Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Uruguay



We raised our GDP growth forecast for Uruguay by 0.2ppts to 3.1% for 2024, due to data revisions and stronger-than-expected 1.5% q/q growth in Q2. The expansion was largely fueled by the external sector, reflecting historically high exports from a better-than-expected harvest season. We trimmed our 2025 GDP growth outlook by 0.2ppts to 2.6%, as a 5.7% import rebound, fueled by a higher demand for imported goods is anticipated to drag down net trade.


Uruguay: Positive performance in exports improves the outlook
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term growth outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade

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