Macro - Weekly Briefings - US
Headline consumer prices rose at their fastest annual pace since December 1981 in April. We expect CPI inflation to peak in April, but more importantly look for only a gradual retreat, and expect prices to still be running 5% higher on an annual basis by year-end. That outlook leaves the Fed on track to pursue its aggressive anti-inflation campaign, and likely to raise rates by 50bps in early May.
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