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Analysis by Region - MENA

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Feb 10, 2026
Length 6 Pages
SKU # OFE20872794

Description

We've upgraded our 2026 GDP growth forecast for Iraq by 0.9ppts to 3.3%, primarily reflecting base effects from the weaker-than-expected growth in 2025. Increased oil output following the easing of compensation-related production cut requirements also underpin the upward revision. Nonetheless, an ongoing political deadlock and mounting liquidity pressures pose significant downside risks to Iraq's economic outlook.

Table of Contents

6 Pages
Iraq: Another political deadlock, with much higher stakes
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Medium-term prospects
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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