We forecast the Philippines' economy will expand by 6% y/y this year, following a 5.6% y/y increase in 2024, which is below the government's target of a 6%-6.5% GDP growth. Growth this year will be supported by more accommodative monetary policy and well-contained inflation. While the easing cycle is expected to continue, the pace of BSP's rate cuts will depend on US trade policy and the consequent path of US dollar/Philippine peso exchange rate.
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