Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Romania



We continue to forecast Romanian GDP growth of 2.8% in 2025 and 3.1% in 2026. The strength of real household income growth is likely to remain solid, which should support private consumption. Meanwhile, an upturn in EU funds and higher public capital expenditure is likely to mean that investment makes a larger contribution to GDP growth over the next couple of years.


Romania: We anticipate growth near 3% in 2025 and 2026
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings.
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Politics and policy

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