Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Croatia

We raised our 2025 GDP growth forecast for Croatia 0.8ppts to 2.6%. Sizeable historical revisions suggest that the economy was aggressively destocking last year. A gradual restocking process as industrial fortunes turn should support a quicker rebound than we expected. Over the next few years, GDP growth will slow but remain healthy as the positive output gap narrows.


Croatia: Growth returning to trend, but from a high level
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy and politics

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