Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates

Macro - Country Economic Forecasts - United Arab Emirates



We've cut our 2025 GDP growth forecast for the United Arab Emirates to 4.5% from 5.0%. Our downgrade is entirely due to OPEC+ policy. The cartel has delayed a planned supply increase until early next year in reaction to the weak oil demand outlook and production growth outside of OPEC+. Given the sluggish demand outlook means oil prices will likely remain under pressure, we think OPEC+ will probably delay reversing production cuts even longer.


United Arab Emirates : Extension of oil production cuts pulls down GDP forecast
Forecast overview
Recent developments
Short-term outlook
Key drivers of our short-term forecast
Economic risk
Economic risk evaluation
Risk warnings
What to watch out for
Exposure to key global risks
Background
Economic development
Policy and politics
Structure of the economy
Structure of trade

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