Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - China

Analysis by Region - Asia Pacific - China



The latest stimulus package announced by the People's Bank of China (PBoC) came earlier and was bolder than we had expected. However, we have maintained our 4.8% growth forecast for China this year as it will take time for the policies to feed through. More importantly, what remains key to watch is if full-fledged policy coordination will follow suit in the upcoming months, which could lead us to review our 2025 growth forecast at a later stage.


China: Recently announced policy support is bold
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Long-term prospects
Background
Economic development
Structure of the economy
Balance of payments and structure of trade
Policy
Politics

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