U.S. Beverage Market Outlook 2021


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U.S. Beverage Market Outlook 2021

Most major beverage categories are mature and rely primarily on population growth, leaving marketers with the challenge of bringing something new to the table. Opportunities abound for companies that invest in new product launches, ingredient changes, and different marketing tactics to appeal to changing consumer preferences, including the wellness and plant-based areas but also flavor trends.

The COVID-19 pandemic led to sharply increased demand for beverages in the retail sector as consumption shifted from the foodservice industry to the home. Even as foodservice outlets reopened and vaccination rates rose, many consumers are continuing to spend more time at home compared to their pre-pandemic habits. This has – along with caution associated with the rise of COVID-19 variants – resulted in more beverages consumed at home as many consumers continue to prepare and consume most of their meals at home. As a result, while demand on the retail side has slowed from the gains seen from 2019-2020, sales have remained elevated from pre-pandemic levels.

Historical and projected retail sales are presented in additional detail for beverages within these primary categories -- carbonated soft drinks, energy and sports drinks, bottled water (plain and enhanced), dairy beverages, dairy alternatives, juices, coffee, and tea. Additionally, the report has dozens of tables showcasing numerical survey data on consumer demographics and psychographics and numerous figures and images highlighting product and marketing trend examples. This report also goes in-depth on COVID-19 trends affecting the beverage market.

With a focus on growth opportunities and “what’s next” – along with bringing decades of food and beverage market perspective and analysis to the table – U.S. Beverage Market Outlook 2021: Retail Beverage Trends & Consumption Preferences is packed with actionable insights about consumer trends, behavior, and motivations. This report delivers predictions and recommendations designed to guide retailers, service providers, wholesalers, beverage suppliers and bottlers, packaging firms, and investors in making business decisions about the beverage market.



  • Executive Summary
    • Beverage Retail Sales Forecast
    • COVID-19 Effects on Retail Beverage Sales
    • E-Commerce Sales Surge
    • Beverage Trends
      • Dairy Free/Plant Based
      • Beyond Better-for-You
      • Sugar Reduction
      • Hybrids
      • CBD Beverages
      • Plastic Packaging Solutions
    • Scope
    • Methodology
  • COVID-19 Pandemic
    • Highlights
    • Negative Personal Effects of the Pandemic
      • Table Coronavirus Concerns: "The coronavirus has negatively affected my…", 2020-2021 (percent of consumers)
    • Even More Report Negative Effects on Friends/Family
      • Table Coronavirus Health Concerns: "I am concerned about the…", 2020-2021 (percent of consumers)
    • Effects on Work
      • Table Coronavirus Concerns: "Because of the coronavirus, I…" (percent of consumers)
    • Effects on Work Are Continuing in 2021
    • Consumer Concerns About Food Safety Rise in Wake of Pandemic
      • Table Coronavirus Concerns about Safety: "Because of the coronavirus, I am…", 2020 (percent of consumers)
    • Water Consumption Increases Most During Pandemic
  • Overview
    • Beverage Retail Sales Forecast
      • Table Retail Sales by Top Beverage Categories, 2015, 2020-2025P (million dollars and percent)
      • Table U.S. Retail Dollar Sales by Top Beverage Categories, 2019-2020 (million dollars and percent)
    • Distribution Trends
      • Mass Merchandisers Like Walmart Benefit Most From Pandemic
      • Convenience Stores Challenged by Coronavirus
      • E-Commerce Sales Surge
        • Table Purchased Groceries Over Internet in Last 30 days, 2010-2020 (percent of U.S. adults)
        • Table U.S. Online Grocery Sales, 2015-2020 (billion dollars)
        • Table "Why do you order groceries online for pickup or delivery?", 2021 (percent of consumers)
        • Table U.S. Online Grocery Sales, 2020-2025P (billion dollars)
    • Grocery Delivery
      • Table Coronavirus Food Purchase Habits: "Because of the coronavirus, I am" (percent of consumers)
      • Table Coronavirus Food Purchase Habits: "Because of the coronavirus, I have for the first time used…", 2020 (percent of consumers)
    • Direct-to-Consumer Sales
  • Beverage Trends
    • Plant-Based & Other Innovations in Dairy Alternatives
      • Dairy Free/Plant Based
      • Blends
      • Alt Dairy
    • Sustainability and Transparency
      • The Majority of Consumers Want to Know Where Food Comes From
      • Sustainability Is Important to Many Consumers
      • Most Consumers Think Knowing Whether Food Choices Are Environmentally Sustainable Is Hard
    • Beyond Better-for-You
      • Table Buying or Eating Immunity Boosting or Healthy Food or Supplements by Age Bracket, 2021 (percent of consumers)
    • Sugar Reduction
    • Hybrids
    • Flavor Forward
    • CBD Beverages
    • Hard Beverages
    • Private Label Maintains Importance During Pandemic
      • Table Consumption Rates in last 6 months for Selected Store Brand Beverages, 2010-2020 (percent of U.S. households)
    • Plastic Packaging Solutions
      • Plastic Bottles Still Very Popular Despite Environmental Concerns
        • Table Consumption Rates for Carbonated Beverages by Packaging Form, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drink carbonated beverages)
      • Plastic Bottles Recycled Most
        • Table Items Recycled in Last 30 Days, 2010-2020 (percent of adults)
      • Consumer Opinions on Packaging and Recycling
        • Table Consumer Thoughts on Garbage and Recycling, 2021 (percent of consumers who strongly agree)
        • Table Consumer Thoughts on Packaging, 2021 (percent of consumers who strongly agree)
        • Table Consumers Who Especially Look Out for Sustainable or Eco-Friendly Packaging, 2021 (percent of consumers who strongly agree)
  • Bottled and Enhanced Waters
    • Sales Outlook
      • Market to Exceed $28 Billion in 2025
        • Table Bottled and Enhanced Water Retail Sales, 2015-2025 (million dollars and million gallons)
      • Category Sales
        • Table Bottled and Enhanced Water Retail Sales: By Segment, 2016-2025 (million dollars)
    • Consumer Insights
      • Bottled Water Consumption Increased Most During Pandemic
      • Unflavored Still Water Overwhelmingly Preferred
        • Table Consumption Rates for Bottled Water, 2020 (percent of households)
      • Households Drink Far More Still Water than Sparkling or Seltzer
        • Table Drinks/Glasses of Bottled Water in Last 7 Days 2020 (percent of households that drink bottled water)
      • Water Filter Ownership Spikes in 2020
        • Table Water Filter Ownership, 2010-2020 (percent of households)
      • Hard Seltzer Consumption Spikes in 2020
        • Table Consumption Rates for Flavored Alcoholic Beverages/Coolers 2010-2020 (percent of adults)
    • Key Opportunities
      • Even Greater Functionality
      • CBD Water
      • Hybrid Drinks
      • Flavor Forward
      • Hard Seltzers
  • Carbonated Soft Drinks
    • Sales Outlook
      • Market to Exceed $46 Billion in 2025
        • Table Carbonated Beverage Retail Sales, 2015-2025 (million dollars and million 1.5 gallon equivalents)
      • Category Sales
        • Table Carbonated Beverage Retail Sales by Segment, 2016-2025 (million dollars)
    • Consumer Insights
      • Carbonated Beverage Consumption Continue to Decline
        • Table Consumption Rates for Carbonated Beverages, 2010-2020 (percent of adults)
      • Plastic Bottles Still Very Popular Despite Environmental Concerns
        • Table Consumption Rates for Carbonated Beverages by Packaging Form, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drink carbonated beverages)
      • Cola Lovers Drink A Lot
        • Table Glasses of Selected Carbonated Beverages Drunk in Last 7 Days, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drink regular and diet colas)
      • Selected Differences Among Coca-Cola, Coke Zero Sugar, and Diet Coke Drinkers
        • Table Demographic Characteristics of Coke Classic, Coke Zero Sugar, and Diet Coke Drinkers, 2020 (Index)
    • Key Opportunities
      • Hybrids
      • Sugar Reduction
      • Better-For-You Sodas
      • CBD Sodas
      • Flavor Forward
  • Coffee and Ready-to-Drink Coffee
    • Sales Outlook
      • Market to Reach Nearly $19 Billion in 2025
        • Table Coffee Retail Sales, 2015-2025 (million dollars and million ounces)
      • Category/Segment Sales
        • Table Coffee Retail Sales: By Segment, 2016-2025 (million dollars)
    • Consumer Insights
      • Ground/Whole Bean Consumed Most, But RTD Slowly Gaining
        • Table Consumption Rates for Coffee Segments, 2010-2020 (percent of households)
      • Single-Serve Pods Continue to Gain at Expense of Ground/Whole Bean
        • Table Forms of Ground Coffee Used Most Often, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink ground coffee)
      • Unflavored Overwhelmingly Preferred Over Flavored
        • Table Flavor of Ground Coffee Drunk Most Often, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink ground coffee)
      • Coffee Consumption Continues Rising
        • Table Cups of Ground Coffee (Regular or Decaf) Drunk Per Average Day, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drink ground coffee)
      • Coffee Appliance Sales Pick Up in 2020
        • Table Coffee Appliances Bought in Last 12 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of adults)
    • Key Opportunities
      • Sustainability and Transparency
      • Even Greater Functionality
      • Hybrids
      • Dairy Free/Plant Based
      • CBD Coffee
      • Hard Coffee
      • Coffee Shop Experience At Home
  • Dairy and Dairy Alternative Beverages
    • Sales Outlook
      • Total Market Declining to $26 Billion in 2025
        • Table Dairy and Dairy Alternative Beverages Retail Sales, 2015-2025 (million dollars)
      • Volume Sales
        • Table Dairy and Dairy Alternative Beverages Market Retail Volume Sales, 2015-2025 (million pints)
      • Category and Segment Sales
        • Table Dairy and Dairy Alternative Beverages Retail Sales: By Segment, 2016-2025 (million dollars)
    • Consumer Insights
      • Consumption of Milk Alternatives Increasing While Milk Is Decreasing
        • Table Consumption Rates for Dairy and Dairy Alternative Beverages, 2010-2020 (percent of households)
      • Majority of Milk Drinkers Prefer 2% and Whole Milk
        • Table Kind of Milk Consumed in Last 6 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink fresh milk)
      • Organic Milk Consumption Spikes in 2020
        • Table Type of Milk Consumed in Last 6 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink milk)
      • Despite Declines, Plastic Jugs Most Popular Milk Package by Far
        • Table Milk Package Used in Last 6 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink milk)
      • Dairy Milk Alternatives
        • Table Types of Plant-Based Dairy Alternatives Eaten/Drunk by Consumers (percent of consumers)
        • Table Type of Non-Dairy Milk Alternatives Consumed in Last 6 Months, 2016-2020 (percent of adults that drink non-dairy milk alternatives)
        • Table Agreement with the Statement "I am eating or drinking more plant-based dairy products because of the coronavirus pandemic", 2020 (percent of consumers)
    • Key Opportunities
      • Dairy Free/Plant Based
      • Clean Labels
      • Even Greater Functionality
      • Blends
      • Alt Dairy
      • Flavor Forward
      • Better Kids Milk
      • Hybrids
  • Energy and Sports Drinks
    • Sales Outlook
      • Market to Approach $35 Billion by 2025
        • Table Energy and Sports Drinks Retail Sales, 2015-2025 (million dollars and million ounces)
      • Category and Segment Sales
        • Table Energy and Sports Drinks Retail Sales: By Segment, 2016-2025 (million dollars)
    • Consumer Insights
      • Low Penetration for Sports and Energy Drinks
        • Table Consumption Rates for Energy Drinks/Shots and Sports Drinks, 2010-2020 (percent of adults)
      • Drinks Dominate Energy Category
        • Table Forms of Energy Drinks/Shots Drunk, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drinks energy drinks/shots)
      • Similar Consumption Patterns for Energy and Sports Drinks
        • Table Number of Energy Drinks/Shots Drunk in Last 30 Days, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drinks energy drinks/shots)
        • Table Number of Sports Drinks Drunk in Last 30 Days, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drinks sports drinks)
    • Key Opportunities
      • Beyond Better-for-You
      • Hybrids
      • Plant-Based
      • Flavor Forward
      • Personalization/Customization
  • Juices
    • Sales Outlook
      • Market Declining to under $19 Billion in 2025
        • Table Juice Retail Sales, 2015-2025 (million dollars and million ounces)
      • Category Sales
        • Table Juice Market Retail Dollar Sales by Category, 2016-2025 (million dollars)
    • Consumer Insights
      • Traditional Juice Consumption Declines
        • Table Consumption Rates for Juices by Product, 2010-2020 (percent of U.S. households)
      • Plastic Jugs and Glass Bottles Gain Favor of OJ Drinkers
        • Table Package Type of Orange Juice Drunk in Last 6 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink orange juice)
      • Most OJ Drinking Households Consume Only 1-2 Glasses a Day
        • Table Glasses of Orange Juice Drunk by Household on Average Day, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink orange juice)
      • Apple and Cranberry Remain Favorite Flavors of Other Juices/Drinks
        • Table Flavors of Other Fruit Juices/Drinks Drunk Most Often, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink other fruit juices/drinks)
      • Other Fruit Juice/Drink Drinkers Don't Consume That Much
        • Table Glasses of Other Fruit Juices/Drinks Drunk by Household on Average Day, 2010-2020 (percent of U.S. households that drink other fruit juices/drinks)
    • Key Opportunities
      • Even Greater Functionality
      • Shots Still Hot
      • Hybrids
      • Sugar Reduction
      • Healthier Kids' Juice
      • Hard Juices
  • Tea and Ready-to-Drink Tea
    • Sales Outlook
      • Market to Exceed $9 Billion in 2025
        • Table Tea and RTD Tea Retail Sales, 2015-2025 (million dollars and million ounces)
      • Category and Segment Sales
        • Table Tea and RTD Tea Retail Sales by Segment, 2016-2025 (million dollars)
    • Consumer Insights
      • Tea Bags Still Most Popular Despite Declines
        • Table Consumption Rates for Tea, 2010-2020 (percent of households)
      • Caffeinated Overwhelmingly Preferred by Tea Drinkers
        • Table Type of Tea Drunk in Last 6 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink tea bags/packages)
      • Regular Size Tea Bags Most Favored Format
        • Table Form of Tea Drunk in Last 6 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink tea bags/packages)
      • Green and Herbal Tea Increase Most in 2020
        • Table Flavor of Tea Drunk in Last 6 Months, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink tea bags/packages)
      • Most Tea Drinkers Drink 1-2 Cups Daily
        • Table Cups of Tea Drunk by Household on Average Day, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink tea bags/packages)
      • Flavored RTD Iced Tea Preferred More, But Unflavored Gaining
        • Table Type of RTD Iced Tea Drunk Most Often, 2010-2020 (percent of adults that drink RTD iced tea)
      • RTD Tea Sees Gains at Highest Consumption Levels
        • Table Drinks/Glasses of RTD Tea Drunk by Household in Last 7 Days, 2010-2020 (percent of households that drink RTD tea)
    • Key Opportunities
      • Even Greater Functionality
      • Further Reducing Sugar
      • Hybrids
      • CBD Beverages
      • Hard Teas
      • New Processes and Forms

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