Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates
We've cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for the United Arab Emirates to 4.5% from 5.0%. Our downgrade is entirely due to OPEC+ policy. The cartel has delayed a planned supply increase until early next year in reaction to the weak oil demand outlook and production growth outside of OPEC+. Given the sluggish demand outlook means oil prices will likely remain under pressure, we think OPEC+ will probably delay reversing production cuts even longer.
United Arab Emirates : Extension of oil production cuts pulls down GDP forecast