Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Poland

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Poland



We've cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Poland by 0.3ppts to 3.3% and trimmed our 2024 estimate by 0.5ppts to 2.7%. Our downward revision for this year is based on soft activity over Q3 with as the economy shrank on the back of weak industry and sales. But we still expect domestic demand from consumers, and increasingly from investment, will drive the pickup in growth.


Poland: Trump presidency won't alter the near-term outlook
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term growth outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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