Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - Hong Kong SAR

We slightly revised our below-consensus growth forecast for Hong Kong down to 1.9%, following 2.5% export-driven growth last year. This revision reflects our assessment of the recent tenuous global trade environment.


Hong Kong SAR: Caught between still-high US rates, still-low China demand
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Alternative long-run scenarios
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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