We've nudged up our GDP growth forecasts for Hungary by 0.1ppt to 1.6% for 2025 and 3.3% for 2026. Still, we think that looming US tariffs and weak external demand will weigh on growth in the near term. But the solid pre-electoral stimulus will support activity in Hungary later this year, and the European fiscal splurge will buoy foreign demand in 2026-2027.
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