Analysis by Region - Emerging Markets - Barbados
We think the Barbados economy will expand by 4.8% this year, following 9.1% growth in 2022. GDP will likely return to its pre-pandemic level by Q4 2023, driven by a solid but slow tourism recovery. We forecast tourist arrivals will grow by 27% in 2023, down from 46% in 2022. We don't expect tourism to recover to the 2019 rate until 2026.
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