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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Vietnam

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jan 30, 2026
Length 7 Pages
SKU # OFE20872808

Description

We maintain our 2026 GDP growth forecast for Vietnam at 7.4% y/y. Stronger public capex and the global AI-driven tech cycle are sustaining momentum. However, headline growth should moderate as consumption slightly eases and higher tariffs affect export growth. Overheating risks are present, especially in real estate, but should be broadly contained.

Table of Contents

7 Pages
Vietnam: Balancing growth ambitions with credit stability
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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