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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Poland

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jan 31, 2026
Length 8 Pages
SKU # OFE20872800

Description

We've kept our 2026 GDP forecast unchanged at 3.8%, following the just-confirmed 3.6% expansion last year. The near-full set of Q4 data indicates that the economy has maintained its strong momentum, likely carrying this over into 2026. We consider risks to be skewed to stronger growth, with GDP expansion at 4% this year not off the table.

Table of Contents

8 Pages
Poland: Investment pick-up to keep GDP growth near 4% this year
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term growth outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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