Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Chile

Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Chile



We have cut our GDP growth forecasts for Chile by 0.2ppts to 2.2% y/y for 2024 and by 0.3ppts to 2.3% y/y for 2025. October's IMACEC activity print continued a string of disappointing results, as the mining component has failed to reflect the upturn in copper output since July and manufacturing activity has slumped since a strong mid-year gain. We've pushed back the timing of a recovery in growth, raising our 2026 growth forecast by 0.4ppts to 3.0% y/y.


Chile: Domestic demand should regain momentum in 2025
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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