Analysis by Region - Latin America - Argentina
Our 2022 Argentina GDP growth forecast remains unchanged at 2.4%, as activity slowed towards the end of Q1 yet flashed a mild 0.9% q/q expansion. We now expect the economy to contract 1.5% q/q in Q2 as the central bank (BCRA) continues with its tightening cycle, which will affect consumption. That said, we believe that a lax fiscal stance will partially offset the negative effects of restrictive financial conditions.
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