Economic policy uncertainty is rising earlier than normal for a presidential election year, and this has implications for the Q4 growth profile. Because of heightened uncertainty, we will adjust our forecast for Q4 business investment in nonresidential structures and equipment lower as we update the September baseline. The recent rise in uncertainty threatens to reduce Q4 growth in nonresidential structures by 4.3ppts and in equipment spending by 3.4ppts.
US: Implications of rising policy uncertainty for Q4 growth