Even though the security situation in the Central African Republic (CAR) remains fragile, the economy is proving to be relatively resilient, underpinned by elevated gold prices and continued support from the IMF. Against this backdrop, we forecast real GDP growth of 1.4% in 2025. Downside risks to our economic outlook include a deterioration in the security situation, unfavourable weather conditions, and uncertainty surrounding the 2025 elections.
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