Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Sao Tome and Principe
Real GDP growth is envisaged to expand to 2.5% in 2024, as the island is benefitting from skyrocketing cocoa prices. The price of cocoa began creeping up in the second half of 2022, before rising rapidly in early 2024 to hit a record high of $8,449/tonne on March 18 due to supply-side concerns. Apart from cocoa, the island nation's economy will also be bolstered by a steady rise in tourism and continued support from the IMF. Downside risks to our outlook include unfavourable commodity price movements, adverse weather conditions, and a more severe global economic slowdown.
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