Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

We've maintained our GDP growth forecast for Romania at 2.8% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. We expect the economy to regain some momentum after its recent soft patch, with solid growth in consumer spending and investment likely to be the principal drivers of this upturn. However, the ongoing weakness in key European trading partners and the impact of tighter fiscal policy should temper the pace of the recovery.


Romania: Tighter fiscal policy is likely to limit any pickup in activity
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Politics and policy

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