Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Mexico



Our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Mexico remains at 1.7%, well above the consensus of 1.2%. This is slightly above our 1.5% growth estimate for 2024. Our forecast incorporates a stronger contribution from the net external sector to offset slowing domestic demand.


Mexico: Trump's threats won't curb external sector's contribution
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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