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Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Malawi

Publisher Oxford Economics
Published Jan 23, 2026
Length 6 Pages
SKU # OFE20872834

Description

The economic headwinds that rocked Malawi in 2025 have persisted, battering the economy. Faced with depleted FX reserves, an overvalued currency, severe funding shortfalls, high inflation, and mounting external debt obligations, the Malawian government will have no choice but to devalue the kwacha in Q2 2026. As such, we project that the end-of-period exchange rate will increase to MK2,444.12/$ in 2026 from MK1,732.36/$ in 2025.

Table of Contents

6 Pages
Malawi: A challenging road ahead
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments
Policy and politics

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