/2024 (percent and number of cat-owning households)
Table 3-3. Top Wet Dog Food Brands by Customer Base, 2023/2024 (percent and number of dog- owning households)
Table 3-4. Top Wet Cat Food Brands by Customer Base, 2023/2024 (percent and number of cat- owning households)
Brand Loyalty Still Strong in Current Economy
Figure 3-1. Sole Brand Users, Dry vs. Wet, Dog and Cat Foods, 2024 (percent of dog and cat owners)
Recent Acquisitions, Expansions, Investments, and Accomplishments
Fast-Growing Pet Food Companies
Smucker Adjusts to Downsized Portfolio
Post Finding its Footing in Pet Market
General Mills/Blue Buffalo Projects Return to Profitability
Illustration 3-1. Blue Buffalo Comparison Chart
Mars Adds to Greenies Lineup with Pet Foods
Purina Drives Nestlé Growth with Premium and Value Products
Hill’s Tops $4 Billion in 2023 Sales
Alternative Formats’ Continued Appeal
Table 3-5. Pet Food Usage by Alternative Type, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Freshpet Continues Forward Momentum in 2024
New Fresh Products Hit a Wall
Gently Cooked Shelf-Stable Pet Food
Retailers Also Ramping Up in Fresh
Freeze-Dried Segment Retains Appeal
Sustainable Pet Food Formulas and Industry Initiatives
Table 3-6. Level of Agreement with Selected Statements Related to Pet Food Sustainability and Eco-
Consciousness, Dog vs. Cat, 2024 (percent of pet food purchasers)
Table 3-7. Level of Agreement with Selected Statements Related to Pet Food Sustainability and Eco-
Consciousness, By Generational Cohort, 2024 (percent of pet food purchasers)
Illustration 3-2. Arch Pet Foods Sustainable Dog Food with Hilucia Ingredients
Sustainable Packaging a Key Challenge
Animal Welfare Remains a Concern
Figure 3-2. Level of Agreement with the Statement, “I’m concerned about the ethical/humane
treatment of the animals raised to use in pet food/treats/chews”, 2024 (percent of dog and cat owners)
RETAIL CHANNEL TRENDS
Supercenters Lead in In-Store Shopping for Pet Food/Treats
Table 3-8. Where Purchased Pet Food/Treats in Last 12 Months: In a Physical Store, by Pet Product
Shoppers Overall and by Dog vs. Cat Owners, 2024 (percent of category purchasers)
Online-Only Retailers Lead Online Shopping for Pet Food/Treats
Table 3-9. Where Purchased Pet Food/Treats in Last 12 Months: Through the Website, by Pet Product
Shoppers Overall and by Dog vs. Cat Owners, 2024 (percent of category purchasers)
MRI-Simmons Data Provides Additional Insight
Table 3-10. Where Purchased Pet Food in Last 6 Months, Dog vs. Cat Food, 2024 (percent of pet food purchasers)
Table 3-11. Pet Food Cross-Shopping Indices Across Key Retailers and Retail Classifications, 2023
PetSmart and Petco Change Leadership, Refine Focus
PETCO Streamlines Vision
PetSmart Leans in on Services, Value Offerings
Amazon’s Undeniable Pet Market Impact
Private Label Foods a Big Draw
Figure 3-3. Level of Agreement with the Statement, “Store brand pet foods provide comparable quality to national brand pet foods”, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Table 3-12. Private Label Pet Food Usage, 2023/2024 (percent and number of dog- and cat-owning households)
Figure 3-4. Private Label Pet Food Usage, Spring 2020 through Summer 2024 (share of pet food users)
Illustration 3-3. PetSmart Simply Nourish Dog Food
Illustration 3-4. Pet Food Express Value Pet Food Web Page
CHAPTER 4: MARKETING AND NEW PRODUCT TRENDS
CHAPTER HIGHLIGHTS
MARKETING AND NEW PRODUCT TRENDS
Focus on Value
Illustration 4-1. Acana Focus on Value
Illustration 4-2. Google Search Results for “Value Pet Food”
Figure 4-1. Especially Important Factors When Choosing Which Pet Products to Buy, 2024 (dog and cat owners)
Alternative Formulations Attract Attention
Figure 4-2. Level of Agreement with the Statement, “I like the idea of pet food other than traditional dry/kibble or canned”, 2024
Illustration 4-3. Petcurean nowfresh Good Gravy at SUPERZOO 2024
Fresh Pet Foods Continue to Gain Share
Illustration 4-4. Fromm Family Foods’ Bonnihill Farms Gently Cooked, Fresh-Frozen Dog Food
Illustration 4-5. Health Extension Gently Cooked Dog Food
Interest Grows in Freeze-Dried (and Air-Dried) Foods
Illustration 4-6. Primal Pet Foods Kibble in the Raw at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-7. Shepherd Boy Farms Freeze-Dried Raw Diets at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-8. ZIWI Peak Steam & Dried Cat Foods at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-9. A Pup Above Air-Dried Dog Food
Nulo’s Cold Pressed Process Creates New Category
Illustration 4-10. Nulo Cold Pressed Dog Foods
Alternative and Sustainable Ingredients and Recipes
Figure 4-3. Top Flavors for Chewy.com Dry Dog and Cat Food Offerings, October 2024 (percent of dry dog and cat food products)
Limited Ingredient Diets Feature Alternative Proteins, Simple Ingredients
Figure 4-4. Special Dietary Need-Related Statement, Dogs vs. Cats 2024 (percent of dog-only and cat- only households)
Pet Owners Weigh in on Sustainability
Figure 4-5. Agreement with Selected Statements Related to Pet Food Sustainability and Eco-
Consciousness, 2024 (percent)
Plant-Based Diets
Illustration 4-11. Wild Earth Unicorn Paté Vegan Cat Food
Illustration 4-12. HOWND Plant Powered Superfood Dry and Wet Dog Food
Insect-Based Diets
Illustration 4-13. Hill’s Pet Nutrition Sensitive Stomach & Skin with Insect Protein
Illustration 4-14. Earth Animal Wisdom From the Soil
Illustration 4-15. Arch Pet Food Insect- and Plant-Based Dog Food
Cultured Proteins a Potential Future Option
Illustration 4-16. Meatly Prototype from Meatly.pet
Science-Based and Veterinary Diets on a Roll
Figure 4-6. Level of Agreement with the Statement, “I like the idea of pet food backed by scientific
research”, 2024
Illustration 4-17. Hill’s Pet Nutrition Website
Illustration 4-18. Wellness Pet Website
Illustration 4-19. Kent/Blue Seal’s EnTrust at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-20. Mars Royal Canin Gastrointestinal New Products
Lifestage Specific Formulations
Illustration 4-21. Open Farm RawMix Grain-Free Kitten Recipe at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-22. Tiki Cat Baby Paté and Tiki Dog Baby Mousse and Senior Mousse at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-23. Instinct Raw Longevity at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-24. Hill’s Kitten and Puppy Sensitive Stomach & Skin Recipes
Illustration 4-25. Hill’s Kitten and Puppy Sensitive Stomach & Skin Recipes
Illustration 4-26. Canidae All Life Stages Dog Food
Smaller/Single-Serve Packaging
Illustration 4-27. Naturpak Tetra Recart Mini at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-28. Churu Pop’N Serve at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-29. Fromm Three-Ounce Cans at SUPERZOO 2024
Natural Positioning Takes Backseat to Other Product Claims
Figure 4-7. Pet Owner Attitudes Toward Natural Pet Food and Nutrition, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Figure 4-8. Pet Owner Attitudes on Pet Food Safety, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Functional Products Offer Health and Wellness Benefits
Illustration 4-30. Aimé Kitchen Oral Health Cat Food at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-31. Go! Solutions Functional Cat Foods at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-32. Weruva Awesome Functions Dog Foods at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-33. Bundle x Joy Digestive Health Dog Foods at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-34. Wholesomes Sensitive Skin & Stomach Formulations
Advancements in Human-Grade Pet Food
Table 4-1. Pet Owner Attitudes About Human Foods and Human-Grade Pet Foods, By Generation,
2024 (percent)
Illustration 4-35. Wet Noses Oven Baked Food for Dogs at SUPERZOO 2024
Indulgent Foods Let Pet Parents Pamper Their Pets
Figure 4-9. Special Treatment of Pets Related to Pet Foods, Dogs vs. Cats, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
Illustration 4-36. Made by Nacho Chef’s Selects at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-37. Tiki Dog Taste of the World at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-38. PURE Holiday Turkey & Cranberry Dog Food
Locally Sourced and Made in the USA
Figure 4-10. Level of Agreement with the Statement, “I actively seek out pet foods made in the USA”,2024 (percent of pet owners)
Just for Cats
Illustration 4-39. Wellness Appetizing Entrées at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-40. Meow Air-Dried and Freeze-Dried Cat Foods at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-41. RawTernative Air-Dried Cat Foods at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-42. CatIt Freeze-Dried Raw Cat Foods at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-43. Rawz Rabbit Cat Food
Meal Enhancements and Toppers
Illustration 4-44. Instinct Raw Boost Mixers for Cats
Illustration 4-45. Fussie Cat Goat Milk Purées
llustration 4-46. The Bear & The Rat Mighty Toppers at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-47. Gunni’s Pet Cat Meal Toppers at SUPERZOO 2024
Illustration 4-48. Jones Natural Chews Smokey Crumbles Meal Topper
CHAPTER 5: CONSUMER TRENDS
CHAPTER HIGHLIGHTS
INTRODUCTION
Two Consumer Survey Sources
Packaged Facts Data
MRI-Simmons Data
Illustration 5-1. US Census Regional Divisions and Sub-Divisions
BUYING PATTERNS BY PET FOOD TYPE
Topline Usage Rates for Dry/Wet Pet Food and Pet Treats
Figure 5-1. Dry Food and Wet Food Usage Rates: Dog vs. Cat Categories, 2007/08 - 2023/24 (percent
of dog/cat-owning households)
Table 5-1. Dog Food and Cat Food Customer Base: Dry vs. Wet, 2007/08 - 2023/24 (in thousands of
households)
Table 5-2. Pet Food Usage by Type, 2024 (percent of pet owners)
BUYING PATTERNS BY PET FOOD FORMULATION TYPES
Regular vs. Specialty
Figure 5-2. Use of General Pet Food Formulation Types, 2024 (percent of pet food purchasers)
Formulations Targeting Specific Health Conditions
Figure 5-3. Use of Pet Food Formulations Based on Health Condition Claims, 2024 (percent of dog/cat owners)
Table 5-3. Condition-Specific Pet Food, Pet Supplements, and Pet Treat Purchase Rates, Past 12
Months, 2024 (percent of condition-specific pet food, pet supplement, and pet treat purchasers)
Meat-First Leads in Ingredient-Based Formulations
Table 5-4. Use of Pet Food Formulations Based on Ingredient Claims, 2024 (percent of dog/cat owners)
Ingredient Sourcing as Marketing Claims
Figure 5-4. Use of Pet Food Formulations Based on Geographic Sourcing Claims, 2024 (percent of dog/cat owners)
“Natural” Claims
Figure 5-5. Use of Pet Food Formulations Based on Natural-Related Claims, 2024 (percent of dog/cat
owners)
Sustainability and Animal-Welfare Positionings
Figure 5-6. Use of Pet Food Formulations Based on Sustainability and Animal-Welfare Claims, 2024(percent of dog/cat owners)
BUYING PATTERNS IN PET FOOD PACKAGING
Dry Pet Food Usage by Weight
Table 5-5. Dry Dog Food Usage Trends by Weight, 2018/19 – 2023/24 (percent of dog-owning
households)
Wet Pet Food Packaging Type
Table 5-6. Wet Pet Food Usage Shares by Packaging Type: Dog Food vs. Cat Food, 2018/19 - 2023/24(percent of dog/cat-owner usage)
PET FOOD MARKETERS AND BRANDS BY CONSUMER DRAW
Top Dog/Cat Food Marketers
Figure 5-7. Leading Marketers by Usage Rate: Dog/Cat Food, 2023/24 (percent of dog- and cat-owning households)
Top Dry Dog Food Marketers and Brands
Figure 5-8. Leading Marketers by Usage Rate: Dry Dog Food, 2023/24 (percent of households using dry dog food)
Table 5-7. Select Dry Dog Food Brands by Usage Rate, 2023/24 (percent and number of households)
Top Wet Dog Food Marketers and Brands
Figure 5-9. Leading Marketers by Usage Rate: Wet Dog Food, 2023/24 (percent of households using wet dog food)
Table 5-8. Select Wet Dog Food Brands by Usage Rate, 2023/24 (percent and number of households)
Top Dry Cat Food Marketers and Brands
Figure 5-10. Leading Marketers by Customer Base: Dry Cat Food, 2023/24 (percent of households using dry cat food)
Table 5-9. Leading Dry Cat Food Brands by Usage Rate, 2023/24 (percent and number of households)
Top Wet Cat Food Marketers and Brands
Figure 5-11. Leading Marketers by Customer Base: Wet Cat Food, 2023/24 (percent of households using wet cat food)
Table 5-10. Leading Wet Cat Food Brands by Usage Rate, 2023/24 (percent and number of households)
Demographic Indices for Usage of Selected Brand Lines
Table 5-11. Demographic Indices for Selected Leading Brands of Dry Dog Food, 2023/24 (base index among dog owners overall = 100)
Table 5-12. Demographic Indices for Selected Leading Brands of Wet Dog Food, 2023/24 (base index among dog owners overall = 100)
Table 5-13. Demographic Indices for Selected Leading Brands of Dry Cat Food, 2023/24 (base index among dog owners overall = 100)
Table 5-14. Demographic Indices for Selected Leading Brands of Wet Cat Food, 2023/24 (base index among dog owners overall = 100)

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