Analysis by Region - Latin America
We maintain our 2022 GDP growth forecast at 2%, but downside risks are growing. We expect the Russia-Ukraine conflict will lead to tightening global financial conditions that will likely curb foreign investment, put pressure on the peso, and risk higher-for-longer inflation. Real wages are expected to shrink during the next two years as employment recovers, which will hurt household consumption and limit growth.
- Untitled Chapter
- Forecast overview
- Recent developments
- Short-term outlook
- Key drivers of our short-term forecast
- Economic risk
- Economic risk evaluation
- Risk warnings
- What to watch out for
- Exposure to key global risks
- Long-term prospects
- Background
- Economic development
- Structure of the economy
- Balance of payments and structure of trade
- Policy
- Politics
Research Assistance
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