Analysis by Region - Latin America - Mexico
While data may point to a slightly stronger-than-expected expansion in Q1, soaring inflation, tighter financial conditions and slower global growth due to the war in Ukraine are weighing on Mexico's outlook. We have shaved our 2022 GDP growth forecast by 0.2ppts to 1.8% and now expect 2.6% growth in 2023. The government has maintained a neutral stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict, but the economy remains vulnerable to global disruptions.
- Mexico: Outlook downgraded despite a positive start to 2022
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy
- Politics
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